Groundwork

Beauty and personal care · Metro area · California

Hair salons in the Modesto, CA metro area

The hair salons in the Modesto, CA metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 55 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #139 of 387 scored metro areas
#20 of 25 scored metro areas based in California

Listings
426
62 chain locations (15%)
Official establishments
77
+1.3% since 2019
Household spending a year
$181.5M
On personal care products and services · $1,020 a household
Spending per listing
$426K
In line with the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
23.9
2% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
557,719
+0.7% since 2020

See the hair salons around any address in the Modesto metro area

The site report maps the hair salons on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Households in the Modesto metro area spend about $181.5M a year on personal care products and services, or $1,020 per household, 2% above the U.S. average. That is about $426K of household spending for each salon on map listings, in line with the U.S. figure of $430K. The spending figure covers all personal care products and services, not only hair salons.

The Modesto metro area has 426 hair salons on map listings as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 15% of them, against 14% across the U.S. That is 23.9 per 10,000 households, 2% above the U.S. rate of 23.4.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as beauty salons in the Modesto metro area was 77 in 2023, up 1.3% from 2019. That is one for every 2,310 households, against one for every 1,535 across the U.S. Official counts list 1,286 one-person businesses without payroll. Since fiscal 2022, 6 SBA-backed loans worth $1.3M have gone to businesses classed as beauty salons in the Modesto metro area.

Population estimates put the population change in the Modesto metro area from 2020 to 2025 at +0.7%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Groundwork market score for hair salons in the Modesto metro area is 55 (upper middle), #139 of 387 scored metro areas and #20 of 25 scored metro areas based in California.

How the Modesto metro area compares

The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all personal care products and services by the hair salons counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Hair salons in Modesto, CA metro area compared with California and the U.S.
MeasureModesto metro areaCaliforniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households23.924.023.4
Spending per listing$426K$479K$430K
Households per official establishment2,3101,5511,535
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+1.3%+8.3%+6.0%
Population growth, 2020–2025+0.7%−0.4%+3.1%
Spending per household on personal care products and services$1,020$1,149$1,005
Median household income$81,468$99,122$80,734
Groundwork market score5554

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
77+1.3% over the period
Employees, 2023
341
Annual payroll, 2023
$8.8M
One-person businesses, 2023
1,286Businesses with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
42662 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
422The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
6
Amount
$1.3M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as beauty salons in the Modesto metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.

Population and households in the Modesto metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
557,719+0.7% since 2020
Households
177,874
Median age
35.4
Homes lived in by their owners
61%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
1,496 sq. mi.
People per square mile
370
Median household income
$81,468+34.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$105,867
Median home value
$450,100
Jobs located here
196,740
Daytime population
519,901Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Modesto metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the hair salons on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Hair salons across California

Every California market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in California for hair salons, numbered among those based in California, with the Modesto metro area marked.

Top metro areas in California

Metro areas in California ranked for hair salons by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Stockton-Lodi, CA8248419.7$551K+5.5%#3 of 387
2Yuba City, CA8111618.7$532K+3.3%#5 of 387
3Merced, CA8014216.5$553K+5.1%#6 of 387
4Bakersfield-Delano, CA7744415.6$609K+2.3%#8 of 387
5Visalia, CA7623516.4$580K+2.4%#12 of 387
6Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA752,98520.6$519K+3.5%#14 of 387
7Hanford-Corcoran, CA747416.8$560K+1.0%#15 of 387
8Fresno, CA7274120.0$490K+3.2%#22 of 387
9El Centro, CA717515.1$573K+1.1%#26 of 387
10Vallejo, CA7136423.1$492K+0.6%#29 of 387
20Modesto, CA5542623.9$426K+0.7%#139 of 387

Other business types in the Modesto metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many hair salons are in the Modesto, CA metro area?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 426 hair salons in the Modesto metro area. 62 of them (15%) are chain locations. The listings count hair and beauty salons. Official counts show 77 businesses with payroll classed as beauty salons in 2023, up 1.3% from 2019. Official counts also show 1,286 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Modesto, CA metro area spend on personal care products and services?

About $181.5M a year, or $1,020 per household. That is 2% above the U.S. average (an index of 102, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 426 hair salons on map listings, it comes to $426K per salon. That spending covers all personal care products and services, which hair salons share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 177,874 households in the Modesto metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Modesto, CA metro area compare with the U.S. for hair salons?

The Modesto metro area has 23.9 hair salons per 10,000 households, 2% above the U.S. rate of 23.4. Spending per salon is $426K, in line with the U.S. figure of $430K. At the U.S. ratio of hair salons to household spending, the Modesto metro area would have about 422, against 426 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,310 households, against one for every 1,535 across the U.S. The official count rose 1.3% from 2019 to 2023, against +6.0% for the U.S.

How fast is the Modesto, CA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Modesto metro area at 557,719 people in 2025, up 0.7% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 177,874 households. Median household income in the Modesto metro area is $81,468, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.2%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Modesto metro area scores 55 for hair salons (upper middle), #139 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Modesto metro area. It maps the hair salons on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for hair salons · All 56 business types in the Modesto metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Modesto metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.