Beauty and personal care · Metro area · California
Nail salons in the Modesto, CA metro area
The nail salons in the Modesto, CA metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 38 out of 100: Lower middle
Ranked #312 of 387 scored metro areas
#22 of 25 scored metro areas based in California
- Listings
- 106
- 49 chain locations (46%)
- Official establishments
- 73
- +15.9% since 2019
- Household spending a year
- $181.5M
- On personal care products and services · $1,020 a household
- Spending per listing
- $1.7M
- 2% above the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 6.0
- In line with the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 557,719
- +0.7% since 2020
See the nail salons around any address in the Modesto metro area
The site report maps the nail salons on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
The Modesto metro area scores 38 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for nail salons, ranking #312 of 387 scored metro areas and #22 of 25 scored metro areas based in California. That puts it in the bottom quarter of metro areas.
Household spending on personal care products and services in the Modesto metro area comes to about $181.5M a year: $1,020 per household, 2% above the U.S. average. That is about $1.7M of household spending for each salon on map listings, 2% above the U.S. figure of $1.7M. The spending figure covers all personal care products and services, not only nail salons.
The Modesto metro area has 106 nail salons on map listings as of September 2026. Of those, 49 are chain locations, or 46%, against 27% across the U.S. That is 6.0 per 10,000 households, in line with the U.S. rate of 6.0.
The official count of businesses with payroll classed as nail salons in the Modesto metro area was 73 in 2023, up 15.9% from 2019. That is one for every 2,437 households, against one for every 3,754 across the U.S. Population estimates show the Modesto metro area grew 0.7% from 2020 to 2025, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%).
How the Modesto metro area compares
The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all personal care products and services by the nail salons counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Modesto metro area | California | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 6.0 | 6.9 | 6.0 |
| Spending per listing | $1.7M | $1.7M | $1.7M |
| Households per official establishment | 2,437 | 2,007 | 3,754 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | +15.9% | +27.0% | +23.2% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | +0.7% | −0.4% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on personal care products and services | $1,020 | $1,149 | $1,005 |
| Median household income | $81,468 | $99,122 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 38 | 34 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 73+15.9% over the period
- Employees, 2023
- 385
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $7.8M
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 186Businesses with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 10649 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 109The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 0
- Amount
- $0
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as nail salons in the Modesto metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.
Population and households in the Modesto metro area
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 557,719+0.7% since 2020
- Households
- 177,874
- Median age
- 35.4
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 61%
- Vehicles per household
- 2.1
- Land area
- 1,496 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 370
- Median household income
- $81,468+34.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $105,867
- Median home value
- $450,100
- Jobs located here
- 196,740
- Daytime population
- 519,901Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in the Modesto metro area?
These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the nail salons on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardNail salons across California
Every California market ranked →The highest-scoring metro areas in California for nail salons, numbered among those based in California, with the Modesto metro area marked.
Top metro areas in California
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Merced, CA | 67 | 33 | 3.8 | $2.4M | +5.1% | #58 of 387 |
| 2Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA | 61 | 35 | 3.6 | $3.4M | −4.7% | #87 of 387 |
| 3El Centro, CA | 59 | 19 | 3.8 | $2.3M | +1.1% | #106 of 387 |
| 4Visalia, CA | 58 | 57 | 4.0 | $2.4M | +2.4% | #115 of 387 |
| 5Yuba City, CA | 57 | 28 | 4.5 | $2.2M | +3.3% | #127 of 387 |
| 6San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA | 50 | 435 | 6.4 | $2.2M | −0.6% | #190 of 387 |
| 7San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA | 48 | 63 | 5.8 | $1.9M | 0.0% | #205 of 387 |
| 8Stockton-Lodi, CA | 48 | 168 | 6.9 | $1.6M | +5.5% | #209 of 387 |
| 9Fresno, CA | 45 | 200 | 5.4 | $1.8M | +3.2% | #238 of 387 |
| 10Bakersfield-Delano, CA | 44 | 142 | 5.0 | $1.9M | +2.3% | #244 of 387 |
| 22Modesto, CA | 38 | 106 | 6.0 | $1.7M | +0.7% | #312 of 387 |
Other business types in the Modesto metro area
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
- Salons, barbers and spas47
- Hair salons55
- Barbershops61
- Nail salons38
- Spas and skin care57
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many nail salons are in the Modesto, CA metro area?
Map listings as of September 2026 show 106 nail salons in the Modesto metro area. 49 of them (46%) are chain locations. The listings count nail salons. Official counts show 73 businesses with payroll classed as nail salons in 2023, up 15.9% from 2019. Official counts also show 186 one-person businesses without payroll.
How much do households in the Modesto, CA metro area spend on personal care products and services?
About $181.5M a year, or $1,020 per household. That is 2% above the U.S. average (an index of 102, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 106 nail salons on map listings, it comes to $1.7M per salon. That spending covers all personal care products and services, which nail salons share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 177,874 households in the Modesto metro area and national spending patterns by income.
How does the Modesto, CA metro area compare with the U.S. for nail salons?
The Modesto metro area has 6.0 nail salons per 10,000 households, in line with the U.S. rate of 6.0. Spending per salon is $1.7M, 2% above the U.S. figure of $1.7M. At the U.S. ratio of nail salons to household spending, the Modesto metro area would have about 109, against 106 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,437 households, against one for every 3,754 across the U.S. The official count rose 15.9% from 2019 to 2023, against +23.2% for the U.S.
How fast is the Modesto, CA metro area growing?
Population estimates put the Modesto metro area at 557,719 people in 2025, up 0.7% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 177,874 households. Median household income in the Modesto metro area is $81,468, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.2%, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Modesto metro area scores 38 for nail salons (lower middle), #312 of 387 scored metro areas.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Modesto metro area. It maps the nail salons on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for nail salons · All 56 business types in the Modesto metro area
Screening a site or an acquisition in the Modesto metro area?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.