Groundwork

Groceries and convenience · Small-town market · Arizona

Grocery stores in the Nogales, AZ area

The grocery stores in the Nogales, AZ area, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other small-town markets.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 30 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #429 of 506 scored small-town markets
#4 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona

Listings
29
3 chain locations (10%)
Official establishments
8
Businesses with payroll, 2023
Household spending a year
$90.9M
On groceries · $5,356 a household
Spending per listing
$3.1M
66% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
17.1
2.5 times the U.S.
Population, 2025
50,020
+4.8% since 2020

See the grocery stores around any address in the Nogales area

The site report maps the grocery stores on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For grocery stores, the Nogales area has a Groundwork market score of 30 (lower middle): #429 of 506 scored small-town markets and #4 of 4 scored small-town markets based in Arizona. That puts it in the bottom quarter of small-town markets.

As of September 2026, map listings count 29 grocery stores in the Nogales area. Chain locations make up 10% of them, against 37% across the U.S. That comes to 17.1 for every 10,000 households, 2.5 times the U.S. rate of 6.8.

Household spending on groceries in the Nogales area comes to about $90.9M a year: $5,356 per household, 15% below the U.S. average. That is about $3.1M of household spending for each store on map listings, 66% below the U.S. figure of $9.3M. That spending covers all groceries, which grocery stores share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 8 businesses with payroll in the Nogales area classed as supermarkets and grocery stores. That is one for every 2,121 households, against one for every 2,053 across the U.S. Population estimates show the Nogales area grew 4.8% from 2020 to 2025, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How the Nogales area compares

The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all groceries by the grocery stores counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Grocery stores in Nogales, AZ area compared with Arizona and the U.S.
MeasureNogales areaArizonaU.S.
Listings per 10k households17.14.16.8
Spending per listing$3.1M$15M$9.3M
Households per official establishment2,1213,5612,053
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+3.9%0.0%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.8%+6.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on groceries$5,356$6,084$6,319
Median household income$55,217$79,964$80,734
Groundwork market score3087

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
8
Employees, 2023
272
Annual payroll, 2023
$9.6M
One-person businesses, 2023
Not publishedNot published for this business type
Map listings, September 2026
293 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
10The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as supermarkets and grocery stores in the Nogales area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.

Population and households in the Nogales area

Population, 2025 estimate
50,020+4.8% since 2020
Households
16,966
Median age
38.7
Homes lived in by their owners
69%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
1,236 sq. mi.
People per square mile
40
Median household income
$55,217+33.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$71,913
Median home value
$233,000
Jobs located here
12,313
Daytime population
42,829Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Nogales area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the grocery stores on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Grocery stores across Arizona

Every Arizona market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Arizona for grocery stores, numbered among those based in Arizona, with the Nogales area marked.

Top small-town markets in Arizona

Small-town markets in Arizona ranked for grocery stores by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Safford, AZ7275.5$10.3M+4.0%#61 of 506
2Payson, AZ70104.2$13.1M+0.9%#70 of 506
3Show Low, AZ53256.2$8.5M+3.0%#244 of 506
4Nogales, AZ302917.1$3.1M+4.8%#429 of 506

Other business types in the Nogales area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many grocery stores are in the Nogales, AZ area?

The Nogales area has 29 grocery stores on map listings as of September 2026. 3 of them (10%) are chain locations. The listings count grocery stores and supermarkets. Official counts show 8 businesses with payroll classed as supermarkets and grocery stores in 2023.

How much do households in the Nogales, AZ area spend on groceries?

About $90.9M a year, or $5,356 per household. That is 15% below the U.S. average (an index of 85, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 29 grocery stores on map listings, it comes to $3.1M per store. The spending figure covers all groceries, not only grocery stores. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,966 households in the Nogales area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Nogales, AZ area compare with the U.S. for grocery stores?

The Nogales area has 17.1 grocery stores per 10,000 households, 2.5 times the U.S. rate of 6.8. Spending per store is $3.1M, 66% below the U.S. figure of $9.3M. At the national ratio of grocery stores to household spending, the Nogales area would have about 10, against 29 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,121 households, against one for every 2,053 across the U.S.

How fast is the Nogales, AZ area growing?

Population estimates put the Nogales area at 50,020 people in 2025, up 4.8% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,966 households. Median household income in the Nogales area is $55,217, 32% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 33.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Nogales area scores 30 for grocery stores (lower middle), #429 of 506 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Nogales area. It maps the grocery stores on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for grocery stores · All 56 business types in the Nogales area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Nogales area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.