Groundwork

Metro area profile · California

Merced, CA metro area market data

Population, household spending and competition for 56 business types in the Merced metro area, each scored against other metro areas.

Population, 2025
297,260
+5.1% since 2020
Households
86,055
Median household income
$65,510
+22.1% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Median home value
$391,800
Jobs located here
77,775
Highest market score
87
Collision repair and body shops, #1 of 381 scored metro areas

A site report maps the competitors on map listings around any address in the Merced metro area by name and distance, and the households and spending within reach. Or open the report at the center of the Merced metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

An estimated 297,260 people live in the Merced metro area, in 86,055 households. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the Merced metro area grew 5.1%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). The median household income in the Merced metro area is $65,510 a year, 19% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 22.1% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

Set against the U.S., households in the Merced metro area spend the most on vehicle maintenance and repairs (an index of 116, where 100 is the U.S. average) and the least on clothing, shoes and related services (80).

The highest Groundwork market scores in the Merced metro area are for collision repair and body shops (87), spas and skin care studios (83) and veterinarians (83). The Merced metro area ranks #1 of 381 scored metro areas for collision repair and body shops.

The Merced metro area is made up of one county, Merced County. For its number of households, the Merced metro area has the most map listings, relative to the U.S., for gas stations (46% above the U.S. rate) and the fewest for spas and skin care studios (63% below the U.S. rate).

All 56 business types in the Merced metro area

Highest Groundwork market score first. Each score compares the Merced metro area with other metro areas for that business type, from 0 to 100. Spending per listing divides a whole spending line (all vehicle repairs, all eating out) by one type’s listings: the demand for each competitor, not a business’s revenue. Compare it across markets with its index, where 100 is the U.S. figure for the same type; the real estate types, whose line is all housing costs, show the index only. How the score works.

Every business type in Merced, CA metro area, highest Groundwork market score first, with its rank among metro areas, listings, listings per 10,000 households, spending per listing and official establishments
Business typeScoreRank among metro areasListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingSpending per listing vs. U.S. (100)Official establishments
Collision repair and body shops87#1 of 381212.4$4.5M14813
Spas and skin care83#2 of 387374.3$2.1M2424
Veterinarians83#12 of 384192.2$3.9M14513
Pet businesses82#10 of 387687.9$1.1M12523
Salons, barbers and spas81#3 of 38726130.3$301K14232
Gyms, studios and classes81#8 of 3879811.4$796K12020
Hair salons80#6 of 38714216.5$553K12914
Pet grooming and boarding80#9 of 386242.8$3.1M1233
Oil change and quick lube80#9 of 29050.6$19.1M1395
Real estate agents and brokers79#9 of 38715818.4Index only16647
Real estate79#11 of 38721024.4Index only15796
Chiropractors78#12 of 386242.8$4.2M17614
Auto repair shops78#20 of 38718020.9$531K11977
Insurance agencies78#45 of 3878710.1$2M16057
Physical therapy77#18 of 386263.0$3.9M16221
Martial arts and dance studios76#16 of 387364.2$2.2M1073
Roofing and gutters75#18 of 381121.4$18.4M2179
Auto repair and car care75#26 of 38728232.8$339K126127
House cleaning74#35 of 37580.9$12.9M20129
Home repair trades73#22 of 387627.2$3.6M146107
Doctors, dentists and clinics73#37 of 38738344.5$264K173264
Gyms72#32 of 387596.9$1.3M10217
Optometrists and eye care72#33 of 386222.6$4.6M14712
Clothing, shoes and laundry71#51 of 38710812.6$1.3M14840
Mortgage brokers and lenders70#34 of 373263.0Index only1419
Car washes and detailing70#46 of 387252.9$3.8M15218
Clothing and shoe stores70#59 of 387778.9$1.8M14435
Lawn, cleaning and pest control70#59 of 387515.9$2M12089
Electricians68#56 of 383161.9$13.8M11535
Child care and preschools68#66 of 387505.8$962K9640
Restaurants and cafes68#73 of 38772984.7$418K113335
Landscaping and lawn care68#86 of 385303.5$3.4M11746
Nail salons67#58 of 387333.8$2.4M14212
HVAC and plumbing67#60 of 387344.0$6.5M13663
Sit-down restaurants66#75 of 38740647.2$750K113117
Primary care and pediatrics66#79 of 387364.2$2.8M158127
Funeral homes64#102 of 377141.6$832K1238
Property management63#78 of 374242.8Index only10735
Bakeries and dessert shops54#162 of 387657.6$4.7M11353
Coffee shops and cafes54#163 of 387748.6$4.1M11147
Pet stores52#174 of 382182.1$4.2M927
Dentists and orthodontists51#182 of 3879310.8$1.1M11182
Pizza50#194 of 387647.4$4.8M94169
Gas stations50#202 of 38713715.9$1.8M7673
Barbershops48#211 of 387465.3$1.7M91Under 3
Fast food and sandwich shops47#220 of 38712013.9$2.5M83169
Tire shops45#236 of 386455.2$2.1M8524
Convenience stores39#268 of 3879110.6$5.4M6818
Pest control37#261 of 345131.5$7.9M7714
Laundromats31#300 of 364141.6$10.1M80Under 3
Grocery and convenience stores25#346 of 38723026.7$2.1M6374
Grocery stores21#363 of 387809.3$6.1M6656
Yoga, Pilates and fitness studiosNot scoredNot scored30.3$26M64017
Dry cleanersNot scoredNot scored20.2$70.4MToo few5
Home inspectorsNot scoredNot scored20.2Index onlyToo fewUnder 3
Urgent care and walk-in clinicsNot scoredNot scored20.2$50.6MToo few8

Household spending in the Merced metro area

What households here spend in a year on each line, in total and per household, with the index against the U.S. average (100).

Annual household spending in Merced, CA metro area by line, per household, and against the U.S.
Spending lineA year, all householdsPer householdIndex vs. U.S. (100)
Vehicle maintenance and repairs$95.5M$1,110116
Gasoline and other fuels$247.5M$2,876111
Food away from home$304.4M$3,53787
Groceries$489.2M$5,68490
Personal care products and services$78.6M$91391
Child care and other personal services$48.1M$55996
Memberships, classes and admissions$78M$90692
Medical and dental services$101.2M$1,17691
Pets$74.9M$87096
Clothing, shoes and related services$140.7M$1,63580
Vehicle insurance$175.2M$2,036104
Home repairs, maintenance and insurance$220.4M$2,56285
Lawn care, cleaning and other household services$102.9M$1,19585
Rent and homeowner costs$1.4B$16,589100

Household spending is estimated from the incomes of the households in each neighborhood, using what households at each income spent nationally in 2024, adjusted for the region. It counts what residents spend, wherever they spend it.

Population and households in the Merced metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
297,260+5.1% since 2020
Households
86,055
Median age
32.1
Homes lived in by their owners
54%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
1,938 sq. mi.
People per square mile
150
Median household income
$65,510+22.1% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$87,781
Median home value
$391,800
Jobs located here
77,775
Daytime population
255,124Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Merced metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the competitors on map listings by name and distance, for any of the 56 business types.

Or open the report at the center of the Merced metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Questions

How fast is the Merced, CA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Merced metro area at 297,260 people in 2025, up 5.1% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 86,055 households. Against the 2015–2019 survey, median household income rose 22.1%, before inflation.

How much do households in the Merced, CA metro area spend?

Households in the Merced metro area spend about $1.4B a year on rent and homeowner costs, $489.2M on groceries and $304.4M on food away from home. Relative to the U.S., household spending in the Merced metro area runs highest on vehicle maintenance and repairs (an index of 116, where 100 is the U.S. average) and lowest on clothing, shoes and related services (80).

Which business types have the highest market scores in the Merced, CA metro area?

Of the business types scored in the Merced metro area, collision repair and body shops (87), spas and skin care studios (83) and veterinarians (83) have the highest Groundwork market scores. For collision repair and body shops, that ranks #1 of 381 scored metro areas.

How does the Merced, CA metro area compare with the U.S.?

Median household income in the Merced metro area is $65,510, 19% below the U.S. median of $80,734. The population rose 5.1% from 2020 to 2025, against +3.1% for the U.S. The median home value is $391,800, against $332,700 for the U.S. Against the U.S., map listings per household run highest for gas stations (46% above the U.S. rate) and lowest for spas and skin care studios (63% below the U.S. rate).

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. 52 of the 56 business types have a score in the Merced metro area, each ranked against other metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Merced metro area. It maps the competitors on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

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Screening a site or an acquisition in the Merced metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Merced metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.