Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Kentucky

Bakeries and dessert shops in Adair County, KY

How Adair County, KY compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 42 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,212 of 1,889 scored counties
#34 of 45 scored counties in Kentucky

Listings
5
2 chain locations (40%)
Official establishments
n/a
Fewer than 3, or not published
Household spending a year
$21.7M
On food away from home · $3,047 a household
Spending per listing
$4.3M
5% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
7.0
29% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
19,423
+2.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Adair County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Adair County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

As of September 2026, map listings count 5 bakeries and dessert shops in Adair County. Of those, 2 are chain locations, or 40%, against 35% across the U.S. That is 7.0 per 10,000 households, 29% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Adair County spend about $21.7M a year on food away from home, or $3,047 per household, 25% below the U.S. average. That is about $4.3M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 5% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

There is no official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Adair County: counts under 3 aren’t published.

Population estimates show Adair County grew 2.9% from 2020 to 2025, in step with the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, Adair County has a Groundwork market score of 42 (lower middle): #1,212 of 1,889 scored counties and #34 of 45 scored counties in Kentucky.

How Adair County compares

The same measures for Kentucky and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Adair County, KY compared with Kentucky and the U.S.
MeasureAdair CountyKentuckyU.S.
Listings per 10k households7.06.99.8
Spending per listing$4.3M$5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)n/a2,6761,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+30.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+2.9%+2.2%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,047$3,489$4,070
Median household income$53,553$63,726$80,734
Groundwork market score4262

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
n/aAll snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
n/a
Annual payroll, 2023
n/a
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
52 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
5The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Adair County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Adair County

Population, 2025 estimate
19,423+2.9% since 2020
Households
7,136
Median age
41.1
Homes lived in by their owners
77%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
405 sq. mi.
People per square mile
47
Median household income
$53,553+40.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$71,223
Median home value
$150,800
Jobs located here
4,855
Daytime population
17,036Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Adair County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Adair County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Kentucky

Every Kentucky market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Kentucky for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Kentucky, with Adair County marked.

Top counties in Kentucky

Counties in Kentucky ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Oldham County, KY88114.8$10.5M+4.9%#26 of 1,889
2Bullitt County, KY88144.4$8.8M+5.0%#27 of 1,889
3Nelson County, KY78115.7$6.2M+4.8%#115 of 1,889
4Scott County, KY76208.8$4.6M+8.2%#153 of 1,889
5Shelby County, KY75126.5$6.1M+6.2%#169 of 1,889
6Madison County, KY75246.5$5.4M+9.4%#172 of 1,889
7Grant County, KY7355.4$6.3M+4.7%#201 of 1,889
8Jessamine County, KY71115.5$6.9M+7.8%#234 of 1,889
9Meade County, KY7176.4$5.9M+2.2%#243 of 1,889
10Kenton County, KY71537.9$5.1M+3.9%#250 of 1,889
34Adair County, KY4257.0$4.3M+2.9%#1,212 of 1,889

Other business types in Adair County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Adair County, KY?

Adair County has 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 2 of them (40%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. No official count is published for snack bars and retail bakeries in Adair County: counts under 3 are left out.

How much do households in Adair County, KY spend on food away from home?

About $21.7M a year, or $3,047 per household. That is 25% below the U.S. average (an index of 75, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.3M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 7,136 households in Adair County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Adair County, KY compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Adair County has 7.0 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 29% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.3M, 5% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The count on map listings matches the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending.

How fast is Adair County, KY growing?

Population estimates put Adair County at 19,423 people in 2025, up 2.9% since 2020, in step with the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 7,136 households. Median household income in Adair County is $53,553, 34% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 40.9%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Adair County scores 42 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,212 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Adair County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Adair County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Adair County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Adair County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.