Groundwork

Market rankings · North Dakota

Bakeries and dessert shops in North Dakota

Every metro area, small-town market and county in North Dakota, ranked by the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, with competitor counts and household spending for each.

Listings
215
64 chain locations (30%)
Official establishments
258
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +47.4% since 2019
Household spending a year
$1.3B
On food away from home
Listings per 10k households
6.5
34% below the U.S.
Spending per listing
$6.1M
46% above the U.S.
Rank among states
#12 of 51
Market score 62 · Upper middle

A site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings around any address in North Dakota by name and distance, and the spending within reach.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

There are 215 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in North Dakota as of September 2026. 64 of them (30%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 6.5 for every 10,000 households, 34% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in North Dakota spend about $1.3B a year on food away from home, or $3,940 per household, 3% below the U.S. average. That is about $6.1M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 46% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in North Dakota was 258 in 2023, up 47.4% from 2019. That is one for every 1,283 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. Across the U.S., the count rose 24.6% over the same years. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 6 SBA-backed loans worth $2.4M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in North Dakota.

Among the 50 states and DC, North Dakota ranks #12 for bakeries and dessert shops, with a Groundwork market score of 62 (upper middle). Of the 4 scored metro areas in or partly in North Dakota, the Fargo metro area scores highest (75). Of the 4 scored small-town markets in or partly in North Dakota, the Wahpeton area scores highest (69).

Every market in North Dakota for bakeries and dessert shops

Download the ranking (CSV)

Numbered by Groundwork market score among the markets based in North Dakota, highest first; the U.S. rank compares each market with every other of its kind. A metro area that crosses a state line is listed in each state it reaches, and numbered only in the state its page is under. How the score works.

Metro areas

Metro areas reaching North Dakota, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Fargo, ND-MN75635.7$6.9M+7.7%#15 of 387
2Bismarck, ND71315.5$7.5M+4.5%#29 of 387
3Grand Forks, ND-MN60286.4$5.8M+0.8%#113 of 387
4Minot, ND52216.6$6M−2.4%#177 of 387

Small-town markets

Small-town markets reaching North Dakota, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Wahpeton, ND-MN6955.3$7.3M0.0%#62 of 507
2Jamestown, ND6166.4$5.6M−0.6%#133 of 507
3Williston, ND60117.3$5.9M+1.4%#141 of 507
4Dickinson, ND401811.6$3.5M+0.7%#358 of 507

Counties

Counties in North Dakota, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Cass County, ND69526.2$6.4M+9.1%#287 of 1,889
2Burleigh County, ND66286.8$6.2M+4.7%#359 of 1,889
3Richland County, ND6057.3$5.3M+1.2%#538 of 1,889
4Stutsman County, ND5866.4$5.6M−0.6%#609 of 1,889
5Grand Forks County, ND56206.4$5.8M+1.9%#685 of 1,889
6Williams County, ND55117.3$5.9M+1.4%#723 of 1,889
7Ward County, ND49207.0$5.7M−2.4%#946 of 1,889
8Stark County, ND341511.1$3.6M+0.5%#1,506 of 1,889
9Barnes County, ND30510.2$3.6M−2.7%#1,613 of 1,889
Morton County, NDNot scored32.2$18.5M+3.8%
McKenzie County, NDNot scored00.0n/a+2.8%
Rolette County, NDNot scored25.3$6.5M−4.1%
Ramsey County, NDNot scored35.5$6.4M−0.4%
Walsh County, NDNot scored24.5$8.2M−3.3%
McLean County, NDNot scored24.6$8.8M−0.2%
Mountrail County, NDNot scored25.1$7.8M−4.2%
Mercer County, NDNot scored411.1$3.6M+1.1%
Traill County, NDNot scored412.0$3.4M−0.8%
Pembina County, NDNot scored26.7$5.5M−3.8%
Bottineau County, NDNot scored311.2$3.6M−1.6%
Benson County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−3.0%
Ransom County, NDNot scored14.3$8.8M−1.5%
McHenry County, NDNot scored14.5$8.7M−3.9%
Dickey County, NDNot scored15.1$7.4M−1.5%
LaMoure County, NDNot scored211.5$3.3M+1.0%
Show all 53 counties
Counties in North Dakota, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score, continued
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
Dunn County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−0.9%
Pierce County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−3.6%
Wells County, NDNot scored211.2$3.2M−5.9%
Sargent County, NDNot scored15.7$6.8M−3.4%
Sioux County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−5.4%
Cavalier County, NDNot scored319.2$2M−5.4%
Foster County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−5.1%
Emmons County, NDNot scored213.1$2.7M−2.4%
Nelson County, NDNot scored214.9$2.5M−1.0%
Bowman County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−7.1%
McIntosh County, NDNot scored18.4$4M−2.5%
Hettinger County, NDNot scored00.0n/a+0.4%
Kidder County, NDNot scored18.5$4M+0.5%
Eddy County, NDNot scored18.5$3.9M+0.1%
Renville County, NDNot scored00.0n/a+2.9%
Grant County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−3.5%
Griggs County, NDNot scored110.1$3.6M−2.5%
Divide County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−4.2%
Burke County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−2.7%
Adams County, NDNot scored00.0n/a+3.7%
Towner County, NDNot scored110.1$3.6M−5.0%
Oliver County, NDNot scored00.0n/a+1.7%
Logan County, NDNot scored112.9$2.6M−1.3%
Steele County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−0.1%
Golden Valley County, NDNot scored228.6$1.4M+4.8%
Sheridan County, NDNot scored00.0n/a+2.7%
Billings County, NDNot scored373.7$591K+15.2%
Slope County, NDNot scored00.0n/a−9.9%

Markets with fewer than 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, and counties under 10,000 people, aren’t scored; they’re listed last in each table.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in North Dakota?

As of September 2026, map listings count 215 bakeries and dessert shops in North Dakota. 64 of them (30%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 258 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 47.4% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Another 41 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts.

How much do households in North Dakota spend on food away from home?

About $1.3B a year, or $3,940 per household. That is 3% below the U.S. average (an index of 97, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 215 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $6.1M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 331,063 households in North Dakota and national spending patterns by income.

How does North Dakota compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

North Dakota has 6.5 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 34% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $6.1M, 46% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, North Dakota would have about 315, against 215 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,283 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 47.4% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

Which market in North Dakota has the highest market score for bakeries and dessert shops?

Among 4 scored metro areas in or partly in North Dakota, the Fargo metro area scores highest, at 75 (high). Among 4 scored small-town markets in or partly in North Dakota, the Wahpeton area scores highest, at 69 (upper middle). Among 9 scored counties in North Dakota, Cass County scores highest, at 69 (upper middle). Scores compare each market with others of its kind across the U.S.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. North Dakota scores 62 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #12 of the 50 states and DC.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in North Dakota. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

Bakeries and dessert shops in other states

All 51 states

Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops across the U.S. · All business types in North Dakota

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This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.