Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · Montana

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Missoula, MT metro area

How the Missoula, MT metro area compares with other metro areas and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 47 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #222 of 387 scored metro areas
#5 of 5 scored metro areas based in Montana

Listings
47
16 chain locations (34%)
Official establishments
51
All snack bars and retail bakeries · −9.3% since 2019
Household spending a year
$209.3M
On food away from home · $3,817 a household
Spending per listing
$4.5M
7% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.6
12% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
128,698
+4.7% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Missoula metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Missoula metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Map listings as of September 2026 show 47 bakeries and dessert shops in the Missoula metro area. 16 of them (34%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 8.6 for every 10,000 households, 12% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,817 per household (6% below the U.S. average), households in the Missoula metro area spend about $209.3M a year on food away from home. That works out to $4.5M per shop, 7% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 51 businesses with payroll in the Missoula metro area classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, down 9.3% from 2019. That is one for every 1,075 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Another 6 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $628K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Missoula metro area.

Population estimates put the population change in the Missoula metro area from 2020 to 2025 at +4.7%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, the Missoula metro area has a Groundwork market score of 47 (lower middle): #222 of 387 scored metro areas and #5 of 5 scored metro areas based in Montana.

How the Missoula metro area compares

The same measures for Montana and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Missoula, MT metro area compared with Montana and the U.S.
MeasureMissoula metro areaMontanaU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.67.99.8
Spending per listing$4.5M$4.7M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,0751,0401,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023−9.3%+32.4%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+4.7%+5.3%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,817$3,748$4,070
Median household income$74,989$72,509$80,734
Groundwork market score4748

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
51All snack bars and retail bakeries · −9.3% over the period
Employees, 2023
662
Annual payroll, 2023
$13M
One-person businesses, 2023
6All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
4716 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
51The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$628K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Missoula metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Missoula metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
128,698+4.7% since 2020
Households
54,829
Median age
39.1
Homes lived in by their owners
60%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
3,813 sq. mi.
People per square mile
33
Median household income
$74,989
Average household income
$102,725
Median home value
$466,400
Jobs located here
67,485
Daytime population
132,972Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Missoula metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Missoula metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Montana

Every Montana market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in Montana for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Montana, with the Missoula metro area marked.

Top metro areas in Montana

Metro areas in Montana ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Helena, MT70235.9$6.7M+7.7%#36 of 387
2Great Falls, MT51205.6$6.4M+0.7%#186 of 387
3Bozeman, MT515310.3$4.2M+7.7%#191 of 387
4Billings, MT48688.7$4.5M+4.8%#214 of 387
5Missoula, MT47478.6$4.5M+4.7%#222 of 387

Other business types in the Missoula metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Missoula, MT metro area?

There are 47 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Missoula metro area as of September 2026. 16 of them (34%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 51 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, down 9.3% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 6 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Missoula, MT metro area spend on food away from home?

About $209.3M a year, or $3,817 per household. That is 6% below the U.S. average (an index of 94, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 47 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.5M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 54,829 households in the Missoula metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Missoula, MT metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Missoula metro area has 8.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 12% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.5M, 7% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Missoula metro area would have about 51, against 47 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,075 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count fell 9.3% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is the Missoula, MT metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Missoula metro area at 128,698 people in 2025, up 4.7% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 54,829 households. Median household income in the Missoula metro area is $74,989, 7% below the U.S. median of $80,734.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Missoula metro area scores 47 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #222 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Missoula metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Missoula metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Missoula metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Missoula metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.