Groundwork

Food and drink · County · South Dakota

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, SD

How Lincoln County, SD compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 75 out of 100: High

Ranked #159 of 1,889 scored counties
#2 of 11 scored counties in South Dakota

Listings
17
6 chain locations (35%)
Official establishments
24
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$126.2M
On food away from home · $4,528 a household
Spending per listing
$7.4M
79% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
6.1
38% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
77,145
+17.5% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Lincoln County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Lincoln County has a Groundwork market score of 75 (high): #159 of 1,889 scored counties and #2 of 11 scored counties in South Dakota. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

Household spending on food away from home in Lincoln County comes to about $126.2M a year: $4,528 per household, 11% above the U.S. average. That is about $7.4M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 79% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Lincoln County has 17 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 35% of them, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 6.1, 38% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

In 2023, official counts showed 24 businesses with payroll in Lincoln County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 1,162 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $539K have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County. Population estimates show Lincoln County grew 17.5% from 2020 to 2025, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Lincoln County compares

The same measures for South Dakota and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, SD compared with South Dakota and the U.S.
MeasureLincoln CountySouth DakotaU.S.
Listings per 10k households6.16.99.8
Spending per listing$7.4M$5.6M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,1621,3291,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+41.0%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+17.5%+5.3%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,528$3,849$4,070
Median household income$99,166$75,081$80,734
Groundwork market score7567

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
14 → 24All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
336
Annual payroll, 2023
$4.9M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
176 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
31The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$539K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Lincoln County

Population, 2025 estimate
77,145+17.5% since 2020
Households
27,879
Median age
36.5
Homes lived in by their owners
71%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
577 sq. mi.
People per square mile
122
Median household income
$99,166+20.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$132,275
Median home value
$348,300
Jobs located here
29,510
Daytime population
60,089Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Lincoln County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across South Dakota

Every South Dakota market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in South Dakota for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in South Dakota, with Lincoln County marked.

Top counties in South Dakota

Counties in South Dakota ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Brookings County, SD7885.8$6.5M+9.6%#113 of 1,889
2Lincoln County, SD75176.1$7.4M+17.5%#159 of 1,889
3Union County, SD7356.8$6.3M+3.3%#202 of 1,889
4Codington County, SD6764.8$7.6M+4.3%#324 of 1,889
5Brown County, SD6384.9$7.6M−1.7%#435 of 1,889
6Hughes County, SD6356.9$5.8M−0.9%#445 of 1,889
7Lawrence County, SD6275.8$6.4M+14.0%#463 of 1,889
8Minnehaha County, SD62677.9$5M+7.6%#472 of 1,889
9Beadle County, SD5556.6$5.4M+2.4%#728 of 1,889
10Pennington County, SD50429.1$4.2M+6.6%#931 of 1,889

Other business types in Lincoln County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Lincoln County, SD?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 17 bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County. 6 of them (35%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 24 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too.

How much do households in Lincoln County, SD spend on food away from home?

About $126.2M a year, or $4,528 per household. That is 11% above the U.S. average (an index of 111, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 17 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $7.4M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 27,879 households in Lincoln County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Lincoln County, SD compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Lincoln County has 6.1 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 38% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $7.4M, 79% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Lincoln County would have about 31, against 17 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,162 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Lincoln County, SD growing?

Population estimates put Lincoln County at 77,145 people in 2025, up 17.5% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 27,879 households. The median household income in Lincoln County is $99,166 a year, 23% above the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 20.2% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Lincoln County scores 75 for bakeries and dessert shops (high), #159 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Lincoln County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Lincoln County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Lincoln County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.