Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Virginia

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hanover County, VA

How Hanover County, VA compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 66 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #377 of 1,889 scored counties
#33 of 79 scored counties in Virginia

Listings
52
22 chain locations (42%)
Official establishments
18
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$201.5M
On food away from home · $4,721 a household
Spending per listing
$3.9M
6% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
12.2
24% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
116,423
+5.6% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Hanover County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Hanover County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Household spending on food away from home in Hanover County comes to about $201.5M a year: $4,721 per household, 16% above the U.S. average. That is about $3.9M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 6% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 52 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Hanover County as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 42% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 12.2 for every 10,000 households, 24% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Official counts show 18 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hanover County in 2023. That is one for every 2,372 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 5 one-person businesses without payroll. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $801K have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hanover County.

Population estimates put the population change in Hanover County from 2020 to 2025 at +5.6%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). Hanover County scores 66 (upper middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #377 of 1,889 scored counties and #33 of 79 scored counties in Virginia. That puts it in the top quarter of counties.

How Hanover County compares

The same measures for Virginia and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hanover County, VA compared with Virginia and the U.S.
MeasureHanover CountyVirginiaU.S.
Listings per 10k households12.28.59.8
Spending per listing$3.9M$5.2M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,3722,0201,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+21.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+5.6%+2.8%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,721$4,372$4,070
Median household income$112,805$93,170$80,734
Groundwork market score6680

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
17 → 18All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
180
Annual payroll, 2023
$3.4M
One-person businesses, 2023
5All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
5222 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
49The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$801K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hanover County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Hanover County

Population, 2025 estimate
116,423+5.6% since 2020
Households
42,688
Median age
43.4
Homes lived in by their owners
82%
Vehicles per household
2.3
Land area
468 sq. mi.
People per square mile
241
Median household income
$112,805+26.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$139,805
Median home value
$400,400
Jobs located here
61,897
Daytime population
116,596Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Hanover County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Hanover County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Virginia

Every Virginia market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Virginia for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Virginia, with Hanover County marked.

Top counties in Virginia

Counties in Virginia ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1New Kent County, VA9455.4$8.9M+21.2%#3 of 1,889
2Stafford County, VA94346.5$8.2M+8.3%#4 of 1,889
3Orange County, VA9196.1$7.1M+10.1%#12 of 1,889
4Isle of Wight County, VA9095.7$7.4M+6.7%#14 of 1,889
5Chesterfield County, VA90906.4$7M+8.7%#16 of 1,889
6Louisa County, VA8995.8$7M+13.6%#23 of 1,889
7Spotsylvania County, VA89377.1$6.7M+10.5%#24 of 1,889
8Suffolk city, VA88266.9$6.1M+10.4%#28 of 1,889
9Fluvanna County, VA8754.8$8.9M+6.2%#29 of 1,889
10Frederick County, VA86287.9$5.6M+8.8%#40 of 1,889
33Hanover County, VA665212.2$3.9M+5.6%#377 of 1,889

Other business types in Hanover County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Hanover County, VA?

As of September 2026, map listings count 52 bakeries and dessert shops in Hanover County. 22 of them (42%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 18 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 5 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Hanover County, VA spend on food away from home?

About $201.5M a year, or $4,721 per household. That is 16% above the U.S. average (an index of 116, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 52 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.9M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 42,688 households in Hanover County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Hanover County, VA compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Hanover County has 12.2 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 24% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.9M, 6% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Hanover County would have about 49, against 52 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,372 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Hanover County, VA growing?

Population estimates put Hanover County at 116,423 people in 2025, up 5.6% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 42,688 households. The median household income in Hanover County is $112,805 a year, 40% above the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 26.2% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Hanover County scores 66 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #377 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Hanover County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Hanover County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Hanover County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Hanover County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.