Groundwork

Food and drink · Small-town market · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in the Hereford, TX area

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Hereford, TX area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 22 out of 100: Low

Ranked #492 of 507 scored small-town markets
#37 of 39 scored small-town markets based in Texas

Listings
7
1 chain location (14%)
Official establishments
7
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$20.1M
On food away from home · $3,316 a household
Spending per listing
$2.9M
31% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.6
18% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
18,626
+0.5% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Hereford area

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Hereford area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Hereford area is 22 (low), #492 of 507 scored small-town markets and #37 of 39 scored small-town markets based in Texas. That puts it in the bottom quarter of small-town markets.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 7 bakeries and dessert shops in the Hereford area. One of them (14%) is a chain location, against 35% across the U.S. That is 11.6 per 10,000 households, 18% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,316 per household (19% below the U.S. average), households in the Hereford area spend about $20.1M a year on food away from home. That works out to $2.9M per shop, 31% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 7 businesses with payroll in the Hereford area classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 864 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Population estimates put the population change in the Hereford area from 2020 to 2025 at +0.5%, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How the Hereford area compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hereford, TX area compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureHereford areaTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.611.89.8
Spending per listing$2.9M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)8641,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+0.5%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,316$3,970$4,070
Median household income$60,799$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score2245

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
7All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
88
Annual payroll, 2023
$809K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
71 chain location
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
5The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Hereford area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in the Hereford area

Population, 2025 estimate
18,626+0.5% since 2020
Households
6,051
Median age
31.6
Homes lived in by their owners
67%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
1,497 sq. mi.
People per square mile
12
Median household income
$60,799+22.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$75,276
Median home value
$121,300
Jobs located here
8,711
Daytime population
18,792Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in the Hereford area?

These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of the Hereford area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring small-town markets in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with the Hereford area marked.

Top small-town markets in Texas

Small-town markets in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Bonham, TX70129.4$3.9M+9.2%#58 of 507
2Sulphur Springs, TX68117.9$4.6M+6.1%#72 of 507
3Big Spring, TX6086.6$5.5M−12.4%#142 of 507
4El Campo, TX601610.1$3.6M+1.2%#152 of 507
5Port Lavaca, TX5678.1$4.8M−2.3%#188 of 507
6Brenham, TX562214.2$2.7M+7.0%#195 of 507
7Del Rio, TX55116.5$5.1M+0.5%#203 of 507
8Granbury, TX543011.8$3.5M+13.6%#216 of 507
9Brownwood, TX53117.3$4.4M+1.7%#223 of 507
10Athens, TX503811.3$3.1M+7.5%#263 of 507
37Hereford, TX22711.6$2.9M+0.5%#492 of 507

Other business types in the Hereford area

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Hereford, TX area?

There are 7 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in the Hereford area as of September 2026. One of them (14%) is a chain location. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 7 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in the Hereford, TX area spend on food away from home?

About $20.1M a year, or $3,316 per household. That is 19% below the U.S. average (an index of 81, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 7 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.9M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 6,051 households in the Hereford area and national spending patterns by income.

How does the Hereford, TX area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

The Hereford area has 11.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 18% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.9M, 31% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Hereford area would have about 5, against 7 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 864 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is the Hereford, TX area growing?

Population estimates put the Hereford area at 18,626 people in 2025, up 0.5% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 6,051 households. Median household income in the Hereford area is $60,799, 25% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 22.3%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Hereford area scores 22 for bakeries and dessert shops (low), #492 of 507 scored small-town markets.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Hereford area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Hereford area

Screening a site or an acquisition in the Hereford area?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of the Hereford area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.