Food and drink · County · Virginia
Bakeries and dessert shops in Caroline County, VA
Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Caroline County, VA, set against other counties and the U.S.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 81 out of 100: High
Ranked #79 of 1,889 scored counties
#14 of 79 scored counties in Virginia
- Listings
- 9
- 3 chain locations (33%)
- Official establishments
- n/a
- Fewer than 3, or not published
- Household spending a year
- $48.7M
- On food away from home · $4,063 a household
- Spending per listing
- $5.4M
- 31% above the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 7.5
- 23% below the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 34,413
- +11.3% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Caroline County
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Caroline County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in Caroline County is 81 (high), #79 of 1,889 scored counties and #14 of 79 scored counties in Virginia. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.
As of September 2026, map listings count 9 bakeries and dessert shops in Caroline County. 3 of them (33%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 7.5 for every 10,000 households, 23% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.
At $4,063 per household (in line with the U.S. average), households in Caroline County spend about $48.7M a year on food away from home. That is about $5.4M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 31% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.
There is no official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Caroline County: counts under 3 aren’t published. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Caroline County grew 11.3%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).
How Caroline County compares
The same measures for Virginia and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Caroline County | Virginia | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 7.5 | 8.5 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $5.4M | $5.2M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | n/a | 2,020 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | n/a | +21.9% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | +11.3% | +2.8% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $4,063 | $4,372 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $87,407 | $93,170 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 81 | 80 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- n/aAll snack bars and retail bakeries
- Employees, 2023
- n/a
- Annual payroll, 2023
- n/a
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 93 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 12The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 0
- Amount
- $0
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Caroline County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in Caroline County
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 34,413+11.3% since 2020
- Households
- 11,988
- Median age
- 40.2
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 82%
- Vehicles per household
- 2.3
- Land area
- 527 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 61
- Median household income
- $87,407+34.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $103,835
- Median home value
- $307,700
- Jobs located here
- 6,321
- Daytime population
- 20,611Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in Caroline County?
These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of Caroline County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across Virginia
Every Virginia market ranked →The highest-scoring counties in Virginia for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Virginia, with Caroline County marked.
Top counties in Virginia
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1New Kent County, VA | 94 | 5 | 5.4 | $8.9M | +21.2% | #3 of 1,889 |
| 2Stafford County, VA | 94 | 34 | 6.5 | $8.2M | +8.3% | #4 of 1,889 |
| 3Orange County, VA | 91 | 9 | 6.1 | $7.1M | +10.1% | #12 of 1,889 |
| 4Isle of Wight County, VA | 90 | 9 | 5.7 | $7.4M | +6.7% | #14 of 1,889 |
| 5Chesterfield County, VA | 90 | 90 | 6.4 | $7M | +8.7% | #16 of 1,889 |
| 6Louisa County, VA | 89 | 9 | 5.8 | $7M | +13.6% | #23 of 1,889 |
| 7Spotsylvania County, VA | 89 | 37 | 7.1 | $6.7M | +10.5% | #24 of 1,889 |
| 8Suffolk city, VA | 88 | 26 | 6.9 | $6.1M | +10.4% | #28 of 1,889 |
| 9Fluvanna County, VA | 87 | 5 | 4.8 | $8.9M | +6.2% | #29 of 1,889 |
| 10Frederick County, VA | 86 | 28 | 7.9 | $5.6M | +8.8% | #40 of 1,889 |
| 14Caroline County, VA | 81 | 9 | 7.5 | $5.4M | +11.3% | #79 of 1,889 |
Other business types in Caroline County
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes93
- Sit-down restaurants91
- Fast food and sandwich shops86
- Pizza91
- Coffee shops and cafes93
- Bakeries and dessert shops81
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Caroline County, VA?
Caroline County has 9 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 3 of them (33%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. No official count is published for snack bars and retail bakeries in Caroline County: counts under 3 are left out.
How much do households in Caroline County, VA spend on food away from home?
About $48.7M a year, or $4,063 per household. That is in line with the U.S. average (an index of 100, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 9 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $5.4M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 11,988 households in Caroline County and national spending patterns by income.
How does Caroline County, VA compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
Caroline County has 7.5 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 23% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $5.4M, 31% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Caroline County would have about 12, against 9 on map listings.
How fast is Caroline County, VA growing?
Population estimates put Caroline County at 34,413 people in 2025, up 11.3% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 11,988 households. Median household income in Caroline County is $87,407, 8% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.3%, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Caroline County scores 81 for bakeries and dessert shops (high), #79 of 1,889 scored counties.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Caroline County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Caroline County
Screening a site or an acquisition in Caroline County?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of Caroline County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.