Food and drink · Small-town market · New York
Bakeries and dessert shops in the Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY area
Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in the Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY area, set against other small-town markets and the U.S.
Groundwork market score · out of 100
Score 25 out of 100: Lower middle
Ranked #479 of 507 scored small-town markets
#12 of 14 scored small-town markets based in New York
- Listings
- 57
- 8 chain locations (14%)
- Official establishments
- 30
- All snack bars and retail bakeries · +20.0% since 2019
- Household spending a year
- $176.1M
- On food away from home · $3,299 a household
- Spending per listing
- $3.1M
- 25% below the U.S.
- Listings per 10k households
- 10.7
- 9% above the U.S.
- Population, 2025
- 124,126
- −2.6% since 2020
See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area
The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of the Jamestown-Dunkirk area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardSurvey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure
What this means
The Groundwork market score for bakeries and dessert shops in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area is 25 (lower middle), #479 of 507 scored small-town markets and #12 of 14 scored small-town markets based in New York. That puts it in the bottom quarter of small-town markets.
As of September 2026, map listings count 57 bakeries and dessert shops in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area. 8 of them (14%) are chain locations, against 35% across the U.S. Per 10,000 households, that is 10.7, 9% above the U.S. rate of 9.8.
At $3,299 per household (19% below the U.S. average), households in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area spend about $176.1M a year on food away from home. That is about $3.1M of household spending for each shop on map listings, 25% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade.
In 2023, official counts showed 30 businesses with payroll in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area classed as snack bars and retail bakeries, up 20.0% from 2019. That is one for every 1,780 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too. Since fiscal 2022, 4 SBA-backed loans worth $402K have gone to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area. Population estimates put the population change in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area from 2020 to 2025 at −2.6%, against +3.1% for the U.S.
How the Jamestown-Dunkirk area compares
The same measures for New York and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.
| Measure | Jamestown-Dunkirk area | New York | U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Listings per 10k households | 10.7 | 11.7 | 9.8 |
| Spending per listing | $3.1M | $3.6M | $4.1M |
| Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries) | 1,780 | 955 | 1,369 |
| Official establishment growth, 2019–2023 | +20.0% | +16.5% | +24.6% |
| Population growth, 2020–2025 | −2.6% | −0.6% | +3.1% |
| Spending per household on food away from home | $3,299 | $4,270 | $4,070 |
| Median household income | $58,351 | $85,974 | $80,734 |
| Groundwork market score | 25 | 26 |
Official counts and lending
Businesses
- Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
- 30All snack bars and retail bakeries · +20.0% over the period
- Employees, 2023
- 108
- Annual payroll, 2023
- $3.1M
- One-person businesses, 2023
- 3All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
- Map listings, September 2026
- 578 chain locations
- Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
- 43The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here
SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022
- Loans
- 4
- Amount
- $402K
SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.
Population and households in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area
- Population, 2025 estimate
- 124,126−2.6% since 2020
- Households
- 53,393
- Median age
- 43.3
- Homes lived in by their owners
- 69%
- Vehicles per household
- 1.6
- Land area
- 1,060 sq. mi.
- People per square mile
- 118
- Median household income
- $58,351+24.6% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
- Average household income
- $76,000
- Median home value
- $127,900
- Jobs located here
- 44,855
- Daytime population
- 120,603Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here
Looking at a specific site in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area?
These figures cover the whole small-town market. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.
Or open the report at the center of the Jamestown-Dunkirk area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
Free10 actions over 3 days, no cardBakeries and dessert shops across New York
Every New York market ranked →The highest-scoring small-town markets in New York for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in New York, with the Jamestown-Dunkirk area marked.
Top small-town markets in New York
| Market | Score | Listings | Per 10k households | Spending per listing | Population growth | U.S. rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1Massena-Ogdensburg, NY | 50 | 27 | 6.5 | $5.3M | −2.5% | #254 of 507 |
| 2Batavia, NY | 47 | 24 | 9.6 | $3.8M | +0.2% | #285 of 507 |
| 3Gloversville, NY | 44 | 17 | 7.4 | $4.7M | −1.6% | #310 of 507 |
| 4Hudson, NY | 44 | 27 | 10.1 | $4.1M | −2.1% | #315 of 507 |
| 5Amsterdam, NY | 42 | 19 | 9.7 | $3.6M | +1.1% | #336 of 507 |
| 6Oneonta, NY | 42 | 32 | 13.8 | $2.6M | +3.8% | #342 of 507 |
| 7Seneca Falls, NY | 41 | 14 | 10.3 | $3.4M | −1.7% | #352 of 507 |
| 8Corning, NY | 39 | 37 | 9.4 | $3.8M | −1.6% | #368 of 507 |
| 9Monticello, NY | 38 | 50 | 15.9 | $2.4M | +2.7% | #384 of 507 |
| 10Auburn, NY | 34 | 30 | 9.5 | $3.8M | −2.3% | #415 of 507 |
| 12Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY | 25 | 57 | 10.7 | $3.1M | −2.6% | #479 of 507 |
Other business types in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area
Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.
Food and drink
- Restaurants and cafes24
- Sit-down restaurants24
- Fast food and sandwich shops51
- Pizza30
- Coffee shops and cafes28
- Bakeries and dessert shops25
Groceries and convenience
Auto
Beauty and personal care
Fitness and classes
Health care
Child care
Clothing and laundry
Home services
Real estate
Funeral services
Questions
How many bakeries and dessert shops are in the Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY area?
The Jamestown-Dunkirk area has 57 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings as of September 2026. 8 of them (14%) are chain locations. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 30 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023, up 20.0% from 2019. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops. Official counts list 3 one-person businesses without payroll.
How much do households in the Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY area spend on food away from home?
About $176.1M a year, or $3,299 per household. That is 19% below the U.S. average (an index of 81, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 57 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $3.1M per shop. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops. It is estimated from the incomes of the 53,393 households in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area and national spending patterns by income.
How does the Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY area compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?
The Jamestown-Dunkirk area has 10.7 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 9% above the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $3.1M, 25% below the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the national ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, the Jamestown-Dunkirk area would have about 43, against 57 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,780 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. The official count rose 20.0% from 2019 to 2023, against +24.6% for the U.S.
How fast is the Jamestown-Dunkirk, NY area growing?
Population estimates put the Jamestown-Dunkirk area at 124,126 people in 2025, down 2.6% since 2020, against +3.1% for the U.S. It has 53,393 households. Median household income in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area is $58,351, 28% below the U.S. median of $80,734. Against the 2015–2019 survey, the median rose 24.6%, before inflation.
What is the Groundwork market score?
The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. A small-town market is a town of 10,000 to 50,000 people and the county or counties tied to it by commuting. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. The Jamestown-Dunkirk area scores 25 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #479 of 507 scored small-town markets.
How can I see the market around a specific site?
Run a Groundwork site report on an address in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.
How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area
Screening a site or an acquisition in the Jamestown-Dunkirk area?
A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.
The button opens the report at the center of the Jamestown-Dunkirk area. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.
This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.
Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.