Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Virginia

Bakeries and dessert shops in New Kent County, VA

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in New Kent County, VA, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 94 out of 100: Very high

Ranked #3 of 1,889 scored counties
#1 of 79 scored counties in Virginia

Listings
5
1 chain location (20%)
Official establishments
3
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$44.6M
On food away from home · $4,816 a household
Spending per listing
$8.9M
2.2 times the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
5.4
45% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
28,022
+21.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in New Kent County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of New Kent County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in New Kent County is 94 (very high), #3 of 1,889 scored counties and #1 of 79 scored counties in Virginia. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 5 bakeries and dessert shops in New Kent County. One of them (20%) is a chain location, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 5.4, 45% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $4,816 per household (18% above the U.S. average), households in New Kent County spend about $44.6M a year on food away from home. That works out to $8.9M per shop, 2.2 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in New Kent County was 3 in 2023. That is one for every 3,088 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $200K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in New Kent County. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of New Kent County grew 21.2%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How New Kent County compares

The same measures for Virginia and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in New Kent County, VA compared with Virginia and the U.S.
MeasureNew Kent CountyVirginiaU.S.
Listings per 10k households5.48.59.8
Spending per listing$8.9M$5.2M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)3,0882,0201,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+21.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+21.2%+2.8%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,816$4,372$4,070
Median household income$123,314$93,170$80,734
Groundwork market score9480

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
3All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
28
Annual payroll, 2023
$362K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
51 chain location
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
11The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$200K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in New Kent County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in New Kent County

Population, 2025 estimate
28,022+21.2% since 2020
Households
9,263
Median age
42.9
Homes lived in by their owners
93%
Vehicles per household
2.6
Land area
210 sq. mi.
People per square mile
120
Median household income
$123,314+40.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$139,439
Median home value
$393,600
Jobs located here
5,543
Daytime population
19,201Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in New Kent County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of New Kent County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Virginia

Every Virginia market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Virginia for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Virginia, with New Kent County marked.

Top counties in Virginia

Counties in Virginia ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1New Kent County, VA9455.4$8.9M+21.2%#3 of 1,889
2Stafford County, VA94346.5$8.2M+8.3%#4 of 1,889
3Orange County, VA9196.1$7.1M+10.1%#12 of 1,889
4Isle of Wight County, VA9095.7$7.4M+6.7%#14 of 1,889
5Chesterfield County, VA90906.4$7M+8.7%#16 of 1,889
6Louisa County, VA8995.8$7M+13.6%#23 of 1,889
7Spotsylvania County, VA89377.1$6.7M+10.5%#24 of 1,889
8Suffolk city, VA88266.9$6.1M+10.4%#28 of 1,889
9Fluvanna County, VA8754.8$8.9M+6.2%#29 of 1,889
10Frederick County, VA86287.9$5.6M+8.8%#40 of 1,889

Other business types in New Kent County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in New Kent County, VA?

There are 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in New Kent County as of September 2026. One of them (20%) is a chain location. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 3 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in New Kent County, VA spend on food away from home?

About $44.6M a year, or $4,816 per household. That is 18% above the U.S. average (an index of 118, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 5 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $8.9M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 9,263 households in New Kent County and national spending patterns by income.

How does New Kent County, VA compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

New Kent County has 5.4 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 45% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $8.9M, 2.2 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, New Kent County would have about 11, against 5 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 3,088 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is New Kent County, VA growing?

Population estimates put New Kent County at 28,022 people in 2025, up 21.2% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 9,263 households. Median household income in New Kent County is $123,314, 53% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 40.3%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. New Kent County scores 94 for bakeries and dessert shops (very high), #3 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in New Kent County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in New Kent County

Screening a site or an acquisition in New Kent County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of New Kent County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.