Food and drink · County · California
Bakeries and dessert shops in San Francisco County, CA
Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in San Francisco County, CA, set against other counties and the U.S.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 30 out of 100: Lower middle
Ranked #1,614 of 1,889 scored counties
#40 of 53 scored counties in California
- Listings
- 557
- 101 chain locations (18%)
- Official establishments
- 616
- All snack bars and retail bakeries · −6.8% since 2019
- Household spending a year
- $2B
- On food away from home · $5,358 a household
- Spending per listing
- $3.5M
- 16% below the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 15.3
- 56% above the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 826,079
- −5.6% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in San Francisco County
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of San Francisco County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
For bakeries and dessert shops, San Francisco County has a Groundwork market score of 30 (lower middle): #1,614 of 1,889 scored counties and #40 of 53 scored counties in California. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.
Map listings as of September 2026 show 557 bakeries and dessert shops in San Francisco County. Of those, 101 are chain locations, or 18%, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 15.3, 56% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.
Households in San Francisco County spend about $2B a year on food away from home, or $5,358 per household, 32% above the U.S. average. That is about $3.5M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 16% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.
The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in San Francisco County was 616 in 2023, down 6.8% from 2019. That is one for every 591 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 9 SBA-backed loans worth $4.5M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in San Francisco County. Population estimates put the population change in San Francisco County from 2020 to 2025 at −5.6%, against +3.1% for the U.S.
How San Francisco County compares
The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | San Francisco County | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 15.3 | 11.7 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $3.5M | $3.9M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | 591 | 916 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | −6.8% | +14.4% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | −5.6% | −0.4% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $5,358 | $4,559 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $140,970 | $99,122 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 30 | 33 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 661 → 616All snack bars and retail bakeries · −6.8% over the period
- Employees, 2023
- 6,126
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $194.4M
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 43All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 557101 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 471The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 9
- Amount
- $4.5M
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in San Francisco County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in San Francisco County
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 826,079−5.6% since 2020
- Households
- 363,970
- Median age
- 41.4
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 38%
- Vehicles per household
- 1.1
- Land area
- 47 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 17,777
- Median household income
- $140,970+25.4% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $206,854
- Median home value
- $1,394,500
- Jobs located here
- 747,999
- Daytime population
- 1,133,228Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in San Francisco County?
These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of San Francisco County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across California
Every California market ranked →The highest-scoring counties in California for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in California, with San Francisco County marked.
Top counties in California
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Yuba County, CA | 88 | 9 | 3.1 | $12.1M | +8.2% | #25 of 1,889 |
| 2Colusa County, CA | 63 | 5 | 6.7 | $5.6M | −0.1% | #446 of 1,889 |
| 3Placer County, CA | 63 | 156 | 9.9 | $5M | +8.9% | #452 of 1,889 |
| 4San Benito County, CA | 62 | 20 | 9.7 | $5M | +8.6% | #471 of 1,889 |
| 5Contra Costa County, CA | 61 | 336 | 8.1 | $6.4M | +0.3% | #493 of 1,889 |
| 6San Joaquin County, CA | 61 | 219 | 8.9 | $4.8M | +5.5% | #511 of 1,889 |
| 7Solano County, CA | 57 | 139 | 8.8 | $5.1M | +0.6% | #648 of 1,889 |
| 8Lake County, CA | 56 | 12 | 4.5 | $7.9M | −0.6% | #676 of 1,889 |
| 9Merced County, CA | 56 | 65 | 7.6 | $4.7M | +5.1% | #699 of 1,889 |
| 10Del Norte County, CA | 55 | 5 | 5.3 | $6.8M | −4.4% | #720 of 1,889 |
| 40San Francisco County, CA | 30 | 557 | 15.3 | $3.5M | −5.6% | #1,614 of 1,889 |
Other business types in San Francisco County
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes23
- Sit-down restaurants22
- Fast food and sandwich shops53
- Pizza53
- Coffee shops and cafes22
- Bakeries and dessert shops30
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in San Francisco County, CA?
There are 557 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in San Francisco County as of September 2026. 101 of them (18%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 616 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, down 6.8% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 43 one-person businesses without payroll.
How much do households in San Francisco County, CA spend on food away from home?
About $2B a year, or $5,358 per household. That is 32% above the U.S. average (an index of 132, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 557 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.5M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 363,970 households in San Francisco County and national spending patterns by income.
How does San Francisco County, CA compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
San Francisco County has 15.3 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 56% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.5M, 16% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, San Francisco County would have about 471, against 557 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 591 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count fell 6.8% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.
How fast is San Francisco County, CA growing?
Population estimates put San Francisco County at 826,079 people in 2025, down 5.6% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 363,970 households. Median household income in San Francisco County is $140,970, 75% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 25.4%, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. San Francisco County scores 30 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,614 of 1,889 scored counties.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in San Francisco County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in San Francisco County
Screening a site or an acquisition in San Francisco County?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of San Francisco County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.