Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Tennessee

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County, TN

The bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County, TN, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other counties.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 29 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,640 of 1,889 scored counties
#59 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee

Listings
9
1 chain location (11%)
Official establishments
12
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$33.5M
On food away from home · $3,047 a household
Spending per listing
$3.7M
10% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
8.2
16% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
27,983
+3.8% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Hardin County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Hardin County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County is 29 (lower middle), #1,640 of 1,889 scored counties and #59 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

Households in Hardin County spend about $33.5M a year on food away from home, or $3,047 per household, 25% below the U.S. average. That is about $3.7M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 10% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Hardin County has 9 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. One of them (11%) is a chain location, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 8.2 for every 10,000 households, 16% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

The official count of businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hardin County was 12 in 2023. That is one for every 917 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Hardin County grew 3.8%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Hardin County compares

The same measures for Tennessee and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County, TN compared with Tennessee and the U.S.
MeasureHardin CountyTennesseeU.S.
Listings per 10k households8.28.29.8
Spending per listing$3.7M$4.5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)9171,7401,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+60.1%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+3.8%+5.6%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,047$3,670$4,070
Median household income$49,956$69,595$80,734
Groundwork market score2956

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
4 → 12All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
35
Annual payroll, 2023
$394K
One-person businesses, 2023
3All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
91 chain location
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
8The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Hardin County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Hardin County

Population, 2025 estimate
27,983+3.8% since 2020
Households
11,001
Median age
44.6
Homes lived in by their owners
78%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
578 sq. mi.
People per square mile
47
Median household income
$49,956+22.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$69,024
Median home value
$160,400
Jobs located here
7,748
Daytime population
24,880Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Hardin County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Hardin County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Tennessee

Every Tennessee market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Tennessee for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Tennessee, with Hardin County marked.

Top counties in Tennessee

Counties in Tennessee ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Fayette County, TN9352.9$13.8M+7.7%#5 of 1,889
2Roane County, TN8683.5$10.3M+7.0%#33 of 1,889
3Cheatham County, TN8453.1$12.9M+4.1%#54 of 1,889
4Jefferson County, TN82104.6$7.6M+9.3%#69 of 1,889
5Loudon County, TN81145.8$6.8M+15.6%#75 of 1,889
6Robertson County, TN78165.7$6.8M+9.9%#109 of 1,889
7Sumner County, TN78516.5$6.4M+9.2%#114 of 1,889
8Hawkins County, TN7783.4$9.3M+5.0%#123 of 1,889
9Giles County, TN7475.8$6M+3.6%#185 of 1,889
10Bedford County, TN74136.7$5.2M+9.7%#193 of 1,889
59Hardin County, TN2998.2$3.7M+3.8%#1,640 of 1,889

Other business types in Hardin County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Hardin County, TN?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 9 bakeries and dessert shops in Hardin County. One of them (11%) is a chain location. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 12 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 3 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Hardin County, TN spend on food away from home?

About $33.5M a year, or $3,047 per household. That is 25% below the U.S. average (an index of 75, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 9 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.7M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 11,001 households in Hardin County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Hardin County, TN compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Hardin County has 8.2 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 16% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.7M, 10% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Hardin County would have about 8, against 9 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 917 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Hardin County, TN growing?

Population estimates put Hardin County at 27,983 people in 2025, up 3.8% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 11,001 households. The median household income in Hardin County is $49,956 a year, 38% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 22.8% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Hardin County scores 29 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,640 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Hardin County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Hardin County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Hardin County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Hardin County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.