Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · California

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Napa, CA metro area

The bakeries and dessert shops in the Napa, CA metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 30 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #340 of 387 scored metro areas
#18 of 25 scored metro areas based in California

Listings
70
18 chain locations (26%)
Official establishments
52
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +40.5% since 2019
Household spending a year
$242M
On food away from home · $4,863 a household
Spending per listing
$3.5M
17% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
14.1
44% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
132,949
−3.3% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Napa metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Napa metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Napa metro area is 30 (lower middle), #340 of 387 scored metro areas and #18 of 25 scored metro areas based in California. That puts it in the bottom quarter of metro areas.

At $4,863 per household (19% above the U.S. average), households in the Napa metro area spend about $242M a year on food away from home. That works out to $3.5M per shop, 17% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 70 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Napa metro area as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 26% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That is 14.1 per 10,000 households, 44% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Napa metro area was 52 in 2023, up 40.5% from 2019. That is one for every 957 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $345K have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Napa metro area. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the Napa metro area declined 3.3%, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How the Napa metro area compares

The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Napa, CA metro area compared with California and the U.S.
MeasureNapa metro areaCaliforniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households14.111.79.8
Spending per listing$3.5M$3.9M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)9579161,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+40.5%+14.4%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−3.3%−0.4%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,863$4,559$4,070
Median household income$111,471$99,122$80,734
Groundwork market score3033

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
52All snack bars and retail bakeries · +40.5% over the period
Employees, 2023
793
Annual payroll, 2023
$22.8M
One-person businesses, 2023
5All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
7018 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
58The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$345K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Napa metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Napa metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
132,949−3.3% since 2020
Households
49,763
Median age
43.7
Homes lived in by their owners
63%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
752 sq. mi.
People per square mile
179
Median household income
$111,471+25.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$161,760
Median home value
$869,500
Jobs located here
76,014
Daytime population
143,128Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Napa metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Napa metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across California

Every California market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in California for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in California, with the Napa metro area marked.

Top metro areas in California

Metro areas in California ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Yuba City, CA73406.5$6M+3.3%#23 of 387
2Stockton-Lodi, CA632198.9$4.8M+5.5%#91 of 387
3Vallejo, CA591398.8$5.1M+0.6%#127 of 387
4Redding, CA56456.3$6M−0.3%#144 of 387
5Merced, CA54657.6$4.7M+5.1%#162 of 387
6Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA548409.5$4.7M+3.2%#163 of 387
7San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA5274811.0$5.2M−0.6%#178 of 387
8Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA461,51610.5$4M+3.5%#237 of 387
9San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA432,01211.5$4.6M−2.4%#257 of 387
10Modesto, CA411709.6$4.2M+0.7%#268 of 387
18Napa, CA307014.1$3.5M−3.3%#340 of 387

Other business types in the Napa metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Napa, CA metro area?

As of September 2026, map listings count 70 bakeries and dessert shops in the Napa metro area. 18 of them (26%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 52 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 40.5% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 5 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Napa, CA metro area spend on food away from home?

About $242M a year, or $4,863 per household. That is 19% above the U.S. average (an index of 119, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 70 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.5M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 49,763 households in the Napa metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Napa, CA metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Napa metro area has 14.1 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 44% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.5M, 17% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Napa metro area would have about 58, against 70 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 957 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 40.5% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is the Napa, CA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Napa metro area at 132,949 people in 2025, down 3.3% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 49,763 households. The median household income in the Napa metro area is $111,471 a year, 38% above the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 25.8% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Napa metro area scores 30 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #340 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Napa metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Napa metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Napa metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Napa metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.