Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in Denton County, TX

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Denton County, TX, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 58 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #629 of 1,889 scored counties
#25 of 147 scored counties in Texas

Listings
417
157 chain locations (38%)
Official establishments
343
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +47.8% since 2019
Household spending a year
$1.7B
On food away from home · $4,812 a household
Spending per listing
$4.2M
In line with the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
11.6
18% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
1,069,346
+16.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Denton County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Denton County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Map listings as of September 2026 show 417 bakeries and dessert shops in Denton County. 157 of them (38%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 11.6, 18% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $4,812 per household (18% above the U.S. average), households in Denton County spend about $1.7B a year on food away from home. Spread across 417 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $4.2M per shop, in line with the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

Official counts show 343 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Denton County in 2023, up 47.8% from 2019. That is one for every 1,051 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Another 54 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 33 SBA-backed loans worth $24.5M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Denton County.

Population estimates put the population change in Denton County from 2020 to 2025 at +16.9%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, Denton County has a Groundwork market score of 58 (upper middle): #629 of 1,889 scored counties and #25 of 147 scored counties in Texas.

How Denton County compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Denton County, TX compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureDenton CountyTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households11.611.89.8
Spending per listing$4.2M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,0511,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+47.8%+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+16.9%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,812$3,970$4,070
Median household income$111,498$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score5845

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
232 → 343All snack bars and retail bakeries · +47.8% over the period
Employees, 2023
3,302
Annual payroll, 2023
$62.3M
One-person businesses, 2023
54All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
417157 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
419The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
33
Amount
$24.5M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Denton County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Denton County

Population, 2025 estimate
1,069,346+16.9% since 2020
Households
360,392
Median age
38.2
Homes lived in by their owners
65%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
878 sq. mi.
People per square mile
1,115
Median household income
$111,498+28.3% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$145,847
Median home value
$437,200
Jobs located here
321,359
Daytime population
759,111Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Denton County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Denton County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with Denton County marked.

Top counties in Texas

Counties in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Waller County, TX90126.5$6.3M+21.9%#17 of 1,889
2Guadalupe County, TX80416.3$6.7M+15.8%#86 of 1,889
3Bastrop County, TX78277.3$5.5M+21.3%#118 of 1,889
4Medina County, TX76116.2$6.2M+11.4%#144 of 1,889
5Llano County, TX7487.4$5.1M+9.5%#195 of 1,889
6Wilson County, TX73158.2$5.1M+12.2%#210 of 1,889
7San Jacinto County, TX7165.5$6.2M+7.1%#240 of 1,889
8Coryell County, TX68176.3$5.6M+3.0%#316 of 1,889
9Aransas County, TX6797.2$5M+9.3%#342 of 1,889
10Fannin County, TX65129.4$3.9M+9.2%#404 of 1,889
25Denton County, TX5841711.6$4.2M+16.9%#629 of 1,889

Other business types in Denton County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Denton County, TX?

There are 417 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Denton County as of September 2026. 157 of them (38%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 343 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 47.8% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 54 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Denton County, TX spend on food away from home?

About $1.7B a year, or $4,812 per household. That is 18% above the U.S. average (an index of 118, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 417 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.2M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 360,392 households in Denton County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Denton County, TX compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Denton County has 11.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 18% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.2M, in line with the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Denton County would have about 419, against 417 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,051 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 47.8% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Denton County, TX growing?

Population estimates put Denton County at 1,069,346 people in 2025, up 16.9% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 360,392 households. Median household income in Denton County is $111,498, 38% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 28.3%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Denton County scores 58 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #629 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Denton County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Denton County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Denton County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Denton County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.