Groundwork

Groceries and convenience · Small-town market · Arizona

Grocery and convenience stores in the Nogales, AZ area

How the Nogales, AZ area compares with other small-town markets and the U.S. for grocery and convenience stores: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 34 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #429 of 538 scored small-town markets
#4 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona

Listings
86
10 chain locations (12%)
Official establishments
10
Businesses with payroll, 2023
Household spending a year
$90.9M
On groceries · $5,356 a household
Spending per listing
$1.1M
69% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
50.7
2.7 times the U.S.
Population, 2025
50,020
+4.8% since 2020

See the grocery and convenience stores around any address in the Nogales area

The site report maps the grocery and convenience stores on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Nogales area scores 34 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for grocery and convenience stores, ranking #429 of 538 scored small-town markets and #4 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona. That puts it in the bottom quarter of small-town markets.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 86 grocery and convenience stores in the Nogales area. Chain locations make up 12% of them, against 42% across the U.S. That comes to 50.7 for every 10,000 households, 2.7 times the U.S. rate of 18.7.

Household spending on groceries in the Nogales area comes to about $90.9M a year: $5,356 per household, 15% below the U.S. average. Spread across 86 grocery and convenience stores, that is $1.1M per store, 69% below the U.S. figure of $3.4M.

Official counts show 10 businesses with payroll classed as grocery and convenience stores in the Nogales area in 2023. That is one for every 1,697 households, against one for every 1,293 across the U.S. Population estimates put the population change in the Nogales area from 2020 to 2025 at +4.8%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How the Nogales area compares

The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all groceries by the grocery and convenience stores counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Grocery and convenience stores in Nogales, AZ area compared with Arizona and the U.S.
MeasureNogales areaArizonaU.S.
Listings per 10k households50.713.418.7
Spending per listing$1.1M$4.5M$3.4M
Households per official establishment1,6972,4641,293
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+2.3%+7.2%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.8%+6.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on groceries$5,356$6,084$6,319
Median household income$55,217$79,964$80,734
Groundwork market score3486

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
10
Employees, 2023
291
Annual payroll, 2023
$10M
One-person businesses, 2023
25Businesses with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
8610 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
27The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as grocery and convenience stores in the Nogales area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.

Population and households in the Nogales area

Population, 2025 estimate
50,020+4.8% since 2020
Households
16,966
Median age
38.7
Homes lived in by their owners
69%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
1,236 sq. mi.
People per square mile
40
Median household income
$55,217+33.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$71,913
Median home value
$233,000
Jobs located here
12,313
Daytime population
42,829Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Nogales area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the grocery and convenience stores on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Grocery and convenience stores across Arizona

Every Arizona market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Arizona for grocery and convenience stores, numbered among those based in Arizona, with the Nogales area marked.

Top small-town markets in Arizona

Small-town markets in Arizona ranked for grocery and convenience stores by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Payson, AZ684117.3$3.2M+0.9%#101 of 538
2Safford, AZ662116.5$3.4M+4.0%#116 of 538
3Show Low, AZ567919.7$2.7M+3.0%#229 of 538
4Nogales, AZ348650.7$1.1M+4.8%#429 of 538

Other business types in the Nogales area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many grocery and convenience stores are in the Nogales, AZ area?

There are 86 grocery and convenience stores on map listings in the Nogales area as of September 2026. 10 of them (12%) are chain locations. The listings count grocery, convenience and specialty food stores. Official counts show 10 businesses with payroll classed as grocery and convenience stores in 2023. Official counts list 25 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Nogales, AZ area spend on groceries?

About $90.9M a year, or $5,356 per household. That is 15% below the U.S. average (an index of 85, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 86 grocery and convenience stores on map listings, it comes to $1.1M per store. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,966 households in the Nogales area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Nogales, AZ area compare with the U.S. for grocery and convenience stores?

The Nogales area has 50.7 grocery and convenience stores per 10,000 households, 2.7 times the U.S. rate of 18.7. Spending per store is $1.1M, 69% below the U.S. figure of $3.4M. At the national ratio of grocery and convenience stores to household spending, the Nogales area would have about 27, against 86 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,697 households, against one for every 1,293 across the U.S.

How fast is the Nogales, AZ area growing?

Population estimates put the Nogales area at 50,020 people in 2025, up 4.8% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,966 households. Median household income in the Nogales area is $55,217, 32% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 33.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Nogales area scores 34 for grocery and convenience stores (lower middle), #429 of 538 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Nogales area. It maps the grocery and convenience stores on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for grocery and convenience stores · All 56 business types in the Nogales area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Nogales area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.