Groundwork

Food and drink · Small-town market · Arizona

Sit-down restaurants in the Nogales, AZ area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for sit-down restaurants in the Nogales, AZ area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 34 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #434 of 538 scored small-town markets
#3 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona

Listings
99
24 chain locations (24%)
Official establishments
37
−7.5% since 2019
Household spending a year
$54M
On food away from home · $3,182 a household
Spending per listing
$545K
18% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
58.4
5% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
50,020
+4.8% since 2020

See the sit-down restaurants around any address in the Nogales area

The site report maps the sit-down restaurants on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Nogales area scores 34 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for sit-down restaurants, ranking #434 of 538 scored small-town markets and #3 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona. That puts it in the bottom quarter of small-town markets.

Household spending on food away from home in the Nogales area comes to about $54M a year: $3,182 per household, 22% below the U.S. average. Spread across 99 sit-down restaurants, that is $545K per restaurant, 18% below the U.S. figure of $664K. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only sit-down restaurants.

There are 99 sit-down restaurants on map listings in the Nogales area as of September 2026. 24 of them (24%) are chain locations, against 29% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 58.4, 5% below the U.S. rate of 61.3.

Official counts show 37 businesses with payroll classed as full-service restaurants in the Nogales area in 2023, down 7.5% from 2019. That is one for every 459 households, against one for every 500 across the U.S. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of the Nogales area grew 4.8%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How the Nogales area compares

The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the sit-down restaurants counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Sit-down restaurants in Nogales, AZ area compared with Arizona and the U.S.
MeasureNogales areaArizonaU.S.
Listings per 10k households58.453.361.3
Spending per listing$545K$747K$664K
Households per official establishment459640500
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023−7.5%+3.3%+1.5%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.8%+6.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,182$3,982$4,070
Median household income$55,217$79,964$80,734
Groundwork market score3477

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
37−7.5% over the period
Employees, 2023
444
Annual payroll, 2023
$10.5M
One-person businesses, 2023
11Businesses with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
9924 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
81The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as full-service restaurants in the Nogales area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.

Population and households in the Nogales area

Population, 2025 estimate
50,020+4.8% since 2020
Households
16,966
Median age
38.7
Homes lived in by their owners
69%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
1,236 sq. mi.
People per square mile
40
Median household income
$55,217+33.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$71,913
Median home value
$233,000
Jobs located here
12,313
Daytime population
42,829Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Nogales area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the sit-down restaurants on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Sit-down restaurants across Arizona

Every Arizona market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Arizona for sit-down restaurants, numbered among those based in Arizona, with the Nogales area marked.

Top small-town markets in Arizona

Small-town markets in Arizona ranked for sit-down restaurants by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Safford, AZ784333.7$1M+4.0%#25 of 538
2Show Low, AZ3919648.9$638K+3.0%#384 of 538
3Nogales, AZ349958.4$545K+4.8%#434 of 538
4Payson, AZ3213255.8$599K+0.9%#453 of 538

Other business types in the Nogales area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many sit-down restaurants are in the Nogales, AZ area?

As of September 2026, map listings count 99 sit-down restaurants in the Nogales area. 24 of them (24%) are chain locations. The listings count restaurants of every cuisine, pizza included. Official counts show 37 businesses with payroll classed as full-service restaurants in 2023, down 7.5% from 2019. Official counts also show 11 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Nogales, AZ area spend on food away from home?

About $54M a year, or $3,182 per household. That is 22% below the U.S. average (an index of 78, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 99 sit-down restaurants on map listings, it comes to $545K per restaurant. That spending covers all food away from home, which sit-down restaurants share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,966 households in the Nogales area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Nogales, AZ area compare with the U.S. for sit-down restaurants?

The Nogales area has 58.4 sit-down restaurants per 10,000 households, 5% below the U.S. rate of 61.3. Spending per restaurant is $545K, 18% below the U.S. figure of $664K. At the U.S. ratio of sit-down restaurants to household spending, the Nogales area would have about 81, against 99 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 459 households, against one for every 500 across the U.S. The official count fell 7.5% from 2019 to 2023, against +1.5% for the U.S.

How fast is the Nogales, AZ area growing?

Population estimates put the Nogales area at 50,020 people in 2025, up 4.8% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,966 households. Median household income in the Nogales area is $55,217, 32% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 33.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Nogales area scores 34 for sit-down restaurants (lower middle), #434 of 538 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Nogales area. It maps the sit-down restaurants on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for sit-down restaurants · All 56 business types in the Nogales area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Nogales area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.