Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · Kentucky

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Paducah, KY-IL metro area

The bakeries and dessert shops in the Paducah, KY-IL metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 29 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #350 of 387 scored metro areas
#6 of 6 scored metro areas based in Kentucky

Listings
47
12 chain locations (26%)
Official establishments
20
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$145.5M
On food away from home · $3,487 a household
Spending per listing
$3.1M
25% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.3
15% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
102,259
−1.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Paducah metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Paducah metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Paducah metro area scores 29 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #350 of 387 scored metro areas and #6 of 6 scored metro areas based in Kentucky. That puts it in the bottom quarter of metro areas.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 47 bakeries and dessert shops in the Paducah metro area. 12 of them (26%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That is 11.3 per 10,000 households, 15% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,487 per household (14% below the U.S. average), households in the Paducah metro area spend about $145.5M a year on food away from home. That is about $3.1M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 25% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 20 businesses with payroll in the Paducah metro area classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 2,087 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $360K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Paducah metro area. Population estimates put the population change in the Paducah metro area from 2020 to 2025 at −1.2%, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How the Paducah metro area compares

The same measures for Kentucky and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Paducah, KY-IL metro area compared with Kentucky and the U.S.
MeasurePaducah metro areaKentuckyU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.36.99.8
Spending per listing$3.1M$5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,0872,6761,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+30.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−1.2%+2.2%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,487$3,489$4,070
Median household income$64,160$63,726$80,734
Groundwork market score2962

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
20All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
170
Annual payroll, 2023
$2.5M
One-person businesses, 2023
4All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
4712 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
35The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$360K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Paducah metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Paducah metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
102,259−1.2% since 2020
Households
41,735
Median age
43.0
Homes lived in by their owners
72%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
1,236 sq. mi.
People per square mile
83
Median household income
$64,160
Average household income
$88,236
Median home value
$168,700
Jobs located here
48,716
Daytime population
107,914Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Paducah metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Paducah metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Kentucky

Every Kentucky market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in Kentucky for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Kentucky (a market based in another state is listed without a number), with the Paducah metro area marked.

Top metro areas in Kentucky

Metro areas in Kentucky ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN644437.9$4.8M+2.9%#81 of 387
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN647818.6$4.8M+2.7%#82 of 387
2Elizabethtown, KY61387.5$4.7M+2.4%#105 of 387
Clarksville, TN-KY60917.3$4.8M+8.5%#116 of 387
3Bowling Green, KY54618.3$4.1M+9.5%#167 of 387
Huntington-Ashland, WV-KY-OH521026.7$5M−2.6%#181 of 387
4Lexington-Fayette, KY521959.0$4.2M+3.4%#183 of 387
5Owensboro, KY42419.1$3.9M+1.3%#264 of 387
6Paducah, KY-IL294711.3$3.1M−1.2%#350 of 387

Other business types in the Paducah metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Paducah, KY-IL metro area?

There are 47 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Paducah metro area as of September 2026. 12 of them (26%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 20 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 4 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Paducah, KY-IL metro area spend on food away from home?

About $145.5M a year, or $3,487 per household. That is 14% below the U.S. average (an index of 86, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 47 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.1M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 41,735 households in the Paducah metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Paducah, KY-IL metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Paducah metro area has 11.3 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 15% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.1M, 25% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Paducah metro area would have about 35, against 47 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,087 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is the Paducah, KY-IL metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Paducah metro area at 102,259 people in 2025, down 1.2% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 41,735 households. Median household income in the Paducah metro area is $64,160, 21% below the U.S. median of $80,734.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Paducah metro area scores 29 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #350 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Paducah metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Paducah metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Paducah metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Paducah metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.