Food and drink · County · Tennessee
Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, TN
How Lincoln County, TN compares with other counties and the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops: competitors, household spending, official counts and growth.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 69 out of 100: Upper middle
Ranked #300 of 1,889 scored counties
#15 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee
- Listings
- 10
- 2 chain locations (20%)
- Official establishments
- 4
- All snack bars and retail bakeries
- Household spending a year
- $51.5M
- On food away from home · $3,467 a household
- Spending per listing
- $5.1M
- 24% above the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 6.7
- 32% below the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 36,853
- +4.3% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Lincoln County
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
Households in Lincoln County spend about $51.5M a year on food away from home, or $3,467 per household, 15% below the U.S. average. Spread across 10 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $5.1M per shop, 24% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
There are 10 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Lincoln County as of September 2026. Of those, 2 are chain locations, or 20%, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 6.7 for every 10,000 households, 32% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.
In 2023, official counts showed 4 businesses with payroll in Lincoln County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 3,712 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population estimates show Lincoln County grew 4.3% from 2020 to 2025, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). Lincoln County scores 69 (upper middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #300 of 1,889 scored counties and #15 of 61 scored counties in Tennessee. That puts it in the top quarter of counties.
How Lincoln County compares
The same measures for Tennessee and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Lincoln County | Tennessee | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 6.7 | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $5.1M | $4.5M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | 3,712 | 1,740 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | n/a | +60.1% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | +4.3% | +5.6% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $3,467 | $3,670 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $64,667 | $69,595 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 69 | 56 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 4All snack bars and retail bakeries
- Employees, 2023
- 12
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $286K
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 102 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 12The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 0
- Amount
- $0
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in Lincoln County
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 36,853+4.3% since 2020
- Households
- 14,849
- Median age
- 42.5
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 76%
- Vehicles per household
- 2.2
- Land area
- 570 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 63
- Median household income
- $64,667+30.7% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $85,221
- Median home value
- $229,700
- Jobs located here
- 9,866
- Daytime population
- 30,502Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in Lincoln County?
These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across Tennessee
Every Tennessee market ranked →The highest-scoring counties in Tennessee for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Tennessee, with Lincoln County marked.
Top counties in Tennessee
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fayette County, TN | 93 | 5 | 2.9 | $13.8M | +7.7% | #5 of 1,889 |
| 2Roane County, TN | 86 | 8 | 3.5 | $10.3M | +7.0% | #33 of 1,889 |
| 3Cheatham County, TN | 84 | 5 | 3.1 | $12.9M | +4.1% | #54 of 1,889 |
| 4Jefferson County, TN | 82 | 10 | 4.6 | $7.6M | +9.3% | #69 of 1,889 |
| 5Loudon County, TN | 81 | 14 | 5.8 | $6.8M | +15.6% | #75 of 1,889 |
| 6Robertson County, TN | 78 | 16 | 5.7 | $6.8M | +9.9% | #109 of 1,889 |
| 7Sumner County, TN | 78 | 51 | 6.5 | $6.4M | +9.2% | #114 of 1,889 |
| 8Hawkins County, TN | 77 | 8 | 3.4 | $9.3M | +5.0% | #123 of 1,889 |
| 9Giles County, TN | 74 | 7 | 5.8 | $6M | +3.6% | #185 of 1,889 |
| 10Bedford County, TN | 74 | 13 | 6.7 | $5.2M | +9.7% | #193 of 1,889 |
| 15Lincoln County, TN | 69 | 10 | 6.7 | $5.1M | +4.3% | #300 of 1,889 |
Other business types in Lincoln County
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes72
- Sit-down restaurants65
- Fast food and sandwich shops67
- Pizza
- Coffee shops and cafes72
- Bakeries and dessert shops69
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Lincoln County, TN?
As of September 2026, map listings count 10 bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County. 2 of them (20%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 4 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too.
How much do households in Lincoln County, TN spend on food away from home?
About $51.5M a year, or $3,467 per household. That is 15% below the U.S. average (an index of 85, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 10 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $5.1M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 14,849 households in Lincoln County and national spending patterns by income.
How does Lincoln County, TN compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
Lincoln County has 6.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 32% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $5.1M, 24% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Lincoln County would have about 12, against 10 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 3,712 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.
How fast is Lincoln County, TN growing?
Population estimates put Lincoln County at 36,853 people in 2025, up 4.3% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 14,849 households. The median household income in Lincoln County is $64,667 a year, 20% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 30.7% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Lincoln County scores 69 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #300 of 1,889 scored counties.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Lincoln County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Lincoln County
Screening a site or an acquisition in Lincoln County?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.