Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Pennsylvania

Bakeries and dessert shops in Northumberland County, PA

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Northumberland County, PA, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 47 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,037 of 1,889 scored counties
#29 of 62 scored counties in Pennsylvania

Listings
32
4 chain locations (13%)
Official establishments
8
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$128M
On food away from home · $3,379 a household
Spending per listing
$4M
3% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.4
14% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
89,920
−1.8% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Northumberland County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Northumberland County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Map listings as of September 2026 show 32 bakeries and dessert shops in Northumberland County. Chain locations make up 13% of them, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 8.4, 14% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,379 per household (17% below the U.S. average), households in Northumberland County spend about $128M a year on food away from home. Spread across 32 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $4M per shop, 3% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

Official counts show 8 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Northumberland County in 2023. That is one for every 4,736 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 7 one-person businesses without payroll.

Population estimates show Northumberland County declined 1.8% from 2020 to 2025, against +3.1% for the U.S. Northumberland County scores 47 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #1,037 of 1,889 scored counties and #29 of 62 scored counties in Pennsylvania.

How Northumberland County compares

The same measures for Pennsylvania and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Northumberland County, PA compared with Pennsylvania and the U.S.
MeasureNorthumberland CountyPennsylvaniaU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.410.49.8
Spending per listing$4M$3.8M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)4,7361,6101,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+13.1%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−1.8%+0.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,379$3,973$4,070
Median household income$60,583$77,971$80,734
Groundwork market score4738

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
11 → 8All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
70
Annual payroll, 2023
$1.9M
One-person businesses, 2023
7All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
324 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
31The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Northumberland County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Northumberland County

Population, 2025 estimate
89,920−1.8% since 2020
Households
37,886
Median age
44.9
Homes lived in by their owners
75%
Vehicles per household
1.8
Land area
458 sq. mi.
People per square mile
198
Median household income
$60,583+24.5% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$78,529
Median home value
$162,400
Jobs located here
27,386
Daytime population
78,297Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Northumberland County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Northumberland County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Pennsylvania

Every Pennsylvania market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Pennsylvania for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Pennsylvania, with Northumberland County marked.

Top counties in Pennsylvania

Counties in Pennsylvania ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Pike County, PA86114.5$8.8M+7.2%#35 of 1,889
2Perry County, PA70116.0$6.4M+2.1%#259 of 1,889
3Franklin County, PA70518.0$4.8M+3.0%#276 of 1,889
4Greene County, PA6385.6$6.3M−5.5%#440 of 1,889
5Chester County, PA6323611.5$4.5M+4.2%#456 of 1,889
6Lebanon County, PA62457.9$4.9M+2.2%#476 of 1,889
7York County, PA6218410.1$4M+3.6%#488 of 1,889
8Cumberland County, PA6111510.8$3.9M+6.5%#529 of 1,889
9Warren County, PA6074.3$7.6M−3.8%#530 of 1,889
10Adams County, PA60379.1$4.4M+3.6%#554 of 1,889
29Northumberland County, PA47328.4$4M−1.8%#1,037 of 1,889

Other business types in Northumberland County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Northumberland County, PA?

There are 32 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Northumberland County as of September 2026. 4 of them (13%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 8 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts also show 7 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Northumberland County, PA spend on food away from home?

About $128M a year, or $3,379 per household. That is 17% below the U.S. average (an index of 83, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 32 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 37,886 households in Northumberland County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Northumberland County, PA compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Northumberland County has 8.4 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 14% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4M, 3% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Northumberland County would have about 31, against 32 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 4,736 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Northumberland County, PA growing?

Population estimates put Northumberland County at 89,920 people in 2025, down 1.8% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 37,886 households. Median household income in Northumberland County is $60,583, 25% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 24.5%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Northumberland County scores 47 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,037 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Northumberland County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Northumberland County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Northumberland County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Northumberland County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.