Food and drink · County · New Jersey
Bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, NJ
Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, NJ, set against other counties and the U.S.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 55 out of 100: Upper middle
Ranked #756 of 1,889 scored counties
#4 of 21 scored counties in New Jersey
- Listings
- 54
- 19 chain locations (35%)
- Official establishments
- 26
- All snack bars and retail bakeries · −18.7% since 2019
- Household spending a year
- $200.2M
- On food away from home · $4,410 a household
- Spending per listing
- $3.7M
- 11% below the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 11.9
- 21% above the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 112,953
- +3.2% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Warren County
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
Map listings as of September 2026 show 54 bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County. 19 of them (35%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. That is 11.9 per 10,000 households, 21% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.
Households in Warren County spend about $200.2M a year on food away from home, or $4,410 per household, 8% above the U.S. average. That is about $3.7M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 11% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.
In 2023, official counts showed 26 businesses with payroll in Warren County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, down 18.7% from 2019. That is one for every 1,746 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 2 SBA-backed loans worth $3.3M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County.
Population estimates put the population change in Warren County from 2020 to 2025 at +3.2%, in step with the U.S. (+3.1%). Warren County scores 55 (upper middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #756 of 1,889 scored counties and #4 of 21 scored counties in New Jersey.
How Warren County compares
The same measures for New Jersey and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Warren County | New Jersey | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 11.9 | 13.3 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $3.7M | $3.5M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | 1,746 | 1,058 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | −18.7% | +15.2% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | +3.2% | +3.0% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $4,410 | $4,680 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $100,869 | $103,556 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 55 | 42 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 32 → 26All snack bars and retail bakeries · −18.7% over the period
- Employees, 2023
- 260
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $5.6M
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 5419 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 48The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 2
- Amount
- $3.3M
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in Warren County
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 112,953+3.2% since 2020
- Households
- 45,391
- Median age
- 44.5
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 75%
- Vehicles per household
- 1.9
- Land area
- 357 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 311
- Median household income
- $100,869+24.1% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $118,920
- Median home value
- $346,500
- Jobs located here
- 30,808
- Daytime population
- 86,522Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in Warren County?
These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across New Jersey
Every New Jersey market ranked →The highest-scoring counties in New Jersey for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in New Jersey, with Warren County marked.
Top counties in New Jersey
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sussex County, NJ | 67 | 51 | 8.8 | $5.5M | +2.9% | #337 of 1,889 |
| 2Somerset County, NJ | 65 | 138 | 10.6 | $5.2M | +3.5% | #390 of 1,889 |
| 3Burlington County, NJ | 58 | 203 | 11.5 | $4.2M | +4.3% | #630 of 1,889 |
| 4Warren County, NJ | 55 | 54 | 11.9 | $3.7M | +3.2% | #756 of 1,889 |
| 5Morris County, NJ | 53 | 244 | 12.6 | $4.3M | +3.2% | #825 of 1,889 |
| 6Middlesex County, NJ | 53 | 355 | 11.5 | $4.2M | +2.6% | #827 of 1,889 |
| 7Salem County, NJ | 52 | 27 | 10.9 | $3.6M | +2.3% | #870 of 1,889 |
| 8Essex County, NJ | 51 | 352 | 11.0 | $3.9M | +4.2% | #906 of 1,889 |
| 9Hunterdon County, NJ | 50 | 69 | 13.6 | $4M | +2.3% | #936 of 1,889 |
| 10Hudson County, NJ | 49 | 315 | 10.5 | $4.3M | +1.8% | #963 of 1,889 |
Other business types in Warren County
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes65
- Sit-down restaurants62
- Fast food and sandwich shops67
- Pizza62
- Coffee shops and cafes74
- Bakeries and dessert shops55
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Warren County, NJ?
There are 54 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Warren County as of September 2026. 19 of them (35%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 26 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, down 18.7% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.
How much do households in Warren County, NJ spend on food away from home?
About $200.2M a year, or $4,410 per household. That is 8% above the U.S. average (an index of 108, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 54 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.7M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 45,391 households in Warren County and national spending patterns by income.
How does Warren County, NJ compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
Warren County has 11.9 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 21% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.7M, 11% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Warren County would have about 48, against 54 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,746 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count fell 18.7% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.
How fast is Warren County, NJ growing?
Population estimates put Warren County at 112,953 people in 2025, up 3.2% since 2020, in step with the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 45,391 households. Median household income in Warren County is $100,869, 25% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 24.1%, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Warren County scores 55 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #756 of 1,889 scored counties.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Warren County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Warren County
Screening a site or an acquisition in Warren County?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.