Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Tennessee

Bakeries and dessert shops in Shelby County, TN

How Shelby County, TN compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 43 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,177 of 1,889 scored counties
#47 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee

Listings
317
115 chain locations (36%)
Official establishments
175
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +29.6% since 2019
Household spending a year
$1.3B
On food away from home · $3,606 a household
Spending per listing
$4.1M
In line with the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.7
11% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
910,226
−2.1% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Shelby County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Shelby County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

As of September 2026, map listings count 317 bakeries and dessert shops in Shelby County. Chain locations make up 36% of them, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 8.7, 11% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Shelby County comes to about $1.3B a year: $3,606 per household, 11% below the U.S. average. Spread across 317 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $4.1M per shop, in line with the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 175 businesses with payroll in Shelby County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, up 29.6% from 2019. That is one for every 2,073 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 102 one-person businesses without payroll. Since fiscal 2022, 4 SBA-backed loans worth $3.2M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Shelby County.

Population estimates put the population change in Shelby County from 2020 to 2025 at −2.1%, against +3.1% for the U.S. For bakeries and dessert shops, Shelby County has a Groundwork market score of 43 (lower middle): #1,177 of 1,889 scored counties and #47 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee.

How Shelby County compares

The same measures for Tennessee and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Shelby County, TN compared with Tennessee and the U.S.
MeasureShelby CountyTennesseeU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.78.29.8
Spending per listing$4.1M$4.5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,0731,7401,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+29.6%+60.1%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−2.1%+5.6%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,606$3,670$4,070
Median household income$63,767$69,595$80,734
Groundwork market score4356

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
135 → 175All snack bars and retail bakeries · +29.6% over the period
Employees, 2023
2,189
Annual payroll, 2023
$39.5M
One-person businesses, 2023
102All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
317115 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
316The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
4
Amount
$3.2M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Shelby County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Shelby County

Population, 2025 estimate
910,226−2.1% since 2020
Households
362,741
Median age
36.7
Homes lived in by their owners
54%
Vehicles per household
1.7
Land area
753 sq. mi.
People per square mile
1,221
Median household income
$63,767+23.4% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$96,646
Median home value
$249,100
Jobs located here
497,377
Daytime population
1,001,197Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Shelby County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Shelby County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Tennessee

Every Tennessee market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Tennessee for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Tennessee, with Shelby County marked.

Top counties in Tennessee

Counties in Tennessee ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Fayette County, TN9352.9$13.8M+7.7%#5 of 1,889
2Roane County, TN8683.5$10.3M+7.0%#33 of 1,889
3Cheatham County, TN8453.1$12.9M+4.1%#54 of 1,889
4Jefferson County, TN82104.6$7.6M+9.3%#69 of 1,889
5Loudon County, TN81145.8$6.8M+15.6%#75 of 1,889
6Robertson County, TN78165.7$6.8M+9.9%#109 of 1,889
7Sumner County, TN78516.5$6.4M+9.2%#114 of 1,889
8Hawkins County, TN7783.4$9.3M+5.0%#123 of 1,889
9Giles County, TN7475.8$6M+3.6%#185 of 1,889
10Bedford County, TN74136.7$5.2M+9.7%#193 of 1,889
47Shelby County, TN433178.7$4.1M−2.1%#1,177 of 1,889

Other business types in Shelby County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Shelby County, TN?

Shelby County has 317 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 115 of them (36%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 175 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 29.6% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts also show 102 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Shelby County, TN spend on food away from home?

About $1.3B a year, or $3,606 per household. That is 11% below the U.S. average (an index of 89, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 317 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.1M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 362,741 households in Shelby County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Shelby County, TN compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Shelby County has 8.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 11% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.1M, in line with the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Shelby County would have about 316, against 317 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,073 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 29.6% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Shelby County, TN growing?

Population estimates put Shelby County at 910,226 people in 2025, down 2.1% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 362,741 households. Median household income in Shelby County is $63,767, 21% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 23.4%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Shelby County scores 43 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,177 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Shelby County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Shelby County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Shelby County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Shelby County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.