Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · North Dakota

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Minot, ND metro area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Minot, ND metro area, set against other metro areas and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 52 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #177 of 387 scored metro areas
#4 of 4 scored metro areas based in North Dakota

Listings
21
8 chain locations (38%)
Official establishments
27
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$126.2M
On food away from home · $3,972 a household
Spending per listing
$6M
45% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
6.6
33% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
75,694
−2.4% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Minot metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Minot metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Map listings as of September 2026 show 21 bakeries and dessert shops in the Minot metro area. Of those, 8 are chain locations, or 38%, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 6.6, 33% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,972 per household (2% below the U.S. average), households in the Minot metro area spend about $126.2M a year on food away from home. That is about $6M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 45% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 27 businesses with payroll in the Minot metro area classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 1,177 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too.

Population estimates show the Minot metro area declined 2.4% from 2020 to 2025, against +3.1% for the U.S. The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Minot metro area is 52 (upper middle), #177 of 387 scored metro areas and #4 of 4 scored metro areas based in North Dakota.

How the Minot metro area compares

The same measures for North Dakota and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Minot, ND metro area compared with North Dakota and the U.S.
MeasureMinot metro areaNorth DakotaU.S.
Listings per 10k households6.66.59.8
Spending per listing$6M$6.1M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,1771,2831,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+47.4%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−2.4%+2.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,972$3,940$4,070
Median household income$78,200$76,657$80,734
Groundwork market score5262

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
27All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
212
Annual payroll, 2023
$4M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
218 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
31The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Minot metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Minot metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
75,694−2.4% since 2020
Households
31,781
Median age
36.6
Homes lived in by their owners
63%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
4,764 sq. mi.
People per square mile
16
Median household income
$78,200+13.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$101,202
Median home value
$254,000
Jobs located here
32,284
Daytime population
74,187Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Minot metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Minot metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across North Dakota

Every North Dakota market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in North Dakota for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in North Dakota, with the Minot metro area marked.

Top metro areas in North Dakota

Metro areas in North Dakota ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Fargo, ND-MN75635.7$6.9M+7.7%#15 of 387
2Bismarck, ND71315.5$7.5M+4.5%#29 of 387
3Grand Forks, ND-MN60286.4$5.8M+0.8%#113 of 387
4Minot, ND52216.6$6M−2.4%#177 of 387

Other business types in the Minot metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Minot, ND metro area?

There are 21 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Minot metro area as of September 2026. 8 of them (38%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 27 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in the Minot, ND metro area spend on food away from home?

About $126.2M a year, or $3,972 per household. That is 2% below the U.S. average (an index of 98, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 21 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $6M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 31,781 households in the Minot metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Minot, ND metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Minot metro area has 6.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 33% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $6M, 45% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Minot metro area would have about 31, against 21 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,177 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is the Minot, ND metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Minot metro area at 75,694 people in 2025, down 2.4% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 31,781 households. Median household income in the Minot metro area is $78,200, 3% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 13.9%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Minot metro area scores 52 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #177 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Minot metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Minot metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Minot metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Minot metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.