Groundwork

Child care · Small-town market · Arizona

Child care centers and preschools in the Nogales, AZ area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for child care centers and preschools in the Nogales, AZ area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 67 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #100 of 454 scored small-town markets
#2 of 2 scored small-town markets based in Arizona

Listings
9
1 chain location (11%)
Official establishments
8
Businesses with payroll, 2023
Household spending a year
$7.5M
On child care and other personal services · $442 a household
Spending per listing
$833K
17% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
5.3
9% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
50,020
+4.8% since 2020

See the child care centers and preschools around any address in the Nogales area

The site report maps the child care centers and preschools on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Household spending on child care and other personal services in the Nogales area comes to about $7.5M a year: $442 per household, 24% below the U.S. average. That is about $833K of household spending for each center on map listings, 17% below the U.S. figure of $1M.

The Nogales area has 9 child care centers and preschools on map listings as of September 2026. One of them (11%) is a chain location, against 12% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 5.3, 9% below the U.S. rate of 5.8.

In 2023, official counts showed 8 businesses with payroll in the Nogales area classed as child care services. That is one for every 2,121 households, against one for every 1,573 across the U.S. Official counts list 204 one-person businesses without payroll.

Population estimates put the population change in the Nogales area from 2020 to 2025 at +4.8%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). For child care centers and preschools, the Nogales area has a Groundwork market score of 67 (upper middle): #100 of 454 scored small-town markets and #2 of 2 scored small-town markets based in Arizona. That puts it in the top quarter of small-town markets.

How the Nogales area compares

The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all child care and other personal services by the child care centers and preschools counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Child care and preschools in Nogales, AZ area compared with Arizona and the U.S.
MeasureNogales areaArizonaU.S.
Listings per 10k households5.33.95.8
Spending per listing$833K$1.7M$1M
Households per official establishment2,1212,9601,573
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+8.4%+5.7%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.8%+6.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on child care and other personal services$442$682$581
Median household income$55,217$79,964$80,734
Groundwork market score6790

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
8
Employees, 2023
81
Annual payroll, 2023
$2.6M
One-person businesses, 2023
204Businesses with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
91 chain location
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
8The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as child care services in the Nogales area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3.

Population and households in the Nogales area

Population, 2025 estimate
50,020+4.8% since 2020
Households
16,966
Median age
38.7
Homes lived in by their owners
69%
Vehicles per household
2.0
Land area
1,236 sq. mi.
People per square mile
40
Median household income
$55,217+33.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$71,913
Median home value
$233,000
Jobs located here
12,313
Daytime population
42,829Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Nogales area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the child care centers and preschools on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Child care and preschools across Arizona

Every Arizona market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Arizona for child care centers and preschools, numbered among those based in Arizona, with the Nogales area marked.

Top small-town markets in Arizona

Small-town markets in Arizona ranked for child care centers and preschools by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Show Low, AZ8992.2$2M+3.0%#4 of 454
2Nogales, AZ6795.3$833K+4.8%#100 of 454

Other business types in the Nogales area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many child care centers and preschools are in the Nogales, AZ area?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 9 child care centers and preschools in the Nogales area. One of them (11%) is a chain location. The listings count day care centers and preschools. Official counts show 8 businesses with payroll classed as child care services in 2023. Official counts also show 204 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Nogales, AZ area spend on child care and other personal services?

About $7.5M a year, or $442 per household. That is 24% below the U.S. average (an index of 76, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 9 child care centers and preschools on map listings, it comes to $833K per center. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,966 households in the Nogales area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Nogales, AZ area compare with the U.S. for child care centers and preschools?

The Nogales area has 5.3 child care centers and preschools per 10,000 households, 9% below the U.S. rate of 5.8. Spending per center is $833K, 17% below the U.S. figure of $1M. At the U.S. ratio of child care centers and preschools to household spending, the Nogales area would have about 8, against 9 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,121 households, against one for every 1,573 across the U.S.

How fast is the Nogales, AZ area growing?

Population estimates put the Nogales area at 50,020 people in 2025, up 4.8% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,966 households. Median household income in the Nogales area is $55,217, 32% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 33.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Nogales area scores 67 for child care centers and preschools (upper middle), #100 of 454 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Nogales area. It maps the child care centers and preschools on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for child care centers and preschools · All 56 business types in the Nogales area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Nogales area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Nogales area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.