Groundwork

Food and drink · County · New Mexico

Bakeries and dessert shops in Valencia County, NM

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Valencia County, NM, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 74 out of 100: Upper middle

Ranked #187 of 1,889 scored counties
#2 of 19 scored counties in New Mexico

Listings
16
6 chain locations (38%)
Official establishments
6
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$92.4M
On food away from home · $3,348 a household
Spending per listing
$5.8M
39% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
5.8
41% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
82,013
+7.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Valencia County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Valencia County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Valencia County scores 74 (upper middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #187 of 1,889 scored counties and #2 of 19 scored counties in New Mexico. That puts it in the top 10% of counties for bakeries and dessert shops.

At $3,348 per household (18% below the U.S. average), households in Valencia County spend about $92.4M a year on food away from home. That works out to $5.8M per shop, 39% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 16 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Valencia County as of September 2026. Chain locations make up 38% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That is 5.8 per 10,000 households, 41% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

In 2023, official counts showed 6 businesses with payroll in Valencia County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 4,597 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Since fiscal 2022, 1 SBA-backed loan worth $505K has gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Valencia County. Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Valencia County grew 7.2%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%).

How Valencia County compares

The same measures for New Mexico and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Valencia County, NM compared with New Mexico and the U.S.
MeasureValencia CountyNew MexicoU.S.
Listings per 10k households5.88.29.8
Spending per listing$5.8M$4.3M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)4,5971,6231,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+36.9%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+7.2%+0.3%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,348$3,547$4,070
Median household income$58,933$64,059$80,734
Groundwork market score7436

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
4 → 6All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
65
Annual payroll, 2023
$1.7M
One-person businesses, 2023
5All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
166 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
22The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
1
Amount
$505K

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Valencia County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Valencia County

Population, 2025 estimate
82,013+7.2% since 2020
Households
27,583
Median age
40.7
Homes lived in by their owners
83%
Vehicles per household
2.2
Land area
1,067 sq. mi.
People per square mile
74
Median household income
$58,933+20.4% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$79,665
Median home value
$223,000
Jobs located here
16,710
Daytime population
63,523Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Valencia County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Valencia County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across New Mexico

Every New Mexico market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in New Mexico for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in New Mexico, with Valencia County marked.

Top counties in New Mexico

Counties in New Mexico ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Sandoval County, NM85183.2$12.9M+6.9%#42 of 1,889
2Valencia County, NM74165.8$5.8M+7.2%#187 of 1,889
3Rio Arriba County, NM6653.2$10.4M−1.0%#350 of 1,889
4Doña Ana County, NM55597.0$4.7M+4.1%#737 of 1,889
5Otero County, NM54197.8$4.2M+3.7%#787 of 1,889
6San Miguel County, NM5175.9$5.2M−3.2%#881 of 1,889
7Eddy County, NM51187.6$5.1M+0.3%#882 of 1,889
8McKinley County, NM50115.2$5.8M−6.1%#915 of 1,889
9San Juan County, NM45276.5$5.1M−0.9%#1,104 of 1,889
10Santa Fe County, NM418211.6$3.5M+1.2%#1,265 of 1,889

Other business types in Valencia County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Valencia County, NM?

As of September 2026, map listings count 16 bakeries and dessert shops in Valencia County. 6 of them (38%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 6 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Official counts list 5 one-person businesses without payroll.

How much do households in Valencia County, NM spend on food away from home?

About $92.4M a year, or $3,348 per household. That is 18% below the U.S. average (an index of 82, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 16 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $5.8M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 27,583 households in Valencia County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Valencia County, NM compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Valencia County has 5.8 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 41% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $5.8M, 39% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Valencia County would have about 22, against 16 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 4,597 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Valencia County, NM growing?

Population estimates put Valencia County at 82,013 people in 2025, up 7.2% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 27,583 households. The median household income in Valencia County is $58,933 a year, 27% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 20.4% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Valencia County scores 74 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #187 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Valencia County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Valencia County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Valencia County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Valencia County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.