Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Minnesota

Bakeries and dessert shops in Clay County, MN

How Clay County, MN compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 86 out of 100: High

Ranked #34 of 1,889 scored counties
#4 of 45 scored counties in Minnesota

Listings
11
4 chain locations (36%)
Official establishments
7
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$105.1M
On food away from home · $3,974 a household
Spending per listing
$9.6M
2.3 times the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
4.2
57% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
67,734
+3.6% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Clay County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Clay County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Clay County has a Groundwork market score of 86 (high): #34 of 1,889 scored counties and #4 of 45 scored counties in Minnesota. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 11 bakeries and dessert shops in Clay County. Chain locations make up 36% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That is 4.2 per 10,000 households, 57% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Clay County spend about $105.1M a year on food away from home, or $3,974 per household, 2% below the U.S. average. That is about $9.6M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 2.3 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Clay County was 7 in 2023. That is one for every 3,777 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $70K have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Clay County. Population estimates put the population change in Clay County from 2020 to 2025 at +3.6%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Clay County compares

The same measures for Minnesota and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Clay County, MN compared with Minnesota and the U.S.
MeasureClay CountyMinnesotaU.S.
Listings per 10k households4.26.39.8
Spending per listing$9.6M$6.8M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)3,7771,8931,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+18.7%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+3.6%+2.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,974$4,330$4,070
Median household income$81,172$89,062$80,734
Groundwork market score8680

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
5 → 7All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
129
Annual payroll, 2023
$2M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
114 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
25The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$70K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Clay County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Clay County

Population, 2025 estimate
67,734+3.6% since 2020
Households
26,442
Median age
34.9
Homes lived in by their owners
66%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
1,045 sq. mi.
People per square mile
63
Median household income
$81,172+24.4% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$99,798
Median home value
$265,500
Jobs located here
20,888
Daytime population
54,566Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Clay County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Clay County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Bakeries and dessert shops across Minnesota

Every Minnesota market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Minnesota for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Minnesota, with Clay County marked.

Top counties in Minnesota

Counties in Minnesota ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Wright County, MN93285.2$9M+11.1%#9 of 1,889
2Sherburne County, MN92133.7$12.7M+6.8%#10 of 1,889
3Scott County, MN89254.5$11.3M+5.1%#18 of 1,889
4Clay County, MN86114.2$9.6M+3.6%#34 of 1,889
5Chisago County, MN8573.3$13.7M+4.3%#41 of 1,889
6Washington County, MN85656.2$8.2M+6.9%#45 of 1,889
7Anoka County, MN83765.5$8.2M+4.7%#60 of 1,889
8Dakota County, MN821025.8$8.1M+3.9%#68 of 1,889
9Dodge County, MN8156.2$7M+2.3%#72 of 1,889
10Rice County, MN81146.0$6.8M+4.2%#74 of 1,889

Other business types in Clay County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Clay County, MN?

There are 11 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Clay County as of September 2026. 4 of them (36%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 7 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Clay County, MN spend on food away from home?

About $105.1M a year, or $3,974 per household. That is 2% below the U.S. average (an index of 98, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 11 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $9.6M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 26,442 households in Clay County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Clay County, MN compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Clay County has 4.2 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 57% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $9.6M, 2.3 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Clay County would have about 25, against 11 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 3,777 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Clay County, MN growing?

Population estimates put Clay County at 67,734 people in 2025, up 3.6% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 26,442 households. Median household income in Clay County is $81,172, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 24.4%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Clay County scores 86 for bakeries and dessert shops (high), #34 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Clay County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Clay County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Clay County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Clay County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.