Food and drink · Metro area · Arizona
Bakeries and dessert shops in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area
Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area, set against other metro areas and the U.S.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 67 out of 100: Upper middle
Ranked #61 of 387 scored metro areas
#4 of 7 scored metro areas based in Arizona
- Listings
- 1,643
- 740 chain locations (45%)
- Official establishments
- 1,334
- All snack bars and retail bakeries · +36.8% since 2019
- Household spending a year
- $8B
- On food away from home · $4,202 a household
- Spending per listing
- $4.8M
- 17% above the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 8.7
- 11% below the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 5,228,938
- +7.3% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
As of September 2026, map listings count 1,643 bakeries and dessert shops in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. 740 of them (45%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 8.7, 11% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.
At $4,202 per household (3% above the U.S. average), households in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area spend about $8B a year on food away from home. Spread across 1,643 bakeries and dessert shops, that is $4.8M per shop, 17% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.
Official counts show 1,334 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area in 2023, up 36.8% from 2019. That is one for every 1,419 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Another 241 one-person businesses have no payroll, by official counts. Since fiscal 2022, 80 SBA-backed loans worth $44.8M have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area.
Population estimates put the population change in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area from 2020 to 2025 at +7.3%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). The Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area scores 67 (upper middle) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #61 of 387 scored metro areas and #4 of 7 scored metro areas based in Arizona. That puts it in the top quarter of metro areas.
How the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area compares
The same measures for Arizona and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area | Arizona | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 8.7 | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $4.8M | $5.1M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | 1,419 | 1,555 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | +36.8% | +35.7% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | +7.3% | +6.1% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $4,202 | $3,982 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $88,301 | $79,964 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 67 | 69 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 1,334All snack bars and retail bakeries · +36.8% over the period
- Employees, 2023
- 19,323
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $404.1M
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 241All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 1,643740 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 1,919The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 80
- Amount
- $44.8M
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 5,228,938+7.3% since 2020
- Households
- 1,892,613
- Median age
- 39.3
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 67%
- Vehicles per household
- 1.9
- Land area
- 14,569 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 345
- Median household income
- $88,301+38.2% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $118,261
- Median home value
- $440,900
- Jobs located here
- 2,390,924
- Daytime population
- 5,104,371Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area?
These figures cover the whole metro area. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across Arizona
Every Arizona market ranked →The highest-scoring metro areas in Arizona for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Arizona, with the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area marked.
Top metro areas in Arizona
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lake Havasu City-Kingman, AZ | 72 | 50 | 4.9 | $6.7M | +6.5% | #28 of 387 |
| 2Tucson, AZ | 67 | 266 | 6.1 | $6.1M | +2.8% | #56 of 387 |
| 3Prescott Valley-Prescott, AZ | 67 | 76 | 6.8 | $5.3M | +6.5% | #60 of 387 |
| 4Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ | 67 | 1,643 | 8.7 | $4.8M | +7.3% | #61 of 387 |
| 5Yuma, AZ | 60 | 60 | 7.6 | $4.4M | +9.2% | #120 of 387 |
| 6Sierra Vista-Douglas, AZ | 46 | 37 | 7.3 | $4.6M | +0.6% | #232 of 387 |
| 7Flagstaff, AZ | 36 | 49 | 8.9 | $4.3M | −0.6% | #301 of 387 |
Other business types in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes76
- Sit-down restaurants77
- Fast food and sandwich shops64
- Pizza69
- Coffee shops and cafes58
- Bakeries and dessert shops67
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area?
The Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area has 1,643 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 740 of them (45%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 1,334 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 36.8% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 241 one-person businesses without payroll.
How much do households in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area spend on food away from home?
About $8B a year, or $4,202 per household. That is 3% above the U.S. average (an index of 103, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 1,643 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.8M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 1,892,613 households in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area and national spending patterns by income.
How does the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
The Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area has 8.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 11% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.8M, 17% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area would have about 1,919, against 1,643 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,419 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 36.8% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.
How fast is the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro area growing?
Population estimates put the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area at 5,228,938 people in 2025, up 7.3% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 1,892,613 households. Median household income in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area is $88,301, 9% above the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 38.2%, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area scores 67 for bakeries and dessert shops (upper middle), #61 of 387 scored metro areas.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area
Screening a site or an acquisition in the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler metro area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.