Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Texas

Bakeries and dessert shops in Caldwell County, TX

The bakeries and dessert shops in Caldwell County, TX, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other counties.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 42 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,231 of 1,889 scored counties
#82 of 147 scored counties in Texas

Listings
20
3 chain locations (15%)
Official establishments
11
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$59.2M
On food away from home · $3,554 a household
Spending per listing
$3M
29% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
12.0
22% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
55,150
+20.0% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Caldwell County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Caldwell County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Map listings as of September 2026 show 20 bakeries and dessert shops in Caldwell County. Of those, 3 are chain locations, or 15%, against 35% across the U.S. That is 12.0 per 10,000 households, 22% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

At $3,554 per household (13% below the U.S. average), households in Caldwell County spend about $59.2M a year on food away from home. Spread across 20 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $3M per shop, 29% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Caldwell County was 11 in 2023. That is one for every 1,513 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $2.3M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Caldwell County.

Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Caldwell County grew 20.0%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in Caldwell County is 42 (lower middle), #1,231 of 1,889 scored counties and #82 of 147 scored counties in Texas.

How Caldwell County compares

The same measures for Texas and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Caldwell County, TX compared with Texas and the U.S.
MeasureCaldwell CountyTexasU.S.
Listings per 10k households12.011.89.8
Spending per listing$3M$3.4M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,5131,3351,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+37.6%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+20.0%+8.5%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,554$3,970$4,070
Median household income$69,758$78,476$80,734
Groundwork market score4245

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
6 → 11All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
67
Annual payroll, 2023
$867K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
203 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
14The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$2.3M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Caldwell County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Caldwell County

Population, 2025 estimate
55,150+20.0% since 2020
Households
16,647
Median age
38.0
Homes lived in by their owners
75%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
545 sq. mi.
People per square mile
89
Median household income
$69,758+28.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$87,260
Median home value
$240,500
Jobs located here
9,455
Daytime population
36,190Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Caldwell County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Caldwell County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Texas

Every Texas market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Texas for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Texas, with Caldwell County marked.

Top counties in Texas

Counties in Texas ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Waller County, TX90126.5$6.3M+21.9%#17 of 1,889
2Guadalupe County, TX80416.3$6.7M+15.8%#86 of 1,889
3Bastrop County, TX78277.3$5.5M+21.3%#118 of 1,889
4Medina County, TX76116.2$6.2M+11.4%#144 of 1,889
5Llano County, TX7487.4$5.1M+9.5%#195 of 1,889
6Wilson County, TX73158.2$5.1M+12.2%#210 of 1,889
7San Jacinto County, TX7165.5$6.2M+7.1%#240 of 1,889
8Coryell County, TX68176.3$5.6M+3.0%#316 of 1,889
9Aransas County, TX6797.2$5M+9.3%#342 of 1,889
10Fannin County, TX65129.4$3.9M+9.2%#404 of 1,889
82Caldwell County, TX422012.0$3M+20.0%#1,231 of 1,889

Other business types in Caldwell County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Caldwell County, TX?

There are 20 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Caldwell County as of September 2026. 3 of them (15%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 11 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Caldwell County, TX spend on food away from home?

About $59.2M a year, or $3,554 per household. That is 13% below the U.S. average (an index of 87, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 20 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,647 households in Caldwell County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Caldwell County, TX compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Caldwell County has 12.0 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 22% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3M, 29% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Caldwell County would have about 14, against 20 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,513 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Caldwell County, TX growing?

Population estimates put Caldwell County at 55,150 people in 2025, up 20.0% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 16,647 households. Median household income in Caldwell County is $69,758, 14% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 28.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Caldwell County scores 42 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,231 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Caldwell County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Caldwell County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Caldwell County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Caldwell County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.