Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Arizona

Bakeries and dessert shops in Navajo County, AZ

How Navajo County, AZ compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 63 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #442 of 1,889 scored counties
#5 of 13 scored counties in Arizona

Listings
20
4 chain locations (20%)
Official establishments
15
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$125.1M
On food away from home · $3,123 a household
Spending per listing
$6.3M
51% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
5.0
49% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
109,946
+3.0% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Navajo County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Navajo County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

As of September 2026, map listings count 20 bakeries and dessert shops in Navajo County. Of those, 4 are chain locations, or 20%, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 5.0, 49% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Navajo County comes to about $125.1M a year: $3,123 per household, 23% below the U.S. average. Spread across 20 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $6.3M per shop, 51% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Navajo County was 15 in 2023. That is one for every 2,671 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 12 one-person businesses without payroll. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $1M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Navajo County.

Population estimates put the population change in Navajo County from 2020 to 2025 at +3.0%, in step with the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, Navajo County has a Groundwork market score of 63 (upper middle): #442 of 1,889 scored counties and #5 of 13 scored counties in Arizona. That puts it in the top quarter of counties.

How Navajo County compares

The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Navajo County, AZ compared with Arizona and the U.S.
MeasureNavajo CountyArizonaU.S.
Listings per 10k households5.07.99.8
Spending per listing$6.3M$5.1M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,6711,5551,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+35.7%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+3.0%+6.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,123$3,982$4,070
Median household income$54,606$79,964$80,734
Groundwork market score6369

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
9 → 15All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
119
Annual payroll, 2023
$1.9M
One-person businesses, 2023
12All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
204 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
30The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$1M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Navajo County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Navajo County

Population, 2025 estimate
109,946+3.0% since 2020
Households
40,063
Median age
40.5
Homes lived in by their owners
73%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
9,950 sq. mi.
People per square mile
11
Median household income
$54,606+36.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$68,874
Median home value
$201,500
Jobs located here
26,234
Daytime population
104,760Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Navajo County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Navajo County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Arizona

Every Arizona market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Arizona for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Arizona, with Navajo County marked.

Top counties in Arizona

Counties in Arizona ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Pinal County, AZ89724.4$8.7M+25.4%#19 of 1,889
2Mohave County, AZ69504.9$6.7M+6.5%#283 of 1,889
3Pima County, AZ652666.1$6.1M+2.8%#384 of 1,889
4Yavapai County, AZ65766.8$5.3M+6.5%#389 of 1,889
5Navajo County, AZ63205.0$6.3M+3.0%#442 of 1,889
6Yuma County, AZ61607.6$4.4M+9.2%#519 of 1,889
7Maricopa County, AZ601,5719.1$4.7M+5.5%#545 of 1,889
8Gila County, AZ59135.5$6.1M+0.9%#567 of 1,889
9Graham County, AZ52118.6$4M+4.0%#860 of 1,889
10Santa Cruz County, AZ51137.7$4.2M+4.8%#900 of 1,889

Other business types in Navajo County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Navajo County, AZ?

Navajo County has 20 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 4 of them (20%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 15 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Another 12 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts.

How much do households in Navajo County, AZ spend on food away from home?

About $125.1M a year, or $3,123 per household. That is 23% below the U.S. average (an index of 77, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 20 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $6.3M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 40,063 households in Navajo County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Navajo County, AZ compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Navajo County has 5.0 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 49% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $6.3M, 51% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Navajo County would have about 30, against 20 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,671 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Navajo County, AZ growing?

Population estimates put Navajo County at 109,946 people in 2025, up 3.0% since 2020, in step with the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 40,063 households. Median household income in Navajo County is $54,606, 32% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 36.3%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Navajo County scores 63 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #442 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Navajo County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Navajo County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Navajo County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Navajo County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.