Groundwork

Food and drink · Metro area · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Victoria, TX metro area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Victoria, TX metro area, set against other metro areas and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 35 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #312 of 387 scored metro areas
#11 of 26 scored metro areas based in Texas

Listings
44
17 chain locations (39%)
Official establishments
19
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$133.9M
On food away from home · $3,556 a household
Spending per listing
$3M
27% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.7
19% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
99,864
+1.6% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Victoria metro area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Victoria metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Victoria metro area scores 35 (lower middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #312 of 387 scored metro areas and #11 of 26 scored metro areas based in Texas. That puts it in the bottom quarter of metro areas.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 44 bakeries and dessert shops in the Victoria metro area. Of those, 17 are chain locations, or 39%, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 11.7, 19% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,556 per household (13% below the U.S. average), households in the Victoria metro area spend about $133.9M a year on food away from home. That works out to $3M per shop, 27% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Victoria metro area was 19 in 2023. That is one for every 1,982 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 7 SBA-backed loans worth $4.3M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Victoria metro area. Population estimates put the population change in the Victoria metro area from 2020 to 2025 at +1.6%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How the Victoria metro area compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Victoria, TX metro area compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureVictoria metro areaTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.711.89.8
Spending per listing$3M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,9821,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+1.6%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,556$3,970$4,070
Median household income$70,236$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score3545

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
19All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
152
Annual payroll, 2023
$3.7M
One-person businesses, 2023
4All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
4417 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
32The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
7
Amount
$4.3M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Victoria metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Victoria metro area

Population, 2025 estimate
99,864+1.6% since 2020
Households
37,666
Median age
38.3
Homes lived in by their owners
67%
Vehicles per household
1.8
Land area
1,734 sq. mi.
People per square mile
57
Median household income
$70,236+22.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$88,592
Median home value
$208,800
Jobs located here
35,654
Daytime population
91,392Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Victoria metro area?

These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Victoria metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring metro areas in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with the Victoria metro area marked.

Top metro areas in Texas

Metro areas in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX659789.9$4.6M+14.0%#76 of 387
2San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX491,03910.7$3.6M+9.5%#207 of 387
3Midland, TX488412.1$3.6M+9.8%#217 of 387
4Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX483,59212.4$3.5M+10.6%#218 of 387
5Houston-Pasadena-The Woodlands, TX473,23012.1$3.4M+10.3%#229 of 387
6Killeen-Temple, TX461578.8$4M+7.2%#238 of 387
7Sherman-Denison, TX446511.8$3.2M+12.8%#255 of 387
8Odessa, TX436910.7$3.5M+5.0%#261 of 387
9Corpus Christi, TX371669.8$3.7M+1.1%#295 of 387
10College Station-Bryan, TX3611010.4$3.4M+6.9%#306 of 387
11Victoria, TX354411.7$3M+1.6%#312 of 387

Other business types in the Victoria metro area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Victoria, TX metro area?

There are 44 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Victoria metro area as of September 2026. 17 of them (39%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 19 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 4 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in the Victoria, TX metro area spend on food away from home?

About $133.9M a year, or $3,556 per household. That is 13% below the U.S. average (an index of 87, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 44 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 37,666 households in the Victoria metro area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Victoria, TX metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Victoria metro area has 11.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 19% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3M, 27% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Victoria metro area would have about 32, against 44 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,982 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is the Victoria, TX metro area growing?

Population estimates put the Victoria metro area at 99,864 people in 2025, up 1.6% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 37,666 households. Median household income in the Victoria metro area is $70,236, 13% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 22.9%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Victoria metro area scores 35 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #312 of 387 scored metro areas.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Victoria metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Victoria metro area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Victoria metro area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Victoria metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.