Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Virginia

Bakeries and dessert shops in Montgomery County, VA

How Montgomery County, VA compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 51 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #890 of 1,889 scored counties
#44 of 79 scored counties in Virginia

Listings
31
13 chain locations (42%)
Official establishments
18
All snack bars and retail bakeries · −28.0% since 2019
Household spending a year
$140M
On food away from home · $3,787 a household
Spending per listing
$4.5M
9% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.4
14% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
98,434
−1.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Montgomery County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Montgomery County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

As of September 2026, map listings count 31 bakeries and dessert shops in Montgomery County. Chain locations make up 42% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 8.4 for every 10,000 households, 14% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Montgomery County spend about $140M a year on food away from home, or $3,787 per household, 7% below the U.S. average. That is about $4.5M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 9% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Montgomery County was 18 in 2023, down 28.0% from 2019. That is one for every 2,053 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 3 SBA-backed loans worth $1.1M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Montgomery County.

Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Montgomery County declined 1.2%, against +3.1% for the U.S. For bakeries and dessert shops, Montgomery County has a Groundwork market score of 51 (upper middle): #890 of 1,889 scored counties and #44 of 79 scored counties in Virginia.

How Montgomery County compares

The same measures for Virginia and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Montgomery County, VA compared with Virginia and the U.S.
MeasureMontgomery CountyVirginiaU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.48.59.8
Spending per listing$4.5M$5.2M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,0532,0201,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023−28.0%+21.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−1.2%+2.8%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,787$4,372$4,070
Median household income$72,715$93,170$80,734
Groundwork market score5180

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
25 → 18All snack bars and retail bakeries · −28.0% over the period
Employees, 2023
203
Annual payroll, 2023
$4.4M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
3113 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
34The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
3
Amount
$1.1M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Montgomery County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Montgomery County

Population, 2025 estimate
98,434−1.2% since 2020
Households
36,961
Median age
35.2
Homes lived in by their owners
55%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
387 sq. mi.
People per square mile
256
Median household income
$72,715+25.4% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$99,780
Median home value
$304,600
Jobs located here
42,019
Daytime population
106,770Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Montgomery County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Montgomery County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Virginia

Every Virginia market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Virginia for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Virginia, with Montgomery County marked.

Top counties in Virginia

Counties in Virginia ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1New Kent County, VA9455.4$8.9M+21.2%#3 of 1,889
2Stafford County, VA94346.5$8.2M+8.3%#4 of 1,889
3Orange County, VA9196.1$7.1M+10.1%#12 of 1,889
4Isle of Wight County, VA9095.7$7.4M+6.7%#14 of 1,889
5Chesterfield County, VA90906.4$7M+8.7%#16 of 1,889
6Louisa County, VA8995.8$7M+13.6%#23 of 1,889
7Spotsylvania County, VA89377.1$6.7M+10.5%#24 of 1,889
8Suffolk city, VA88266.9$6.1M+10.4%#28 of 1,889
9Fluvanna County, VA8754.8$8.9M+6.2%#29 of 1,889
10Frederick County, VA86287.9$5.6M+8.8%#40 of 1,889
44Montgomery County, VA51318.4$4.5M−1.2%#890 of 1,889

Other business types in Montgomery County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Montgomery County, VA?

Montgomery County has 31 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 13 of them (42%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 18 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, down 28.0% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Montgomery County, VA spend on food away from home?

About $140M a year, or $3,787 per household. That is 7% below the U.S. average (an index of 93, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 31 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.5M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 36,961 households in Montgomery County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Montgomery County, VA compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Montgomery County has 8.4 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 14% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.5M, 9% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Montgomery County would have about 34, against 31 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,053 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count fell 28.0% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Montgomery County, VA growing?

Population estimates put Montgomery County at 98,434 people in 2025, down 1.2% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 36,961 households. Median household income in Montgomery County is $72,715, 10% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 25.4%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Montgomery County scores 51 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #890 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Montgomery County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Montgomery County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Montgomery County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Montgomery County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.