Groundwork

Food and drink · County · Montana

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, MT

Competitor counts, household spending and official business counts for bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, MT, set against other counties and the U.S.

Groundwork market score · out of 100

Score 47 out of 100: Lower middle

Ranked #1,028 of 1,889 scored counties
#7 of 15 scored counties in Montana

Listings
6
1 chain location (17%)
Official establishments
7
All snack bars and retail bakeries
Household spending a year
$27.5M
On food away from home · $3,023 a household
Spending per listing
$4.6M
10% above the U.S.
Listings per 10k households
6.6
33% below the U.S.
Population, 2025
22,328
+13.1% since 2020

See the bakeries and dessert shops around any address in Lincoln County

The site report maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the address, by name and distance, and sizes the households and spending around it. Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

Free10 actions over 3 days, no card

Survey estimates 2020–2024 · population estimates 2025 · official business counts 2023 · map listings September 2026 · Data credits · How we measure

What this means

At $3,023 per household (26% below the U.S. average), households in Lincoln County spend about $27.5M a year on food away from home. That works out to $4.6M per shop, 10% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. The spending figure covers all food away from home, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

There are 6 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings in Lincoln County as of September 2026. One of them (17%) is a chain location, against 35% across the U.S. That comes to 6.6 for every 10,000 households, 33% below the U.S. rate of 9.8.

In 2023, official counts showed 7 businesses with payroll in Lincoln County classed as snack bars and retail bakeries. That is one for every 1,297 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S. That count covers all snack bars and retail bakeries (coffee shops and cafes included), not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Between 2020 and 2025, the population of Lincoln County grew 13.1%, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). For bakeries and dessert shops, Lincoln County has a Groundwork market score of 47 (lower middle): #1,028 of 1,889 scored counties and #7 of 15 scored counties in Montana.

How Lincoln County compares

The same measures for Montana and the whole U.S. Spending per listing divides a year of household spending on all food away from home by the bakeries and dessert shops counted, so it measures the demand for each competitor, not any business’s revenue. Households per establishment does the same with the official count.

Bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County, MT compared with Montana and the U.S.
MeasureLincoln CountyMontanaU.S.
Listings per 10k households6.67.99.8
Spending per listing$4.6M$4.7M$4.1M
Households per official establishment (all snack bars and retail bakeries)1,2971,0401,369
Official establishment growth, 2019–2023n/a+32.4%+24.6%
Population growth, 2020–2025+13.1%+5.3%+3.1%
Spending per household on food away from home$3,023$3,748$4,070
Median household income$47,143$72,509$80,734
Groundwork market score4748

Official counts and lending

Businesses

Official establishments, 2019 to 2023
9 → 7All snack bars and retail bakeries
Employees, 2023
47
Annual payroll, 2023
$605K
One-person businesses, 2023
0All snack bars and retail bakeries with no payroll
Map listings, September 2026
61 chain location
Listings at the U.S. rate for this spending
7The U.S. ratio of listings to household spending, applied here

SBA-backed loans since fiscal 2022

Loans
0
Amount
$0

SBA-backed loans to businesses classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in Lincoln County, through June 2026, placed by the borrower’s ZIP code. Official establishments are businesses with payroll; the official counts leave out places with fewer than 3. These official figures cover all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops.

Population and households in Lincoln County

Population, 2025 estimate
22,328+13.1% since 2020
Households
9,082
Median age
50.9
Homes lived in by their owners
78%
Vehicles per household
2.1
Land area
3,613 sq. mi.
People per square mile
6
Median household income
$47,143+17.5% vs. 2015–2019, before inflation
Average household income
$66,699
Median home value
$296,500
Jobs located here
6,146
Daytime population
20,374Residents who don’t work, plus everyone whose job is here

Looking at a specific site in Lincoln County?

These figures cover the whole county. A site report draws rings around one address and counts what’s inside them: households, spending, jobs, and the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings by name and distance.

Or open the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

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Bakeries and dessert shops across Montana

Every Montana market ranked →

The highest-scoring counties in Montana for bakeries and dessert shops, numbered among those based in Montana, with Lincoln County marked.

Top counties in Montana

Counties in Montana ranked for bakeries and dessert shops by Groundwork market score
MarketScoreListingsPer 10k householdsSpending per listingPopulation growthU.S. rank
1Ravalli County, MT75126.4$5.7M+9.4%#171 of 1,889
2Lewis and Clark County, MT66196.1$6.4M+5.8%#357 of 1,889
3Gallatin County, MT535310.3$4.2M+7.7%#826 of 1,889
4Cascade County, MT52205.6$6.4M+0.7%#838 of 1,889
5Yellowstone County, MT51618.7$4.5M+4.5%#892 of 1,889
6Missoula County, MT49478.9$4.3M+4.4%#962 of 1,889
7Lincoln County, MT4766.6$4.6M+13.1%#1,028 of 1,889
8Lake County, MT45118.7$4M+6.9%#1,118 of 1,889
9Flathead County, MT45449.9$3.8M+10.1%#1,119 of 1,889
10Park County, MT4389.6$3.9M+5.7%#1,183 of 1,889

Other business types in Lincoln County

Each with its Groundwork market score here, out of 100, where it has one.

Questions

How many bakeries and dessert shops are in Lincoln County, MT?

As of September 2026, map listings count 6 bakeries and dessert shops in Lincoln County. One of them (17%) is a chain location. The listings count bakeries, ice cream, donut and dessert shops, candy stores. Official counts show 7 businesses with payroll classed as snack bars and retail bakeries in 2023. The official count takes in all snack bars and retail bakeries, not only bakeries and dessert shops: coffee shops and cafes are counted too.

How much do households in Lincoln County, MT spend on food away from home?

About $27.5M a year, or $3,023 per household. That is 26% below the U.S. average (an index of 74, where 100 is the U.S. average). Spread across the 6 bakeries and dessert shops on map listings, it comes to $4.6M per shop. That spending covers all food away from home, which bakeries and dessert shops share with other businesses in the trade. It is estimated from the incomes of the 9,082 households in Lincoln County and national spending patterns by income.

How does Lincoln County, MT compare with the U.S. for bakeries and dessert shops?

Lincoln County has 6.6 bakeries and dessert shops per 10,000 households, 33% below the U.S. rate of 9.8. Spending per shop is $4.6M, 10% above the U.S. figure of $4.1M. At the U.S. ratio of bakeries and dessert shops to household spending, Lincoln County would have about 7, against 6 on map listings. There is one business with payroll in the industry for every 1,297 households, against one for every 1,369 across the U.S.

How fast is Lincoln County, MT growing?

Population estimates put Lincoln County at 22,328 people in 2025, up 13.1% since 2020, faster than the U.S. (+3.1%). It has 9,082 households. The median household income in Lincoln County is $47,143 a year, 42% below the U.S. median of $80,734. That rose 17.5% from the 2015–2019 survey, before inflation.

What is the Groundwork market score?

The Groundwork market score runs from 0 to 100 and compares a market with others of its kind for one business type: states with states, metro areas with metro areas, small-town markets and counties with their own. It weighs household spending per competitor (35%), households per business with payroll (25%), population growth (20%) and spending power (20%), each ranked against those peers. A higher score means that, taken together, the market has more household spending and more households for each business already there, faster population growth and more spending per household than similar markets. It describes a market, not any one site or deal. Lincoln County scores 47 for bakeries and dessert shops (lower middle), #1,028 of 1,889 scored counties.

How can I see the market around a specific site?

Run a Groundwork site report on an address in Lincoln County. It maps the bakeries and dessert shops on map listings near the site and sizes the households and spending within the distance you choose. New accounts get 10 actions over 3 days, no card.

How the score works · Top markets for bakeries and dessert shops · All 56 business types in Lincoln County

Screening a site or an acquisition in Lincoln County?

A site report maps the competitors on map listings near an address and sizes the households and spending around it.

The button opens the report at the center of Lincoln County. Signed out, you see a blurred preview; on an account, each report is one action.

This product uses the Census Bureau Data API but is not endorsed or certified by the Census Bureau.

Figures are estimates for research only. Not investment or real estate advice.