Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Missouri

Bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, MO

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, MO, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score

Not scored

The score needs at least 5 listings; this market has 3.

Listings
3
0 chain locations (0%)
Official establishments
n/a
Fewer than 3, or not published
Household spending a year
$55.5M
On food away from home · $4,011 a household
Spending per listing
$18.5M
4.5 times the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
2.2
78% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
39,016
+9.2% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Warren County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Household spending on food away from home in Warren County comes to about $55.5M a year: $4,011 per household, in line with the U.S. average. Spread across 3 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $18.5M per shop, 4.5 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Warren County has 3 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. Per 10,000 households, that is 2.2, 78% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Official counts don’t publish a figure for snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County, since they leave out counts under 3.

Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Warren County grew 9.2%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). With 3 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, Warren County isn’t given a market score: the score needs at least 5, since one listing more or less would swing it.

How Warren County compares

The same measures for Missouri and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County, MO compared with Missouri and the U.S.
MeasureWarren CountyMissouriU.S.
Listings per 10k households2.28.19.8
Spending per listing$18.5M$4.7M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)n/a1,9131,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+43.3%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+9.2%+1.9%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$4,011$3,799$4,070
Median household income$81,209$70,702$80,734
Groundwork market scoreNot scored56

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
n/aAll snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
n/a
Annual payroll, 2023
n/a
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
30 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
13The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Warren County

Population, 2025 estimate
39,016+9.2% since 2020
Households
13,845
Median age
42.4
Homes lived in by their owners
80%
Vehicles per household
2.2
Land area
429 sq. mi.
People per square mile
87
Median household income
$81,209+35.1% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$99,746
Median home value
$260,400
Jobs located here
7,763
Daytime population
26,353Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Warren County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Missouri

Every Missouri market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Missouri for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Missouri, with Warren County marked.

Top counties in Missouri

Counties in Missouri ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Lincoln County, MO9373.1$13.2M+11.4%#6 of 1,889
2Christian County, MO85185.1$7.8M+8.3%#46 of 1,889
3Jefferson County, MO81515.8$6.9M+2.7%#73 of 1,889
4Newton County, MO80125.4$6.6M+6.1%#87 of 1,889
5Cass County, MO79286.5$6.5M+7.1%#100 of 1,889
6Callaway County, MO7874.2$8.7M+3.2%#104 of 1,889
7Lawrence County, MO7285.5$6.2M+3.7%#217 of 1,889
8Clay County, MO71787.6$5.5M+4.3%#247 of 1,889
9St. Charles County, MO701358.4$5.6M+4.9%#266 of 1,889
10Pettis County, MO67105.9$5.7M+2.9%#334 of 1,889
Warren County, MONot scored32.2$18.5M+9.2%

Other business types in Warren County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Warren County, MO?

Map listings as of September 2026 show 3 bakeries and dessert shops in Warren County. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. No official count is published for snack bars and retail bakeries in Warren County: counts under 3 are left out.

How much do households in Warren County, MO spend on food away from home?

About $55.5M a year, or $4,011 per household. That is in line with the U.S. average (an index of 99, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 3 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $18.5M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 13,845 households in Warren County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Warren County, MO compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Warren County has 2.2 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 78% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $18.5M, 4.5 times the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Warren County would have about 13, against 3 on map listings.

How fast is Warren County, MO growing?

Population estimates put Warren County at 39,016 people in 2025, up 9.2% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 13,845 households. The median household income in Warren County is $81,209 a year, in line with the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 35.1% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Warren County has no market score for bakeries and dessert shops: the score needs at least 5 on map listings, and it has 3.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Warren County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Warren County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Warren County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Warren County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.