Groundwork

Market rankings · Kentucky

Bakeries and dessert shops in Kentucky

Every metro area, small-town market and county in Kentucky, ranked by the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, with competitor counts and household spending for each.

Listings
1,258
431 chain locations (34%)
Official establishments
678
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +30.9% since 2019
Household spending a year
$6.3B
On food away from home
Listings per 10k households
6.9
30% below the U.S.
Spending per listing
$5M
21% above the U.S.
Rank among states
#13 of 51
Market score 62 · Upper middle

A site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings around any address in Kentucky by name and distance, and the spending within reach.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Kentucky has 1,258 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. Of those, 431 are chain locations, or 34%, against 35% across the U.S. That is 6.9 per 10,000 households, 30% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Kentucky spend about $6.3B a year on food away from home, or $3,489 per household, 14% below the U.S. average. That works out to $5M per shop, 21% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Kentucky was 678 in 2023, up 30.9% from 2019. That is one for every 2,676 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. Across the U.S., the count rose 24.6% over the same years. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 56 SBA-backed loans worth $21.4M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Kentucky.

Among the 50 states and DC, Kentucky ranks #13 for bakeries and dessert shops, with a Groundwork market score of 62 (upper middle). Of the 9 scored metro areas in or partly in Kentucky, the Louisville/Jefferson County metro area scores highest (64). Of the 12 scored small-town markets in or partly in Kentucky, the Richmond-Berea area scores highest (82).

Every market in Kentucky for bakeries and dessert shops

Download the ranking (CSV)

Numbered by Groundwork market score among the markets based in Kentucky, highest first; the U.S. rank compares each market with every other of its kind. A metro area that crosses a state line is listed in each state it reaches, and numbered only in the state its page is under. How the score works.

Metro areas

Metro areas reaching Kentucky, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN644437.9$4.8M+2.9%#81 of 387
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN647818.6$4.8M+2.7%#82 of 387
2Elizabethtown, KY61387.5$4.7M+2.4%#105 of 387
Clarksville, TN-KY60917.3$4.8M+8.5%#116 of 387
3Bowling Green, KY54618.3$4.1M+9.5%#167 of 387
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH521026.7$5M−2.6%#181 of 387
4Lexington-Fayette, KY521959.0$4.2M+3.4%#183 of 387
5Owensboro, KY42419.1$3.9M+1.3%#264 of 387
6Paducah, KY-IL294711.3$3.1M−1.2%#350 of 387

Small-town markets

Small-town markets reaching Kentucky, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Richmond-Berea, KY82244.8$6.9M+7.0%#8 of 507
2Henderson, KY6983.4$9.6M−0.9%#60 of 507
3Somerset, KY66155.7$5.4M+3.5%#84 of 507
4Glasgow, KY65115.0$6.2M+2.6%#94 of 507
5Corbin, KY63264.6$6.4M+0.1%#107 of 507
6Madisonville, KY62105.4$5.8M−0.5%#117 of 507
7Campbellsville, KY6285.4$5.8M+3.4%#118 of 507
8Danville, KY61167.4$4.4M+3.6%#139 of 507
9Frankfort, KY58278.3$4.3M+3.1%#171 of 507
10Murray, KY56117.2$4.3M+4.9%#192 of 507
11Pikeville, KY51205.1$5.6M−5.4%#239 of 507
12Middlesborough, KY3966.0$4.3M−4.8%#365 of 507
Mount Sterling, KYNot scored21.1$28.8M+3.1%
Mayfield, KYNot scored10.7$44.4M+1.4%
Franklin, KYNot scored45.0$6.7M+5.9%

Counties

Counties in Kentucky, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Oldham County, KY88114.8$10.5M+4.9%#26 of 1,889
2Bullitt County, KY88144.4$8.8M+5.0%#27 of 1,889
3Nelson County, KY78115.7$6.2M+4.8%#115 of 1,889
4Scott County, KY76208.8$4.6M+8.2%#153 of 1,889
5Shelby County, KY75126.5$6.1M+6.2%#169 of 1,889
6Madison County, KY75246.5$5.4M+9.4%#172 of 1,889
7Grant County, KY7355.4$6.3M+4.7%#201 of 1,889
8Jessamine County, KY71115.5$6.9M+7.8%#234 of 1,889
9Meade County, KY7176.4$5.9M+2.2%#243 of 1,889
10Kenton County, KY71537.9$5.1M+3.9%#250 of 1,889
11Clark County, KY6796.0$5.8M+2.3%#333 of 1,889
12Henderson County, KY6573.8$8.7M−0.9%#381 of 1,889
13Pulaski County, KY64155.7$5.4M+3.5%#421 of 1,889
14Anderson County, KY6288.3$4.4M+5.5%#486 of 1,889
15Whitley County, KY6175.2$5.6M+1.6%#500 of 1,889
16Hopkins County, KY60105.4$5.8M−0.5%#535 of 1,889
17Hardin County, KY60368.1$4.5M+2.4%#553 of 1,889
18Marshall County, KY5975.3$6.5M−0.1%#565 of 1,889
19Boone County, KY586212.2$3.6M+6.5%#636 of 1,889
20Laurel County, KY57156.3$5.1M+1.6%#649 of 1,889
21Campbell County, KY56379.4$4.2M+2.5%#709 of 1,889
22Taylor County, KY5565.8$5.5M+2.9%#726 of 1,889
23Barren County, KY54116.1$5.1M+2.6%#777 of 1,889
24Calloway County, KY53117.2$4.3M+4.9%#824 of 1,889
25Warren County, KY53498.8$4M+10.6%#831 of 1,889
Show all 120 counties
Counties in Kentucky, ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score, continued
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
26Woodford County, KY531614.8$2.7M+3.7%#836 of 1,889
27Jefferson County, KY522928.8$4.2M+1.6%#859 of 1,889
28Carter County, KY4854.6$6.7M−1.7%#978 of 1,889
29Greenup County, KY4885.4$6.1M−1.9%#979 of 1,889
30Franklin County, KY48198.4$4.2M+2.0%#998 of 1,889
31Fayette County, KY461359.7$3.9M+2.2%#1,082 of 1,889
32Pike County, KY43166.6$4.4M−6.4%#1,172 of 1,889
33Daviess County, KY43399.4$3.8M+1.5%#1,189 of 1,889
34Adair County, KY4257.0$4.3M+2.9%#1,212 of 1,889
35Bell County, KY4066.0$4.3M−4.8%#1,285 of 1,889
36Boyle County, KY401310.8$3.1M+2.9%#1,310 of 1,889
37Allen County, KY38810.0$3.2M+9.5%#1,373 of 1,889
38Wayne County, KY3556.2$4.5M+0.3%#1,461 of 1,889
39Christian County, KY33218.2$3.8M−3.6%#1,530 of 1,889
40Perry County, KY2976.3$4.7M−6.4%#1,633 of 1,889
41McCracken County, KY253713.4$2.6M−0.5%#1,742 of 1,889
42Boyd County, KY242110.9$3M−0.9%#1,757 of 1,889
43Mason County, KY2368.4$3.7M−1.2%#1,765 of 1,889
44Letcher County, KY1078.3$3.2M−7.0%#1,880 of 1,889
45Union County, KY8611.5$2.7M−5.9%#1,882 of 1,889
Graves County, KYNot scored10.7$44.4M+1.4%
Floyd County, KYNot scored42.7$10.5M−3.9%
Muhlenberg County, KYNot scored43.3$9.8M−0.9%
Knox County, KYNot scored32.6$10.1M−2.2%
Montgomery County, KYNot scored21.8$17.6M+2.5%
Logan County, KYNot scored32.7$11.7M+4.2%
Grayson County, KYNot scored33.0$10.6M+3.6%
Harlan County, KYNot scored10.9$29.7M−7.6%
Rowan County, KYNot scored44.2$7.6M−1.0%
Lincoln County, KYNot scored33.1$10M+4.6%
Ohio County, KYNot scored33.3$9.6M+0.8%
Mercer County, KYNot scored22.2$15.6M+4.8%
Johnson County, KYNot scored33.3$8.6M−2.6%
Breckinridge County, KYNot scored22.5$13M+5.2%
Bourbon County, KYNot scored44.9$7M−0.3%
Spencer County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+7.7%
Simpson County, KYNot scored45.0$6.7M+5.9%
Clay County, KYNot scored11.4$19.7M−4.1%
Marion County, KYNot scored22.6$12.3M+2.7%
Hart County, KYNot scored22.7$11.2M+4.3%
Harrison County, KYNot scored45.5$6.4M+4.9%
Russell County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+3.4%
Garrard County, KYNot scored11.5$21.8M+7.3%
McCreary County, KYNot scored11.7$14.5M+1.7%
Rockcastle County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+0.6%
Lawrence County, KYNot scored46.3$4.7M−3.3%
Casey County, KYNot scored46.2$4.7M+1.8%
Henry County, KYNot scored34.9$6.8M+4.8%
Fleming County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+4.6%
Larue County, KYNot scored23.3$10M+2.1%
Pendleton County, KYNot scored23.7$9.2M+1.1%
Trigg County, KYNot scored11.7$19.9M+3.1%
Morgan County, KYNot scored24.1$7.2M+5.0%
Estill County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−1.4%
Knott County, KYNot scored35.4$5.2M−5.9%
Breathitt County, KYNot scored35.5$4.8M−8.3%
Jackson County, KYNot scored12.0$14.3M+2.8%
Powell County, KYNot scored48.4$3.4M−2.2%
Lewis County, KYNot scored24.0$7.5M−1.4%
Bath County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+3.6%
Webster County, KYNot scored12.0$15.5M−0.7%
Caldwell County, KYNot scored36.0$5.4M−0.3%
Todd County, KYNot scored36.6$5.2M+5.6%
Butler County, KYNot scored24.4$7M+1.6%
Edmonson County, KYNot scored23.9$7.7M+5.0%
Washington County, KYNot scored12.1$16M+2.7%
Green County, KYNot scored24.5$6.7M+4.6%
Magoffin County, KYNot scored12.1$12.2M−4.3%
Owen County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+2.6%
Monroe County, KYNot scored24.3$6.9M−1.1%
Martin County, KYNot scored37.8$3.8M−4.9%
Carroll County, KYNot scored24.8$6.9M+2.9%
Metcalfe County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+2.9%
Leslie County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−8.0%
Clinton County, KYNot scored12.6$10.8M−1.0%
McLean County, KYNot scored25.5$6.4M−0.8%
Hancock County, KYNot scored12.7$12M−0.6%
Crittenden County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−2.2%
Livingston County, KYNot scored616.7$2M−0.1%
Lyon County, KYNot scored12.9$12.1M+5.2%
Gallatin County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+1.9%
Trimble County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+2.8%
Bracken County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+1.3%
Nicholas County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+5.4%
Ballard County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−1.5%
Lee County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−0.9%
Elliott County, KYNot scored14.1$7M−0.9%
Wolfe County, KYNot scored13.7$6.3M−4.0%
Fulton County, KYNot scored311.8$2.3M−4.5%
Menifee County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+4.8%
Cumberland County, KYNot scored13.8$7.1M+2.3%
Carlisle County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−1.2%
Hickman County, KYNot scored15.8$5.7M−3.4%
Owsley County, KYNot scored00.0n/a−2.5%
Robertson County, KYNot scored00.0n/a+6.6%

Markets with fewer than 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, and counties under 10,000 people, aren’t scored; they’re listed last in each table.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Kentucky?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 1,258 bakeries and dessert shops in Kentucky. 431 of them (34%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 678 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 30.9% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 122 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Kentucky spend on food away from home?

About $6.3B a year, or $3,489 per household. That is 14% below the U.S. average (an index of 86, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 1,258 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $5M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 1,814,469 households in Kentucky and national spending patterns by income.

How does Kentucky compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Kentucky has 6.9 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 30% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $5M, 21% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Kentucky would have about 1,528, against 1,258 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,676 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 30.9% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

Which market in Kentucky has the highest market score for bakeries and dessert shops?

Among 9 scored metro areas in or partly in Kentucky, the Louisville/Jefferson County metro area scores highest, at 64 (upper middle). Among 12 scored small-town markets in or partly in Kentucky, the Richmond-Berea area scores highest, at 82 (high). Among 45 scored counties in Kentucky, Oldham County scores highest, at 88 (high). Scores compare each market with others of its kind across the U.S.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Kentucky scores 62 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #13 of the 50 states and DC.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Kentucky. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

Bakeries and dessert shops in other states

All 51 states

Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops across the U.S. · All business types in Kentucky

Screening a site or an acquisition in Kentucky?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.