Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Minnesota

Bakeries and dessert shops in Dakota County, MN

How Dakota County, MN compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 82 out of 100: High

Ranked #68 of 1,889 scored counties
#8 of 45 scored counties in Minnesota

Listings
102
44 chain locations (43%)
Official establishments
81
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +12.5% since 2019
Household spending a year
$825.7M
On food away from home · $4,735 a household
Spending per listing
$8.1M
95% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
5.8
41% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
457,710
+3.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Dakota County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Dakota County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Dakota County has a Groundwork market score of 82 (high): #68 of 1,889 scored counties and #8 of 45 scored counties in Minnesota. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

Households in Dakota County spend about $825.7M a year on food away from home, or $4,735 per household, 16% above the U.S. average. That is about $8.1M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 95% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Dakota County has 102 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. Of those, 44 are chain locations, or 43%, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 5.8 for every 10,000 households, 41% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Dakota County was 81 in 2023, up 12.5% from 2019. That is one for every 2,153 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 9 SBA-backed loans worth $2.7M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Dakota County. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Dakota County grew 3.9%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Dakota County compares

The same measures for Minnesota and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Dakota County, MN compared with Minnesota and the U.S.
MeasureDakota CountyMinnesotaU.S.
Listings per 10k households5.86.39.8
Spending per listing$8.1M$6.8M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)2,1531,8931,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+12.5%+18.7%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+3.9%+2.1%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,735$4,330$4,070
Median household income$106,318$89,062$80,734
Groundwork market score8280

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
72 → 81All snack bars and retail bakeries · +12.5% over the period
Employees, 2023
1,293
Annual payroll, 2023
$20.7M
One-person businesses, 2023
13All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
10244 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
199The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
9
Amount
$2.7M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Dakota County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Dakota County

Population, 2025 estimate
457,710+3.9% since 2020
Households
174,362
Median age
39.8
Homes lived in by their owners
75%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
563 sq. mi.
People per square mile
792
Median household income
$106,318+23.6% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$131,265
Median home value
$381,000
Jobs located here
180,369
Daytime population
396,728Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Dakota County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Dakota County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Minnesota

Every Minnesota market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Minnesota for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Minnesota, with Dakota County marked.

Top counties in Minnesota

Counties in Minnesota ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Wright County, MN93285.2$9M+11.1%#9 of 1,889
2Sherburne County, MN92133.7$12.7M+6.8%#10 of 1,889
3Scott County, MN89254.5$11.3M+5.1%#18 of 1,889
4Clay County, MN86114.2$9.6M+3.6%#34 of 1,889
5Chisago County, MN8573.3$13.7M+4.3%#41 of 1,889
6Washington County, MN85656.2$8.2M+6.9%#45 of 1,889
7Anoka County, MN83765.5$8.2M+4.7%#60 of 1,889
8Dakota County, MN821025.8$8.1M+3.9%#68 of 1,889
9Dodge County, MN8156.2$7M+2.3%#72 of 1,889
10Rice County, MN81146.0$6.8M+4.2%#74 of 1,889

Other business types in Dakota County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Dakota County, MN?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 102 bakeries and dessert shops in Dakota County. 44 of them (43%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 81 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 12.5% from 2019. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts also show 13 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Dakota County, MN spend on food away from home?

About $825.7M a year, or $4,735 per household. That is 16% above the U.S. average (an index of 116, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 102 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $8.1M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 174,362 households in Dakota County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Dakota County, MN compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Dakota County has 5.8 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 41% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $8.1M, 95% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Dakota County would have about 199, against 102 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 2,153 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 12.5% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Dakota County, MN growing?

Population estimates put Dakota County at 457,710 people in 2025, up 3.9% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 174,362 households. The median household income in Dakota County is $106,318 a year, 32% above the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 23.6% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Dakota County scores 82 for bakeries and dessert shops (high), #68 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Dakota County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Dakota County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Dakota County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Dakota County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.