Groundwork

Auto · Metro area · California

Auto repair and car care businesses in the Modesto, CA metro area

The auto repair and car care businesses in the Modesto, CA metro area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other metro areas.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 39 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #281 of 387 scored metro areas
#23 of 25 scored metro areas based in California

Listings
838
162 chain locations (19%)
Official establishments
381
+6.7% since 2019
Household spending a year
$210.7M
On vehicle maintenance and repairs · $1,185 a household
Spending per listing
$251K
6% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
47.1
32% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
557,719
+0.7% since 2020

See the auto repair and car care businesses around any address in the Modesto metro area

The site report maps the auto repair and car care businesses on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

As of September 2026, map listings count 838 auto repair and car care businesses in the Modesto metro area. 162 of them (19%) are chain locations, against 24% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 47.1, 32% above the U.S. rate of 35.7.

At $1,185 per household (24% above the U.S. average), households in the Modesto metro area spend about $210.7M a year on vehicle maintenance and repairs. That works out to $251K per business, 6% below the U.S. figure of $269K.

Official counts show 381 businesses with payroll classed as automotive repair and maintenance, and tire dealers in the Modesto metro area in 2023, up 6.7% from 2019. That is one for every 467 households, against one for every 681 across the U.S. Another 619 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 28 SBA-backed loans worth $19.8M have gone to businesses classed as automotive repair and maintenance, and tire dealers in the Modesto metro area.

Population estimates put the population change in the Modesto metro area from 2020 to 2025 at +0.7%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Modesto metro area scores 39 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for auto repair and car care businesses, ranking #281 of 387 scored metro areas and #23 of 25 scored metro areas based in California.

How the Modesto metro area compares

The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all vehicle maintenance and repairs by the auto repair and car care businesses counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Auto repair and car care in Modesto, CA metro area compared with California and the U.S.
MeasureModesto metro areaCaliforniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households47.139.135.7
Spending per listing$251K$287K$269K
Households per official establishment467614681
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+6.7%+3.3%+4.1%
Population growth, 2020–2025+0.7%−0.4%+3.1%
Spending per household on vehicle maintenance and repairs$1,185$1,122$958
Median household income$81,468$99,122$80,734
Groundwork market score3946

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
381+6.7% over the period
Employees, 2023
2,426
Annual payroll, 2023
$112.4M
One-person businesses, 2023
619Businesses with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
838162 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
785The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
28
Amount
$19.8M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as automotive repair and maintenance, and tire dealers in the Modesto metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.

Population and households in the Modesto metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
557,719+0.7% since 2020
Households
177,874
Median age
35.4
Homes lived in by their owners
61%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
1,496 sq. mi.
People per square mile
370
Median household income
$81,468+34.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$105,867
Median home value
$450,100
Jobs located here
196,740
Daytime population
519,901Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Modesto metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the auto repair and car care businesses on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Auto repair and car care across California

Every California market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in California for auto repair and car care businesses, numbered among those based in California, with the Modesto metro area marked.

Top metro areas in California

Metro areas in California ranked for auto repair and car care businesses by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Merced, CA7528232.8$339K+5.1%#26 of 387
2Napa, CA6913426.9$449K−3.3%#58 of 387
3San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA682,20832.5$374K−0.6%#64 of 387
4Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA6429930.9$399K−4.7%#85 of 387
5Vallejo, CA6457536.5$338K+0.6%#88 of 387
6San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA6439436.0$333K0.0%#89 of 387
7Stockton-Lodi, CA641,00641.0$298K+5.5%#91 of 387
8San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA615,17329.7$351K−2.4%#109 of 387
9Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA613,28137.2$302K+3.2%#114 of 387
10Yuba City, CA6024239.1$298K+3.3%#122 of 387
23Modesto, CA3983847.1$251K+0.7%#281 of 387

Other business types in the Modesto metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many auto repair and car care businesses are in the Modesto, CA metro area?

The Modesto metro area has 838 auto repair and car care businesses on map listings as of September 2026. 162 of them (19%) are chain locations. The listings count repair shops, body shops, tire shops, car washes, oil change and parts stores. Official counts show 381 businesses with payroll classed as automotive repair and maintenance, and tire dealers in 2023, up 6.7% from 2019. Official counts list 619 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Modesto, CA metro area spend on vehicle maintenance and repairs?

About $210.7M a year, or $1,185 per household. That is 24% above the U.S. average (an index of 124, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 838 auto repair and car care businesses on map listings, it comes to $251K per business. It is estimated from the incomes of the 177,874 households in the Modesto metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Modesto, CA metro area compare with the U.S. for auto repair and car care businesses?

The Modesto metro area has 47.1 auto repair and car care businesses per 10,000 households, 32% above the U.S. rate of 35.7. Spending per business is $251K, 6% below the U.S. figure of $269K. At the national ratio of auto repair and car care businesses to household spending, the Modesto metro area would have about 785, against 838 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 467 households, against one for every 681 across the U.S. The official count rose 6.7% from 2019 to 2023, against +4.1% for the U.S.

How fast is the Modesto, CA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Modesto metro area at 557,719 people in 2025, up 0.7% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 177,874 households. Median household income in the Modesto metro area is $81,468, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.2%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Modesto metro area scores 39 for auto repair and car care businesses (lower middle), #281 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Modesto metro area. It maps the auto repair and car care businesses on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for auto repair and car care businesses · All 56 business types in the Modesto metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Modesto metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.