Groundwork

County profile · Tennessee

Warren County, TN market data

How Warren County compares with other counties for 56 business types: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Population, 2025
43,717
+6.5% since 2020
Households
16,203
Median household income
$55,487
+34.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Median home value
$192,900
Jobs located here
12,649
Highest market score
80
Lawn, cleaning and pest control, #59 of 1,771 scored counties

A site report maps the competitors on map listings around any address in Warren County by name and distance, and the households and spending within reach. Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Warren County has an estimated 43,717 people and 16,203 households. Population estimates put the population change in Warren County from 2020 to 2025 at +6.5%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). Median household income in Warren County is $55,487, 31% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 34.9%, before inflation.

Relative to the U.S., household spending in Warren County runs highest on vehicle insurance (an index of 142, where 100 is the U.S. average) and lowest on memberships, classes and admissions (53).

Of the business types scored in Warren County, lawn care, cleaning and pest control companies (80); insurance agencies (79); and pizza places (69) have the highest Groundwork market scores. For lawn care, cleaning and pest control companies, that ranks #59 of 1,771 scored counties.

Warren County is part of the McMinnville area. Against the U.S., map listings per household run highest for collision repair and body shops (2.2 times the U.S. rate) and lowest for real estate agents and brokers (50% below the U.S. rate).

All 56 business types in Warren County

Highest Groundwork market score first. Each score compares Warren County with other counties for that business type, from 0 to 100. Spending per listing divides a whole spending line (all vehicle repairs, all eating out) by one type’s listings: the demand for each competitor, not a business’s revenue. Compare it across markets with its index, where 100 is the U.S. figure for the same type; the real estate types, whose line is all housing costs, show the index only. How the score works.

Every business type in Warren County, TN, highest Groundwork market score first, with its rank among counties, listings, listings per 10,000 households, spending per listing and official establishments
Business typeScoreRank among countiesListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingSpending per listing vs. U.S. (100)Official establishments
Lawn, cleaning and pest control80#59 of 1,77174.3$3M17614
Insurance agencies79#249 of 2,2722113.0$2.2M17113
Pizza69#331 of 2,09074.3$7.3M14325
Real estate agents and brokers67#306 of 2,1762515.4Index only1593
Tire shops65#405 of 1,53063.7$2.6M106Under 3
Coffee shops and cafes65#420 of 2,06374.3$7.3M1968
Real estate64#425 of 2,2293219.7Index only1566
Auto repair and car care64#598 of 2,4016238.3$256K9515
Nail salons61#366 of 1,32853.1$2.5M148Under 3
Dentists and orthodontists60#580 of 1,886127.4$1.3M1317
Car washes and detailing58#523 of 1,45174.3$2.3M90Under 3
Home repair trades58#673 of 2,0571811.1$2.2M9219
Gas stations57#882 of 2,3582917.9$1.8M7625
Barbershops56#541 of 1,35653.1$2.5M131Under 3
Auto repair shops56#922 of 2,3784024.7$397K8914
Grocery and convenience stores56#954 of 2,4023622.2$2.5M727
Restaurants and cafes55#974 of 2,40512979.6$394K10657
Sit-down restaurants52#1,103 of 2,4057546.3$677K10222
Chiropractors51#698 of 1,49063.7$2.6M1085
Fast food and sandwich shops51#1,113 of 2,2222012.3$2.5M8325
Grocery stores50#1,033 of 2,070159.3$5.9M635
Optometrists and eye care49#699 of 1,30253.1$3.1M993
HVAC and plumbing46#1,011 of 1,707138.0$3.1M6511
Convenience stores46#1,279 of 2,2611811.1$4.9M62Under 3
Gyms, studios and classes44#1,368 of 2,0882113.0$402K613
Clothing, shoes and laundry43#1,388 of 2,2103219.7$814K9210
Bakeries and dessert shops42#1,224 of 1,889159.3$3.4M828
Pet grooming and boarding41#953 of 1,461106.2$1.2M473
Physical therapy41#963 of 1,42295.6$1.7M725
Clothing and shoe stores41#1,373 of 2,0872515.4$1M8210
Salons, barbers and spas40#1,757 of 2,3858451.8$147K698
Martial arts and dance studios38#992 of 1,33474.3$1.2M603
Hair salons38#1,760 of 2,3395232.1$237K556
Pet businesses37#1,663 of 2,2002917.9$410K478
Veterinarians36#1,084 of 1,48595.6$1.3M495
Child care and preschools35#1,227 of 1,611106.2$525K5210
Collision repair and body shops34#1,029 of 1,327116.8$1.4M476
Primary care and pediatrics30#1,377 of 1,656127.4$1.3M7239
Pet stores29#794 of 97463.7$2M44Under 3
Gyms29#1,519 of 1,792127.4$703K54Under 3
Spas and skin care27#1,602 of 1,7692213.6$561K64Under 3
Doctors, dentists and clinics27#2,177 of 2,39413180.8$118K7759
Property managementNot scoredNot scored42.5Index only973
Funeral homesNot scoredNot scored31.9$772K1143
Pest controlNot scoredNot scored31.9$6.9M67Under 3
Roofing and guttersNot scoredNot scored31.9$13.4M1593
Dry cleanersNot scoredNot scored21.2$13MToo fewUnder 3
ElectriciansNot scoredNot scored21.2$20.1MToo few5
House cleaningNot scoredNot scored21.2$10.3MToo few7
Landscaping and lawn careNot scoredNot scored21.2$10.3MToo few7
Mortgage brokers and lendersNot scoredNot scored21.2Index onlyToo fewUnder 3
Oil change and quick lubeNot scoredNot scored21.2$7.9MToo fewUnder 3
Yoga, Pilates and fitness studiosNot scoredNot scored21.2$4.2MToo fewUnder 3
Home inspectorsNot scoredNot scored10.6Index onlyToo fewUnder 3
LaundromatsNot scoredNot scored10.6$26MToo fewUnder 3
Urgent care and walk-in clinicsNot scoredNot scored10.6$15.5MToo fewUnder 3

Household spending in Warren County

What households here spend in a year on each line, in total and per household, with the index against the U.S. average (100).

Annual household spending in Warren County, TN by line, per household, and against the U.S.
Spending lineA year, all householdsPer householdIndex vs. U.S. (100)
Vehicle maintenance and repairs$15.9M$980102
Gasoline and other fuels$52.5M$3,241125
Food away from home$50.8M$3,13377
Groceries$88.3M$5,44986
Personal care products and services$12.3M$76176
Child care and other personal services$5.2M$32456
Memberships, classes and admissions$8.4M$52153
Medical and dental services$15.5M$95574
Pets$11.9M$73581
Clothing, shoes and related services$26M$1,60778
Vehicle insurance$45.2M$2,787142
Home repairs, maintenance and insurance$40.3M$2,48482
Lawn care, cleaning and other household services$20.7M$1,27790
Rent and homeowner costs$216.5M$13,36080

Household spending is estimated from the incomes of the households in each neighborhood, using what households at each income spent nationally in 2024, adjusted for the region. It counts what residents spend, wherever they spend it.

Population and households in Warren County

Population, 2025 estimate
43,717+6.5% since 2020
Households
16,203
Median age
40.4
Homes lived in by their owners
72%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
433 sq. mi.
People per square mile
97
Median household income
$55,487+34.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$74,703
Median home value
$192,900
Jobs located here
12,649
Daytime population
36,573Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Warren County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the competitors on map listings by name and distance, for any of the 56 business types.

Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Warren County is part of the McMinnville, TN area.

Questions

How fast is Warren County, TN growing?

Population estimates put Warren County at 43,717 people in 2025, up 6.5% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,203 households. Median household income rose 34.9% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

How much do households in Warren County, TN spend?

Households in Warren County spend about $216.5M a year on rent and homeowner costs, $88.3M on groceries and $52.5M on gasoline and other fuels. Set against the U.S., households in Warren County spend the most on vehicle insurance (an index of 142, where 100 is the U.S. average) and the least on memberships, classes and admissions (53).

Which business types have the highest market scores in Warren County, TN?

The highest Groundwork market scores in Warren County are for lawn care, cleaning and pest control companies (80); insurance agencies (79); and pizza places (69). Warren County ranks #59 of 1,771 scored counties for lawn care, cleaning and pest control companies.

How does Warren County, TN compare with the U.S.?

The median household income in Warren County is $55,487 a year, 31% below the U.S. median of $80,734. The population rose 6.5% from 2020 to 2025, against +3.1% for the U.S. The median home value is $192,900, against $332,700 for the U.S. For its number of households, Warren County has the most map listings, relative to the U.S., for collision repair and body shops (2.2 times the U.S. rate) and the fewest for real estate agents and brokers (50% below the U.S. rate).

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. 42 of the 56 business types have a score in Warren County, each ranked against other counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Warren County. It maps the competitors on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

All markets in Tennessee · Every U.S. market · How we measure

Screening a site or an acquisition in Warren County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.