Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · California

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area

The bakeries and dessert shops in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 29 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #347 of 387 scored metro areas
#20 of 25 scored metro areas based in California

Listings
197
57 chain locations (29%)
Official establishments
162
All snack bars and retail bakeries · −10.0% since 2019
Household spending a year
$677.9M
On food away from home · $4,531 a household
Spending per listing
$3.4M
17% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
13.2
35% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
442,065
−1.4% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area is 29 (lower middle), #347 of 387 scored metro areas and #20 of 25 scored metro areas based in California. That puts it in the bottom quarter of metro areas.

At $4,531 per household (11% above the U.S. average), households in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area spend about $677.9M a year on food away from home. Spread across 197 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $3.4M per shop, 17% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

The Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area has 197 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 57 of them (29%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 13.2 for every 10,000 households, 35% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Official counts show 162 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area in 2023, down 10.0% from 2019. That is one for every 924 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 5 SBA-backed loans worth $2.1M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area. Population estimates show the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area declined 1.4% from 2020 to 2025, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area compares

The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area compared with California and the U.S.
MeasureSanta Maria-Santa Barbara metro areaCaliforniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households13.211.79.8
Spending per listing$3.4M$3.9M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)9249161,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023−10.0%+14.4%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−1.4%−0.4%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,531$4,559$4,070
Median household income$98,161$99,122$80,734
Groundwork market score2933

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
162All snack bars and retail bakeries · −10.0% over the period
Employees, 2023
2,109
Annual payroll, 2023
$56.8M
One-person businesses, 2023
10All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
19757 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
164The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
5
Amount
$2.1M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
442,065−1.4% since 2020
Households
149,608
Median age
37.4
Homes lived in by their owners
52%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
2,734 sq. mi.
People per square mile
162
Median household income
$98,161+31.5% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$140,895
Median home value
$790,700
Jobs located here
193,212
Daytime population
452,081Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across California

Every California market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in California for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in California, with the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area marked.

Top metro areas in California

Metro areas in California ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Yuba City, CA73406.5$6M+3.3%#23 of 387
2Stockton-Lodi, CA632198.9$4.8M+5.5%#91 of 387
3Vallejo, CA591398.8$5.1M+0.6%#127 of 387
4Redding, CA56456.3$6M−0.3%#144 of 387
5Merced, CA54657.6$4.7M+5.1%#162 of 387
6Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA548409.5$4.7M+3.2%#163 of 387
7San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA5274811.0$5.2M−0.6%#178 of 387
8Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA461,51610.5$4M+3.5%#237 of 387
9San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA432,01211.5$4.6M−2.4%#257 of 387
10Modesto, CA411709.6$4.2M+0.7%#268 of 387
20Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA2919713.2$3.4M−1.4%#347 of 387

Other business types in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 197 bakeries and dessert shops in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area. 57 of them (29%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 162 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, down 10.0% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 10 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area spend on food away from home?

About $677.9M a year, or $4,531 per household. That is 11% above the U.S. average (an index of 111, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 197 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.4M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 149,608 households in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area has 13.2 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 35% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.4M, 17% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area would have about 164, against 197 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 924 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count fell 10.0% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area at 442,065 people in 2025, down 1.4% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 149,608 households. The median household income in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area is $98,161 a year, 22% above the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 31.5% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area scores 29 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #347 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.