Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Oklahoma

Bakeries and dessert shops in Kay County, OK

The bakeries and dessert shops in Kay County, OK, the household spending behind them and how the market ranks against other counties.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 25 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,743 of 1,889 scored counties
#40 of 50 scored counties in Oklahoma

Listings
21
11 chain locations (52%)
Official establishments
9
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$54.7M
On food away from home · $3,263 a household
Spending per listing
$2.6M
37% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
12.5
28% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
43,490
−0.3% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Kay County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Kay County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

For bakeries and dessert shops, Kay County has a Groundwork market score of 25 (lower middle): #1,743 of 1,889 scored counties and #40 of 50 scored counties in Oklahoma. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

As of September 2026, map listings count 21 bakeries and dessert shops in Kay County. Chain locations make up 52% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That is 12.5 per 10,000 households, 28% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Households in Kay County spend about $54.7M a year on food away from home, or $3,263 per household, 20% below the U.S. average. Spread across 21 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $2.6M per shop, 37% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

Official counts show 9 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Kay County in 2023. That is one for every 1,864 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $1.8M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Kay County. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Kay County declined 0.3%, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How Kay County compares

The same measures for Oklahoma and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Kay County, OK compared with Oklahoma and the U.S.
MeasureKay CountyOklahomaU.S.
Listings per 10k households12.510.19.8
Spending per listing$2.6M$3.5M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,8641,7091,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+45.5%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−0.3%+4.0%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,263$3,519$4,070
Median household income$58,423$65,039$80,734
Groundwork market score2538

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
4 → 9All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
84
Annual payroll, 2023
$1.3M
One-person businesses, 2023
5All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
2111 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
13The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
2
Amount
$1.8M

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Kay County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Kay County

Population, 2025 estimate
43,490−0.3% since 2020
Households
16,776
Median age
39.1
Homes lived in by their owners
69%
Vehicles per household
1.9
Land area
920 sq. mi.
People per square mile
47
Median household income
$58,423+24.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$77,308
Median home value
$124,700
Jobs located here
15,500
Daytime population
42,294Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Kay County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Kay County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Oklahoma

Every Oklahoma market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Oklahoma for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Oklahoma, with Kay County marked.

Top counties in Oklahoma

Counties in Oklahoma ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Grady County, OK8694.4$8.5M+7.7%#36 of 1,889
2Logan County, OK80126.7$6M+11.5%#90 of 1,889
3Wagoner County, OK77258.0$4.8M+14.6%#135 of 1,889
4Rogers County, OK76246.5$5.9M+7.1%#147 of 1,889
5Osage County, OK7195.2$6.7M+2.2%#235 of 1,889
6Cherokee County, OK6994.8$6.6M+4.5%#285 of 1,889
7Delaware County, OK6995.2$6.2M+3.8%#289 of 1,889
8Canadian County, OK68508.6$4.7M+20.4%#319 of 1,889
9Garfield County, OK6693.8$9.1M−1.5%#353 of 1,889
10Creek County, OK65196.7$5.1M+4.4%#393 of 1,889
40Kay County, OK252112.5$2.6M−0.3%#1,743 of 1,889

Other business types in Kay County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Kay County, OK?

Kay County has 21 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 11 of them (52%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 9 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts also show 5 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Kay County, OK spend on food away from home?

About $54.7M a year, or $3,263 per household. That is 20% below the U.S. average (an index of 80, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 21 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.6M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 16,776 households in Kay County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Kay County, OK compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Kay County has 12.5 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 28% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.6M, 37% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Kay County would have about 13, against 21 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,864 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Kay County, OK growing?

Population estimates put Kay County at 43,490 people in 2025, down 0.3% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 16,776 households. Median household income in Kay County is $58,423, 28% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 24.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Kay County scores 25 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,743 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Kay County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Kay County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Kay County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Kay County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.