Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Tennessee

Bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, TN

The bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, TN, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other counties.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 82 out of 100: High

Ranked #69 of 1,889 scored counties
#4 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee

Listings
10
5 chain locations (50%)
Official establishments
5
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$75.6M
On food away from home · $3,464 a household
Spending per listing
$7.6M
82% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
4.6
53% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
60,024
+9.3% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Jefferson County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Jefferson County has a Groundwork market score of 82 (high): #69 of 1,889 scored counties and #4 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

As of September 2026, map listings count 10 bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County. 5 of them (50%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 4.6 for every 10,000 households, 53% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Jefferson County spend about $75.6M a year on food away from home, or $3,464 per household, 15% below the U.S. average. Spread across 10 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $7.6M per shop, 82% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County was 5 in 2023. That is one for every 4,363 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $15K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County. Population estimates put the population change in Jefferson County from 2020 to 2025 at +9.3%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Jefferson County compares

The same measures for Tennessee and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, TN compared with Tennessee and the U.S.
MeasureJefferson CountyTennesseeU.S.
Listings per 10k households4.68.29.8
Spending per listing$7.6M$4.5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)4,3631,7401,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+60.1%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+9.3%+5.6%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,464$3,670$4,070
Median household income$66,114$69,595$80,734
Groundwork market score8256

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
5All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
19
Annual payroll, 2023
$229K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
105 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
18The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$15K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Jefferson County

Population, 2025 estimate
60,024+9.3% since 2020
Households
21,817
Median age
45.0
Homes lived in by their owners
76%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
275 sq. mi.
People per square mile
207
Median household income
$66,114+34.5% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$90,264
Median home value
$229,300
Jobs located here
14,077
Daytime population
47,008Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Jefferson County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Tennessee

Every Tennessee market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Tennessee for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Tennessee, with Jefferson County marked.

Top counties in Tennessee

Counties in Tennessee ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Fayette County, TN9352.9$13.8M+7.7%#5 of 1,889
2Roane County, TN8683.5$10.3M+7.0%#33 of 1,889
3Cheatham County, TN8453.1$12.9M+4.1%#54 of 1,889
4Jefferson County, TN82104.6$7.6M+9.3%#69 of 1,889
5Loudon County, TN81145.8$6.8M+15.6%#75 of 1,889
6Robertson County, TN78165.7$6.8M+9.9%#109 of 1,889
7Sumner County, TN78516.5$6.4M+9.2%#114 of 1,889
8Hawkins County, TN7783.4$9.3M+5.0%#123 of 1,889
9Giles County, TN7475.8$6M+3.6%#185 of 1,889
10Bedford County, TN74136.7$5.2M+9.7%#193 of 1,889

Other business types in Jefferson County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Jefferson County, TN?

Jefferson County has 10 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 5 of them (50%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 5 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Jefferson County, TN spend on food away from home?

About $75.6M a year, or $3,464 per household. That is 15% below the U.S. average (an index of 85, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 10 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $7.6M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 21,817 households in Jefferson County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Jefferson County, TN compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Jefferson County has 4.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 53% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $7.6M, 82% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Jefferson County would have about 18, against 10 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 4,363 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Jefferson County, TN growing?

Population estimates put Jefferson County at 60,024 people in 2025, up 9.3% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 21,817 households. Median household income in Jefferson County is $66,114, 18% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.5%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Jefferson County scores 82 for bakeries and dessert shops (high), #69 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Jefferson County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Jefferson County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Jefferson County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.