Groundwork

Food and drink · County · New York

Bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, NY

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, NY, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 19 out of 100: Low

Ranked #1,823 of 1,889 scored counties
#59 of 61 scored counties in New York

Listings
65
25 chain locations (38%)
Official establishments
37
All snack bars and retail bakeries · +54.2% since 2019
Household spending a year
$168.2M
On food away from home · $3,532 a household
Spending per listing
$2.6M
38% below the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
13.7
40% above the U.S.
Population, 2025
111,540
−3.9% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Jefferson County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

Jefferson County scores 19 (low) on the Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops, ranking #1,823 of 1,889 scored counties and #59 of 61 scored counties in New York. That puts it in the bottom quarter of counties.

As of September 2026, map listings count 65 bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County. Chain locations make up 38% of them, against 35% across the U.S. That is 13.7 per 10,000 households, 40% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.

Household spending on food away from home in Jefferson County comes to about $168.2M a year: $3,532 per household, 13% below the U.S. average. That is about $2.6M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 38% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.

In 2023, official counts showed 37 businesses with payroll in Jefferson County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, up 54.2% from 2019. That is one for every 1,287 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Population estimates show Jefferson County declined 3.9% from 2020 to 2025, against +3.1% for the U.S.

How Jefferson County compares

The same measures for New York and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Jefferson County, NY compared with New York and the U.S.
MeasureJefferson CountyNew YorkU.S.
Listings per 10k households13.711.79.8
Spending per listing$2.6M$3.6M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,2879551,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023+54.2%+16.5%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025−3.9%−0.6%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,532$4,270$4,070
Median household income$66,301$85,974$80,734
Groundwork market score1926

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
24 → 37All snack bars and retail bakeries · +54.2% over the period
Employees, 2023
254
Annual payroll, 2023
$5.8M
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
6525 chain locations
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
41The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Jefferson County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Jefferson County

Population, 2025 estimate
111,540−3.9% since 2020
Households
47,606
Median age
37.4
Homes lived in by their owners
55%
Vehicles per household
1.6
Land area
1,268 sq. mi.
People per square mile
91
Median household income
$66,301+25.8% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$86,210
Median home value
$188,200
Jobs located here
34,253
Daytime population
112,470Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Jefferson County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across New York

Every New York market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in New York for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in New York, with Jefferson County marked.

Top counties in New York

Counties in New York ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Saratoga County, NY66787.7$5.9M+2.3%#362 of 1,889
2Wayne County, NY66246.2$5.9M+0.1%#364 of 1,889
3Schenectady County, NY65477.0$5.7M+3.0%#387 of 1,889
4Putnam County, NY583911.0$4.6M+1.4%#620 of 1,889
5Tioga County, NY56157.4$5.1M−1.9%#691 of 1,889
6Wyoming County, NY55137.9$4.5M−1.3%#745 of 1,889
7Rockland County, NY5112812.3$3.9M+5.9%#905 of 1,889
8Richmond County, NY5017110.0$4.5M+1.3%#926 of 1,889
9Albany County, NY501269.4$4.4M+2.2%#927 of 1,889
10Lewis County, NY5098.1$4.3M−0.3%#930 of 1,889
59Jefferson County, NY196513.7$2.6M−3.9%#1,823 of 1,889

Other business types in Jefferson County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Jefferson County, NY?

Jefferson County has 65 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 25 of them (38%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 37 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 54.2% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

How much do households in Jefferson County, NY spend on food away from home?

About $168.2M a year, or $3,532 per household. That is 13% below the U.S. average (an index of 87, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 65 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $2.6M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 47,606 households in Jefferson County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Jefferson County, NY compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Jefferson County has 13.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 40% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $2.6M, 38% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Jefferson County would have about 41, against 65 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,287 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 54.2% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.

How fast is Jefferson County, NY growing?

Population estimates put Jefferson County at 111,540 people in 2025, down 3.9% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 47,606 households. Median household income in Jefferson County is $66,301, 18% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 25.8%, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Jefferson County scores 19 for bakeries and dessert shops (low), #1,823 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Jefferson County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Jefferson County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Jefferson County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Jefferson County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.