Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · California

Pizza places in the Modesto, CA metro area

How the Modesto, CA metro area compares with other metro areas and the U.S. for pizza places: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 43 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #247 of 387 scored metro areas
#20 of 25 scored metro areas based in California

Listings
135
105 chain locations (78%)
Official establishments
432
All limited-service restaurants · +11.6% since 2019
Household spending a year
$710.9M
On food away from home · $3,997 a household
Spending per listing
$5.3M
4% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
7.6
5% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
557,719
+0.7% since 2020

See the pizza places around any address in the Modesto metro area

The site report maps the pizza places on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

At $3,997 per household (2% below the U.S. average), households in the Modesto metro area spend about $710.9M a year on food away from home. Spread across 135 pizza places, that is $5.3M per pizza place, 4% above the U.S. figure of $5.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only pizza places.

There are 135 pizza places on map listings in the Modesto metro area as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 78% of them, against 58% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 7.6, 5% below the U.S. rate of 8.0.

Official counts show 432 businesses with payroll classed as limited-service restaurants in the Modesto metro area in 2023, up 11.6% from 2019. That is one for every 412 households, against one for every 478 across the U.S. That count covers all limited-service restaurants (fast food and sandwich shops included), not only pizza places. Another 107 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 18 SBA-backed loans worth $8.6M have gone to businesses classed as limited-service restaurants in the Modesto metro area.

Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the Modesto metro area grew 0.7%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). For pizza places, the Modesto metro area has a Groundwork market score of 43 (lower middle): #247 of 387 scored metro areas and #20 of 25 scored metro areas based in California.

How the Modesto metro area compares

The same measures for California and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the pizza places counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Pizza in Modesto, CA metro area compared with California and the U.S.
MeasureModesto metro areaCaliforniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households7.66.98.0
Spending per listing$5.3M$6.6M$5.1M
Households per official establishment (all limited-service restaurants)412392478
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+11.6%+6.5%+6.1%
Population growth, 2020–2025+0.7%−0.4%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,997$4,559$4,070
Median household income$81,468$99,122$80,734
Groundwork market score4355

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
432All limited-service restaurants · +11.6% over the period
Employees, 2023
8,393
Annual payroll, 2023
$188.9M
One-person businesses, 2023
107All limited-service restaurants with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
135105 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
140The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
18
Amount
$8.6M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as limited-service restaurants in the Modesto metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all limited-service restaurants, not only pizza places.

Population and households in the Modesto metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
557,719+0.7% since 2020
Households
177,874
Median age
35.4
Homes lived in by their owners
61%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
1,496 sq. mi.
People per square mile
370
Median household income
$81,468+34.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$105,867
Median home value
$450,100
Jobs located here
196,740
Daytime population
519,901Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Modesto metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the pizza places on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Pizza across California

Every California market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in California for pizza places, numbered among those based in California, with the Modesto metro area marked.

Top metro areas in California

Metro areas in California ranked for pizza places by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Napa, CA74326.4$7.6M−3.3%#34 of 387
2Vallejo, CA681046.6$6.8M+0.6%#69 of 387
3Stockton-Lodi, CA681596.5$6.6M+5.5%#70 of 387
4Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA681457.6$6.2M−0.4%#72 of 387
5Yuba City, CA68406.5$6M+3.3%#73 of 387
6San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA614536.7$8.6M−0.6%#108 of 387
7Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA59707.2$6.7M−4.7%#115 of 387
8Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA599506.6$6.4M+3.5%#116 of 387
9San Francisco-Oakland-Fremont, CA581,2417.1$7.5M−2.4%#122 of 387
10Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA567228.2$5.4M+3.2%#139 of 387
20Modesto, CA431357.6$5.3M+0.7%#247 of 387

Other business types in the Modesto metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many pizza places are in the Modesto, CA metro area?

As of September 2026, map listings count 135 pizza places in the Modesto metro area. 105 of them (78%) are chain locations. The listings count pizza restaurants. Official counts show 432 businesses with payroll classed as limited-service restaurants in 2023, up 11.6% from 2019. The official count takes in all limited-service restaurants, not only pizza places: fast food and sandwich shops are counted too. Official counts list 107 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Modesto, CA metro area spend on food away from home?

About $710.9M a year, or $3,997 per household. That is 2% below the U.S. average (an index of 98, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 135 pizza places on map listings, it comes to $5.3M per pizza place. That spending covers all food away from home, which pizza places share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 177,874 households in the Modesto metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Modesto, CA metro area compare with the U.S. for pizza places?

The Modesto metro area has 7.6 pizza places per 10,000 households, 5% below the U.S. rate of 8.0. Spending per pizza place is $5.3M, 4% above the U.S. figure of $5.1M. At the U.S. ratio of pizza places to household spending, the Modesto metro area would have about 140, against 135 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 412 households, against one for every 478 across the U.S. The official count rose 11.6% from 2019 to 2023, against +6.1% for the U.S.

How fast is the Modesto, CA metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Modesto metro area at 557,719 people in 2025, up 0.7% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 177,874 households. Median household income in the Modesto metro area is $81,468, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.2%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Modesto metro area scores 43 for pizza places (lower middle), #247 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Modesto metro area. It maps the pizza places on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for pizza places · All 56 business types in the Modesto metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Modesto metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Modesto metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.