Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Missouri

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, MO

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, MO, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 93 out of 100: Very high

Ranked #6 of 1,889 scored counties
#1 of 57 scored counties in Missouri

Listings
7
0 chain locations (0%)
Official establishments
6
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$92.6M
On food away from home · $4,059 a household
Spending per listing
$13.2M
3.2 times the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
3.1
68% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
66,676
+11.4% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Lincoln County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Lincoln County scores 93 (very high) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #6 of 1,889 scored counties and #1 of 57 scored counties in Missouri. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

As of September 2026, map listings count 7 bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County. None of them are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 3.1, 68% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Lincoln County spend about $92.6M a year on food away from home, or $4,059 per household, in line with the U.S. average. Spread across 7 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $13.2M per shop, 3.2 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

Official counts show 6 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County in 2023. That is one for every 3,803 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $1M has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Lincoln County grew 11.4%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Lincoln County compares

The same measures for Missouri and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, MO compared with Missouri and the U.S.
MeasureLincoln CountyMissouriU.S.
Listings per 10k households3.18.19.8
Spending per listing$13.2M$4.7M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)3,8031,9131,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+43.3%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+11.4%+1.9%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,059$3,799$4,070
Median household income$89,278$70,702$80,734
Groundwork market score9356

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
4 → 6All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
24
Annual payroll, 2023
$392K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
70 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
22The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$1M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Lincoln County

Population, 2025 estimate
66,676+11.4% since 2020
Households
22,817
Median age
38.7
Homes lived in by their owners
79%
Vehicles per household
2.2
Land area
627 sq. mi.
People per square mile
101
Median household income
$89,278+39.1% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$100,506
Median home value
$244,300
Jobs located here
12,499
Daytime population
43,211Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Lincoln County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Bakeries and dessert shops across Missouri

Every Missouri market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Missouri for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Missouri, with Lincoln County marked.

Top counties in Missouri

Counties in Missouri ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Lincoln County, MO9373.1$13.2M+11.4%#6 of 1,889
2Christian County, MO85185.1$7.8M+8.3%#46 of 1,889
3Jefferson County, MO81515.8$6.9M+2.7%#73 of 1,889
4Newton County, MO80125.4$6.6M+6.1%#87 of 1,889
5Cass County, MO79286.5$6.5M+7.1%#100 of 1,889
6Callaway County, MO7874.2$8.7M+3.2%#104 of 1,889
7Lawrence County, MO7285.5$6.2M+3.7%#217 of 1,889
8Clay County, MO71787.6$5.5M+4.3%#247 of 1,889
9St. Charles County, MO701358.4$5.6M+4.9%#266 of 1,889
10Pettis County, MO67105.9$5.7M+2.9%#334 of 1,889

Other business types in Lincoln County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Lincoln County, MO?

Lincoln County has 7 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. None of them are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 6 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Lincoln County, MO spend on food away from home?

About $92.6M a year, or $4,059 per household. That is in line with the U.S. average (an index of 100, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 7 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $13.2M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 22,817 households in Lincoln County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Lincoln County, MO compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Lincoln County has 3.1 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 68% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $13.2M, 3.2 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Lincoln County would have about 22, against 7 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 3,803 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Lincoln County, MO growing?

Population estimates put Lincoln County at 66,676 people in 2025, up 11.4% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 22,817 households. Median household income in Lincoln County is $89,278, 11% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 39.1%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Lincoln County scores 93 for bakeries and dessert shops (very high), #6 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Lincoln County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Lincoln County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Lincoln County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.