Groundwork

Food and drink · Small-town market · Arizona

Coffee shops and cafes in the Nogales, AZ area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for coffee shops and cafes in the Nogales, AZ area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 57 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #194 of 529 scored small-town markets
#2 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona

Listings
14
2 chain locations (14%)
Official establishments
7
All snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars
Household spending a year
$54M
On food away from home · $3,182 a household
Spending per listing
$3.9M
4% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.3
25% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
50,020
+4.8% since 2020

See the coffee shops and cafes around any address in the Nogales area

The site report maps the coffee shops and cafes on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

At $3,182 per household (22% below the U.S. average), households in the Nogales area spend about $54M a year on food away from home. That is about $3.9M of household spending for each cafe on map listings, 4% above the U.S. figure of $3.7M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only coffee shops and cafes.

The Nogales area has 14 coffee shops and cafes on map listings as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 14% of them, against 39% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 8.3, 25% below the U.S. rate of 11.0.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars in the Nogales area was 7 in 2023. That is one for every 2,424 households, against one for every 1,518 across the U.S. That count covers all snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars (bakeries and dessert shops included), not only coffee shops and cafes. Official counts also show 3 one-person businesses without payroll.

Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the Nogales area grew 4.8%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Nogales area scores 57 (upper middle) on the Groundwork market score for coffee shops and cafes, ranking #194 of 529 scored small-town markets and #2 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona.

How the Nogales area compares

The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the coffee shops and cafes counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Coffee shops and cafes in Nogales, AZ area compared with Arizona and the U.S.
MeasureNogales areaArizonaU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.310.911.0
Spending per listing$3.9M$3.7M$3.7M
Households per official establishment (all snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars)2,4241,6401,518
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+36.0%+24.3%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.8%+6.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,182$3,982$4,070
Median household income$55,217$79,964$80,734
Groundwork market score5758

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
7All snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars
Employees, 2023
27
Annual payroll, 2023
$925K
One-person businesses, 2023
3All snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
142 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
15The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars in the Nogales area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars, not only coffee shops and cafes.

Population and households in the Nogales area

Population, 2025 estimate
50,020+4.8% since 2020
Households
16,966
Median age
38.7
Homes lived in by their owners
69%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
1,236 sq. mi.
People per square mile
40
Median household income
$55,217+33.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$71,913
Median home value
$233,000
Jobs located here
12,313
Daytime population
42,829Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Nogales area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the coffee shops and cafes on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Coffee shops and cafes across Arizona

Every Arizona market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Arizona for coffee shops and cafes, numbered among those based in Arizona, with the Nogales area marked.

Top small-town markets in Arizona

Small-town markets in Arizona ranked for coffee shops and cafes by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Safford, AZ7275.5$6.3M+4.0%#42 of 529
2Nogales, AZ57148.3$3.9M+4.8%#194 of 529
3Payson, AZ452611.0$3M+0.9%#317 of 529
4Show Low, AZ455012.5$2.5M+3.0%#320 of 529

Other business types in the Nogales area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many coffee shops and cafes are in the Nogales, AZ area?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 14 coffee shops and cafes in the Nogales area. 2 of them (14%) are chain locations. The listings count coffee, tea, juice and bubble tea shops, and cafes. Official counts show 7 businesses with payroll classed as snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars in 2023. The official count takes in all snack and nonalcoholic beverage bars, not only coffee shops and cafes: bakeries and dessert shops are counted too. Another 3 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts.

How much do households in the Nogales, AZ area spend on food away from home?

About $54M a year, or $3,182 per household. That is 22% below the U.S. average (an index of 78, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 14 coffee shops and cafes on map listings, it comes to $3.9M per cafe. That spending covers all food away from home, which coffee shops and cafes share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,966 households in the Nogales area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Nogales, AZ area compare with the U.S. for coffee shops and cafes?

The Nogales area has 8.3 coffee shops and cafes per 10,000 households, 25% below the U.S. rate of 11.0. Spending per cafe is $3.9M, 4% above the U.S. figure of $3.7M. At the U.S. ratio of coffee shops and cafes to household spending, the Nogales area would have about 15, against 14 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,424 households, against one for every 1,518 across the U.S.

How fast is the Nogales, AZ area growing?

Population estimates put the Nogales area at 50,020 people in 2025, up 4.8% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,966 households. Median household income in the Nogales area is $55,217, 32% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 33.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Nogales area scores 57 for coffee shops and cafes (upper middle), #194 of 529 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Nogales area. It maps the coffee shops and cafes on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for coffee shops and cafes · All 56 business types in the Nogales area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Nogales area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.