Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Oregon

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, OR

How Lincoln County, OR compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 14 out of 100: Low

Ranked #1,868 of 1,889 scored counties
#28 of 28 scored counties in Oregon

Listings
47
3 chain locations (6%)
Official establishments
34
All snack bars and retail bakeries · −5.6% since 2019
Household spending a year
$79.7M
On food away from home · $3,450 a household
Spending per listing
$1.7M
59% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
20.3
2.1 times the U.S.
Population, 2025
50,636
+0.3% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Lincoln County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County is 14 (low), #1,868 of 1,889 scored counties and #28 of 28 scored counties in Oregon. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

Map listings as of September 2026 show 47 bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County. Chain locations make up 6% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 20.3 for every 10,000 households, 2.1 times the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Lincoln County comes to about $79.7M a year: $3,450 per household, 15% below the U.S. average. That is about $1.7M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 59% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

Official counts show 34 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County in 2023, down 5.6% from 2019. That is one for every 680 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $50K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County. Population estimates show Lincoln County grew 0.3% from 2020 to 2025, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Lincoln County compares

The same measures for Oregon and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, OR compared with Oregon and the U.S.
MeasureLincoln CountyOregonU.S.
Listings per 10k households20.38.89.8
Spending per listing$1.7M$4.6M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)6809611,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023−5.6%+11.2%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+0.3%+0.7%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,450$4,070$4,070
Median household income$63,165$83,011$80,734
Groundwork market score1443

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
36 → 34All snack bars and retail bakeries · −5.6% over the period
Employees, 2023
191
Annual payroll, 2023
$4.4M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
473 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
19The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$50K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Lincoln County

Population, 2025 estimate
50,636+0.3% since 2020
Households
23,115
Median age
51.6
Homes lived in by their owners
72%
Vehicles per household
1.8
Land area
981 sq. mi.
People per square mile
52
Median household income
$63,165+31.9% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$86,183
Median home value
$410,800
Jobs located here
16,986
Daytime population
46,905Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Lincoln County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Oregon

Every Oregon market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Oregon for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Oregon, with Lincoln County marked.

Top counties in Oregon

Counties in Oregon ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Crook County, OR7587.4$5.3M+10.6%#173 of 1,889
2Jefferson County, OR7455.7$6.6M+4.7%#179 of 1,889
3Polk County, OR68216.4$6.4M+2.3%#309 of 1,889
4Columbia County, OR6694.3$9.2M+2.6%#352 of 1,889
5Washington County, OR621747.4$6.4M+1.8%#462 of 1,889
6Clackamas County, OR601227.4$6.2M+0.9%#534 of 1,889
7Yamhill County, OR59287.1$5.8M+2.2%#571 of 1,889
8Benton County, OR57328.3$4.8M+4.4%#655 of 1,889
9Klamath County, OR55144.8$6.8M+0.9%#719 of 1,889
10Deschutes County, OR538510.0$4.3M+6.8%#822 of 1,889
28Lincoln County, OR144720.3$1.7M+0.3%#1,868 of 1,889

Other business types in Lincoln County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Lincoln County, OR?

There are 47 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Lincoln County as of September 2026. 3 of them (6%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 34 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, down 5.6% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Lincoln County, OR spend on food away from home?

About $79.7M a year, or $3,450 per household. That is 15% below the U.S. average (an index of 85, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 47 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $1.7M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 23,115 households in Lincoln County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Lincoln County, OR compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Lincoln County has 20.3 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 2.1 times the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $1.7M, 59% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Lincoln County would have about 19, against 47 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 680 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count fell 5.6% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Lincoln County, OR growing?

Population estimates put Lincoln County at 50,636 people in 2025, up 0.3% since 2020, slower than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 23,115 households. Median household income in Lincoln County is $63,165, 22% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 31.9%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Lincoln County scores 14 for bakeries and dessert shops (low), #1,868 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Lincoln County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Lincoln County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Lincoln County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.