Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Kentucky

Bakeries and dessert shops in Union County, KY

How Union County, KY compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 8 out of 100: Very low

Ranked #1,882 of 1,889 scored counties
#45 of 45 scored counties in Kentucky

Listings
6
0 chain locations (0%)
Official establishments
n/a
Fewer than 3, or not published
Household spending a year
$16.3M
On food away from home · $3,142 a household
Spending per listing
$2.7M
34% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.5
17% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
12,839
−5.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Union County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Union County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in Union County is 8 (very low), #1,882 of 1,889 scored counties and #45 of 45 scored counties in Kentucky. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

As of September 2026, map listings count 6 bakeries and dessert shops in Union County. None of them are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That is 11.5 per 10,000 households, 17% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Union County comes to about $16.3M a year: $3,142 per household, 23% below the U.S. average. Spread across 6 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $2.7M per shop, 34% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

There is no official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Union County: counts under 3 aren’t published. Population estimates put the population change in Union County from 2020 to 2025 at −5.9%, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How Union County compares

The same measures for Kentucky and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Union County, KY compared with Kentucky and the U.S.
MeasureUnion CountyKentuckyU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.56.99.8
Spending per listing$2.7M$5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)n/a2,6761,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+30.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−5.9%+2.2%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,142$3,489$4,070
Median household income$60,327$63,726$80,734
Groundwork market score862

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
n/aAll snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
n/a
Annual payroll, 2023
n/a
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
60 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
4The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Union County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Union County

Population, 2025 estimate
12,839−5.9% since 2020
Households
5,198
Median age
43.4
Homes lived in by their owners
70%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
343 sq. mi.
People per square mile
39
Median household income
$60,327+29.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$73,009
Median home value
$104,500
Jobs located here
4,860
Daytime population
12,569Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Union County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Union County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Kentucky

Every Kentucky market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Kentucky for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Kentucky, with Union County marked.

Top counties in Kentucky

Counties in Kentucky ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Oldham County, KY88114.8$10.5M+4.9%#26 of 1,889
2Bullitt County, KY88144.4$8.8M+5.0%#27 of 1,889
3Nelson County, KY78115.7$6.2M+4.8%#115 of 1,889
4Scott County, KY76208.8$4.6M+8.2%#153 of 1,889
5Shelby County, KY75126.5$6.1M+6.2%#169 of 1,889
6Madison County, KY75246.5$5.4M+9.4%#172 of 1,889
7Grant County, KY7355.4$6.3M+4.7%#201 of 1,889
8Jessamine County, KY71115.5$6.9M+7.8%#234 of 1,889
9Meade County, KY7176.4$5.9M+2.2%#243 of 1,889
10Kenton County, KY71537.9$5.1M+3.9%#250 of 1,889
45Union County, KY8611.5$2.7M−5.9%#1,882 of 1,889

Other business types in Union County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Union County, KY?

Union County has 6 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. None of them are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. No official count is published for snack bars and retail bakeries in Union County: counts under 3 are left out.

How much do households in Union County, KY spend on food away from home?

About $16.3M a year, or $3,142 per household. That is 23% below the U.S. average (an index of 77, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 6 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.7M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 5,198 households in Union County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Union County, KY compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Union County has 11.5 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 17% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.7M, 34% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Union County would have about 4, against 6 on map listings.

How fast is Union County, KY growing?

Population estimates put Union County at 12,839 people in 2025, down 5.9% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 5,198 households. Median household income in Union County is $60,327, 25% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 29.3%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Union County scores 8 for bakeries and dessert shops (very low), #1,882 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Union County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Union County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Union County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Union County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.