Groundwork

Market rankings · California

Bakeries and dessert shops in California

Markets across California ranked by the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, with competitor counts and household spending for each.

Listings
15,896
5,292 chain locations (33%)
Official establishments
14,789
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +14.4% since 2019
Household spending a year
$61.8B
On food away from home
Listings per 10k households
11.7
19% above the U.S.
Spending per listing
$3.9M
6% below the U.S.
Rank among states
#44 of 51
Market score 33 · Lower middle

A site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings around any address in California by name and distance, and the spending within reach.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

As of September 2026, map listings count 15,896 bakeries and dessert shops in California. Chain locations make up 33% of them, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 11.7, 19% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in California comes to about $61.8B a year: $4,559 per household, 12% above the U.S. average. That works out to $3.9M per shop, 6% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 14,789 businesses with payroll in California classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, up 14.4% from 2019. That is one for every 916 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. Across the U.S., the count rose 24.6% over the same years. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 587 SBA-backed loans worth $259.3M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in California.

Among the 50 states and DC, California ranks #44 for bakeries and dessert shops, with a Groundwork market score of 33 (lower middle). Of the 25 scored metro areas in or partly in California, the Yuba City metro area scores highest (73). Of the 9 scored small-town markets in or partly in California, the Gardnerville Ranchos area scores highest (71).

Every market in California for bakeries and dessert shops

Download the ranking (CSV)

Numbered by Groundwork market score among the markets based in California, highest first; the U.S. rank compares each market with every other of its kind. A metro area that crosses a state line is listed in each state it reaches, and numbered only in the state its page is under. How the score works.

Metro areas

Metro areas reaching California, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Yuba City, CA73406.5$6M+3.3%#23 of 387
2Stockton-Lodi, CA632198.9$4.8M+5.5%#91 of 387
3Vallejo, CA591398.8$5.1M+0.6%#127 of 387
4Redding, CA56456.3$6M−0.3%#144 of 387
5Merced, CA54657.6$4.7M+5.1%#162 of 387
6Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA548409.5$4.7M+3.2%#163 of 387
7San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA5274811.0$5.2M−0.6%#178 of 387
8Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA461,51610.5$4M+3.5%#237 of 387
9San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA432,01211.5$4.6M−2.4%#257 of 387
10Modesto, CA411709.6$4.2M+0.7%#268 of 387
11Bakersfield-Delano, CA412669.3$4M+2.3%#272 of 387
12San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA401,29411.0$4.3M−0.6%#278 of 387
13Chico, CA38657.8$4.8M−0.5%#292 of 387
14Fresno, CA3740210.9$3.5M+3.2%#296 of 387
15Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA3633311.9$4M−1.5%#302 of 387
16Hanford-Corcoran, CA324510.2$3.6M+1.0%#323 of 387
17Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA3226113.7$3.4M−0.4%#327 of 387
18Napa, CA307014.1$3.5M−3.3%#340 of 387
19Visalia, CA3015310.7$3.5M+2.4%#341 of 387
20Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA2919713.2$3.4M−1.4%#347 of 387
21Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA2813513.9$3.5M−4.7%#355 of 387
22San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA2616515.1$3M0.0%#366 of 387
23Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA256,18513.7$3.3M−2.6%#367 of 387
24Salinas, CA2518213.7$3.2M−1.5%#368 of 387
25El Centro, CA185310.7$3.1M+1.1%#381 of 387

Small-town markets

Small-town markets reaching California, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
Gardnerville Ranchos, NV-CA71136.0$7.2M+0.9%#49 of 507
1Clearlake, CA59124.5$7.9M−0.6%#154 of 507
2Red Bluff, CA56104.0$8.7M−1.7%#181 of 507
3Crescent City, CA5655.3$6.8M−4.4%#182 of 507
4Truckee-Grass Valley, CA51399.1$4.7M−0.4%#244 of 507
5Bishop, CA32810.0$3.8M−4.4%#432 of 507
6Ukiah, CA303610.3$3.6M−3.5%#445 of 507
7Sonora, CA302611.5$3.4M−4.0%#447 of 507
8Eureka-Arcata, CA28519.3$3.8M−3.4%#460 of 507
Susanville, CANot scored44.3$8.1M−13.1%

Counties

Counties in California, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Yuba County, CA8893.1$12.1M+8.2%#25 of 1,889
2Colusa County, CA6356.7$5.6M−0.1%#446 of 1,889
3Placer County, CA631569.9$5M+8.9%#452 of 1,889
4San Benito County, CA62209.7$5M+8.6%#471 of 1,889
5Contra Costa County, CA613368.1$6.4M+0.3%#493 of 1,889
6San Joaquin County, CA612198.9$4.8M+5.5%#511 of 1,889
7Solano County, CA571398.8$5.1M+0.6%#648 of 1,889
8Lake County, CA56124.5$7.9M−0.6%#676 of 1,889
9Merced County, CA56657.6$4.7M+5.1%#699 of 1,889
10Del Norte County, CA5555.3$6.8M−4.4%#720 of 1,889
11Shasta County, CA55456.3$6M−0.3%#722 of 1,889
12El Dorado County, CA54719.3$5.1M+0.6%#776 of 1,889
13Amador County, CA54148.7$4.7M+3.2%#782 of 1,889
14Riverside County, CA5478810.2$4.2M+5.0%#786 of 1,889
15Tehama County, CA53104.0$8.7M−1.7%#803 of 1,889
16Yolo County, CA537710.0$4.3M+3.1%#823 of 1,889
17Santa Clara County, CA5172811.0$5.2M−0.9%#880 of 1,889
18Sacramento County, CA515369.4$4.6M+2.0%#889 of 1,889
19Madera County, CA51429.3$4.1M+7.4%#901 of 1,889
20Calaveras County, CA49189.8$4.1M+2.8%#965 of 1,889
21Marin County, CA4811210.9$5.1M−2.9%#983 of 1,889
22Nevada County, CA47399.1$4.7M−0.4%#1,023 of 1,889
23Kern County, CA462669.3$4M+2.3%#1,078 of 1,889
24Stanislaus County, CA451709.6$4.2M+0.7%#1,115 of 1,889
25San Mateo County, CA4432312.2$4.7M−2.5%#1,137 of 1,889
Show all 58 counties
Counties in California, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score, continued
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
26Sutter County, CA44319.3$4.3M−0.7%#1,143 of 1,889
27Alameda County, CA4368411.4$4.6M−2.6%#1,170 of 1,889
28San Diego County, CA431,29411.0$4.3M−0.6%#1,174 of 1,889
29Butte County, CA42657.8$4.8M−0.5%#1,209 of 1,889
30San Bernardino County, CA4272810.8$3.8M+1.9%#1,220 of 1,889
31Ventura County, CA4033311.9$4M−1.5%#1,289 of 1,889
32Fresno County, CA3936011.1$3.5M+2.6%#1,328 of 1,889
33Kings County, CA374510.2$3.6M+1.0%#1,403 of 1,889
34Tulare County, CA3615310.7$3.5M+2.4%#1,441 of 1,889
35Sonoma County, CA3626113.7$3.4M−0.4%#1,442 of 1,889
36Siskiyou County, CA35136.8$4.9M−4.5%#1,457 of 1,889
37Santa Barbara County, CA3319713.2$3.4M−1.4%#1,533 of 1,889
38Napa County, CA327014.1$3.5M−3.3%#1,563 of 1,889
39Orange County, CA321,58714.7$3.4M−1.1%#1,565 of 1,889
40San Francisco County, CA3055715.3$3.5M−5.6%#1,614 of 1,889
41Santa Cruz County, CA3013513.9$3.5M−4.7%#1,615 of 1,889
42Monterey County, CA3018213.7$3.2M−1.5%#1,616 of 1,889
43Mariposa County, CA30912.0$3.1M−1.2%#1,618 of 1,889
44San Luis Obispo County, CA3016515.1$3M0.0%#1,621 of 1,889
45Inyo County, CA28810.0$3.8M−4.4%#1,667 of 1,889
46Los Angeles County, CA284,59813.5$3.2M−3.0%#1,674 of 1,889
47Tuolumne County, CA272611.5$3.4M−4.0%#1,689 of 1,889
48Glenn County, CA271313.3$2.7M−2.6%#1,696 of 1,889
49Mendocino County, CA263610.3$3.6M−3.5%#1,708 of 1,889
50Humboldt County, CA25519.3$3.8M−3.4%#1,732 of 1,889
51Imperial County, CA245310.7$3.1M+1.1%#1,755 of 1,889
52Mono County, CA201322.6$2M−5.4%#1,815 of 1,889
53Plumas County, CA171417.4$2.1M−5.9%#1,846 of 1,889
Lassen County, CANot scored44.3$8.1M−13.1%
Trinity County, CANot scored47.2$4.5M−2.3%
Modoc County, CANot scored26.1$5.4M−2.9%
Sierra County, CANot scored00.0n/a−4.0%
Alpine County, CANot scored00.0n/a−11.6%

Markets with fewer than 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, and counties under 10,000 people, aren’t scored; they’re listed last in each table.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in California?

California has 15,896 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 5,292 of them (33%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 14,789 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 14.4% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Another 2,270 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts.

How much do households in California spend on food away from home?

About $61.8B a year, or $4,559 per household. That is 12% above the U.S. average (an index of 112, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 15,896 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.9M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 13,548,091 households in California and national spending patterns by income.

How does California compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

California has 11.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 19% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.9M, 6% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, California would have about 14,907, against 15,896 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 916 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 14.4% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

Which market in California has the highest market score for bakeries and dessert shops?

Among 25 scored metro areas in or partly in California, the Yuba City metro area scores highest, at 73 (upper middle). Among 9 scored small-town markets in or partly in California, the Gardnerville Ranchos area scores highest, at 71 (upper middle). Among 53 scored counties in California, Yuba County scores highest, at 88 (high). Scores compare each market with others of its kind across the U.S.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. California scores 33 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #44 of the 50 states and DC.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in California. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

Bakeries and dessert shops in other states

All 51 states

Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops across the U.S. · All business types in California

Screening a site or an acquisition in California?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.