Groundwork

Food and drink · Small-town market · Indiana

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Warsaw, IN area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Warsaw, IN area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 69 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #67 of 507 scored small-town markets
#6 of 25 scored small-town markets based in Indiana

Listings
22
6 chain locations (27%)
Official establishments
14
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$121.4M
On food away from home · $3,802 a household
Spending per listing
$5.5M
33% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
6.9
30% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
80,892
+0.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Warsaw area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Warsaw area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

At $3,802 per household (7% below the U.S. average), households in the Warsaw area spend about $121.4M a year on food away from home. That is about $5.5M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 33% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 22 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Warsaw area as of September 2026. Of those, 6 are chain locations, or 27%, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 6.9, 30% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Official counts show 14 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Warsaw area in 2023. That is one for every 2,281 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Another 4 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $1.6M has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Warsaw area.

Population estimates put the population change in the Warsaw area from 2020 to 2025 at +0.9%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Warsaw area is 69 (upper middle), #67 of 507 scored small-town markets and #6 of 25 scored small-town markets based in Indiana. That puts it in the top quarter of small-town markets.

How the Warsaw area compares

The same measures for Indiana and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Warsaw, IN area compared with Indiana and the U.S.
MeasureWarsaw areaIndianaU.S.
Listings per 10k households6.98.49.8
Spending per listing$5.5M$4.5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,2811,8931,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+41.5%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+0.9%+2.7%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,802$3,802$4,070
Median household income$75,317$71,957$80,734
Groundwork market score6955

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
14All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
197
Annual payroll, 2023
$2.7M
One-person businesses, 2023
4All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
226 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
29The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$1.6M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Warsaw area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Warsaw area

Population, 2025 estimate
80,892+0.9% since 2020
Households
31,934
Median age
39.5
Homes lived in by their owners
77%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
531 sq. mi.
People per square mile
151
Median household income
$75,317+22.7% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$91,954
Median home value
$216,000
Jobs located here
37,180
Daytime population
80,254Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Warsaw area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Warsaw area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Indiana

Every Indiana market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Indiana for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Indiana, with the Warsaw area marked.

Top small-town markets in Indiana

Small-town markets in Indiana ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Greencastle, IN8864.2$8.9M+3.2%#4 of 507
2Greensburg, IN8054.7$8.1M+0.4%#12 of 507
3Bedford, IN78115.7$6.2M+1.2%#21 of 507
4Kendallville, IN72137.2$5.1M+1.0%#46 of 507
5Plymouth, IN69116.2$5.9M+1.2%#64 of 507
6Warsaw, IN69226.9$5.5M+0.9%#67 of 507
7Auburn, IN67148.2$4.5M+2.9%#76 of 507
8Decatur, IN6586.5$5.5M+2.2%#97 of 507
9Vincennes, IN6374.6$7.5M−1.7%#106 of 507
10Connersville, IN6355.3$6.3M+0.7%#109 of 507

Other business types in the Warsaw area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Warsaw, IN area?

As of September 2026, map listings count 22 bakeries and dessert shops in the Warsaw area. 6 of them (27%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 14 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 4 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Warsaw, IN area spend on food away from home?

About $121.4M a year, or $3,802 per household. That is 7% below the U.S. average (an index of 93, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 22 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $5.5M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 31,934 households in the Warsaw area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Warsaw, IN area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Warsaw area has 6.9 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 30% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $5.5M, 33% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Warsaw area would have about 29, against 22 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,281 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is the Warsaw, IN area growing?

Population estimates put the Warsaw area at 80,892 people in 2025, up 0.9% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 31,934 households. The median household income in the Warsaw area is $75,317 a year, 7% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 22.7% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Warsaw area scores 69 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #67 of 507 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Warsaw area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Warsaw area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Warsaw area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Warsaw area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.